Sheger Ketema vs Mekelakeya: match statistics
Sheger Ketema vs Mekelakeya: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sheger Ketema play Mekelakeya in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 28 June 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Sheger Ketema: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Mekelakeya: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sheger Ketema scores 0.92 and concedes 0.81 goals per match. Mekelakeya scores 1.15 and concedes 0.85. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sheger Ketema 41%, Mekelakeya 41%. Over 2.5: Sheger Ketema 22%, Mekelakeya 31%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Mekelakeya has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.11. Sheger Ketema: 7.3 shots per match, Mekelakeya: 8.6.
Match halves
Sheger Ketema: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.57. Mekelakeya: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.46.
Goals by minute
Sheger Ketema: 76-90+ (8 goals). Mekelakeya: 31-45+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Mekelakeya (3rd) are the favorites against Sheger Ketema (13th), so I expect an away win. The visitors score 1.5 goals per away game with xG 1.33, while the hosts average just 0.67 goals at home with xG 1.03; in the last 5 matches Mekelakeya have scored 7 goals versus Sheger’s 2. Mekelakeya create significantly more chances: on average 9 shots and 3.17 on target per game versus the hosts’ 6.61 and 2.28, and a conversion rate of 17% vs 10% confirms their offensive efficiency. However, Sheger defend well at home (0.67 goals conceded per game and 50% clean sheets) and record as much as 61% draws in home matches, which increases the probability of a low-scoring game or a split of points. Considering the advantage in quality of chances, higher efficiency and better recent form (1.4 points in the last 5 games vs 0.8 for the hosts), I assess the probabilities as 48% Mekelakeya win, 40% draw and 12% home win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sheger Ketema | Mekelakeya | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sheger Ketema is 150% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Sheger Ketema · 0.8 pts / match - Mekelakeya
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mekelakeya is 25% better for: goals scored per match.
0.92 goals / match - Sheger Ketema · 1.15 goals / match - Mekelakeya
Sheger Ketema is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.81 goals / match - Sheger Ketema · 0.85 goals / match - Mekelakeya
Sheger Ketema scores in 68% of matches (25 of 37 matches), while Mekelakeya keeps a clean sheet in 46% (18 of 39 matches).
Mekelakeya scores in 67% of matches (26 of 39 matches), while Sheger Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 49% (18 of 37 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Sheger Ketema
Over / Under — Mekelakeya
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mekelakeya is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.19 pts / match - Sheger Ketema · 1.44 pts / match - Mekelakeya
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sheger Ketema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mekelakeya - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sheger Ketema
Mekelakeya
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Sheger Ketema | Liga | Mekelakeya | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.73 | 1.78 | ▲ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | • 41% | 40% | • 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 22% | 28% | ▲ 31% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 49% | 40% | ▲ 46% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 43% | 56% | ▲ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 62% | 59% | ▼ 54% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Sheger Ketema 1 - 0 - 0 Mekelakeya. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sheger Ketema vs Mekelakeya?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Sheger Ketema 2:0 Mekelakeya. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Sheger Ketema vs Mekelakeya?
Sheger Ketema score 0.92 goals per game on average and Mekelakeya 1.15. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Sheger Ketema's matches and 41% of Mekelakeya's.
What form are Sheger Ketema and Mekelakeya in?
Over the last 5 games Sheger Ketema have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Mekelakeya 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sheger Ketema vs Mekelakeya?
The statistical background for Sheger Ketema vs Mekelakeya — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.