Sheger Ketema vs Negele Arsi Ketema: match statistics
Sheger Ketema vs Negele Arsi Ketema: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sheger Ketema play Negele Arsi Ketema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 13 April 2026 at 12:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Sheger Ketema: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Negele Arsi Ketema: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sheger Ketema scores 0.92 and concedes 0.81 goals per match. Negele Arsi Ketema scores 0.97 and concedes 0.79. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sheger Ketema 41%, Negele Arsi Ketema 37%. Over 2.5: Sheger Ketema 22%, Negele Arsi Ketema 29%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Negele Arsi Ketema has higher xG: 1.14 vs 1.11. Sheger Ketema: 7.3 shots per match, Negele Arsi Ketema: 7.2.
Match halves
Sheger Ketema: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.57. Negele Arsi Ketema: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Sheger Ketema: 76-90+ (8 goals). Negele Arsi Ketema: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Negele Arsi Ketema are the paper favorites: 2nd in the table with 11 wins, a goal record of 25:18 and a +5 away goal differential, while Sheger Ketema sit 14th with 6 wins and a 23:23 record. The visitors create and convert chances more efficiently — on average 3.15 shots on target per match and a 14% conversion rate, paired with an average xG of 1.23 and 1.0 goals per away game; the home side register 2.46 shots on target, 10% conversion, xG 1.14 but only 0.77 goals per match, indicating weaker finishing. Defensively Negele also look superior: they concede 0.62 goals on average away and keep clean sheets in 54% of matches, while the hosts concede 0.77 at home and have 46% clean sheets. The hosts have been better in the short term — 6 goals and 1.6 points on average in the last 5 matches versus 3 goals and 1.2 points for the visitors — which raises the draw risk; additionally Sheger record 62% draws at home. Considering the superiority of chance quality, higher conversion and better defense of Negele and their league position, I tip the away win, although the high home draw rate gives the hosts a significant chance to take a point.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sheger Ketema | Negele Arsi Ketema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sheger Ketema is 25% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Sheger Ketema · 1.6 pts / match - Negele Arsi Ketema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Negele Arsi Ketema is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
0.92 goals / match - Sheger Ketema · 0.97 goals / match - Negele Arsi Ketema
Sheger Ketema scores in 68% of matches (25 of 37 matches), while Negele Arsi Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 45% (17 of 38 matches).
Negele Arsi Ketema scores in 63% of matches (24 of 38 matches), while Sheger Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 49% (18 of 37 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Sheger Ketema
Over / Under — Negele Arsi Ketema
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Negele Arsi Ketema is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.19 pts / match - Sheger Ketema · 1.45 pts / match - Negele Arsi Ketema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sheger Ketema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Negele Arsi Ketema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sheger Ketema
Negele Arsi Ketema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Sheger Ketema | Liga | Negele Arsi Ketema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.73 | 1.78 | • 1.76 |
| Both teams scored | • 41% | 40% | ▼ 37% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 22% | 28% | • 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 49% | 40% | ▲ 45% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 43% | 56% | ▼ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 62% | 59% | ▲ 66% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Sheger Ketema 0 - 1 - 0 Negele Arsi Ketema. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sheger Ketema vs Negele Arsi Ketema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Sheger Ketema 1:1 Negele Arsi Ketema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Sheger Ketema vs Negele Arsi Ketema?
Sheger Ketema score 0.92 goals per game on average and Negele Arsi Ketema 0.97. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Sheger Ketema's matches and 37% of Negele Arsi Ketema's.
What form are Sheger Ketema and Negele Arsi Ketema in?
Over the last 5 games Sheger Ketema have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Negele Arsi Ketema 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sheger Ketema vs Negele Arsi Ketema?
The statistical background for Sheger Ketema vs Negele Arsi Ketema — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.