Sheger Ketema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni: match statistics
Sheger Ketema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sheger Ketema play Welwalo Adigrat Uni in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 16 June 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Sheger Ketema: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Welwalo Adigrat Uni: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sheger Ketema scores 0.92 and concedes 0.81 goals per match. Welwalo Adigrat Uni scores 0.82 and concedes 0.97. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sheger Ketema 41%, Welwalo Adigrat Uni 46%. Over 2.5: Sheger Ketema 22%, Welwalo Adigrat Uni 31%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Sheger Ketema has higher xG: 1.11 vs 1.03. Sheger Ketema: 7.3 shots per match, Welwalo Adigrat Uni: 5.7.
Match halves
Sheger Ketema: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.57. Welwalo Adigrat Uni: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.36.
Goals by minute
Sheger Ketema: 76-90+ (8 goals). Welwalo Adigrat Uni: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I back the draw: both teams show a very high propensity to share points — Sheger Ketema records 59% draws at home, while Welwalo Adigrat Uni has 53% draws away, yielding an average draw probability of about 56%. Over the season the teams are nearly equal offensively (30 goals each) and in the last 5 matches both scored 4 and conceded 4, with almost identical average xG: 1.05 for the hosts and 1.06 for the visitors, indicating balanced chance creation. Welwalo holds an edge in possession (52% vs 46%) and conversion rate (16% vs 10%), making them more dangerous with limited chances, whereas Sheger compensates with stronger home defending — on average 0.71 goals conceded per game and 47% clean sheets versus 0.88 and 41% for the away side. Form over the last five matches also favors a draw — Sheger averaged 1.4 points per game (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses) and Welwalo 1.2 points (1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss), highlighting the visitors’ tendency to draw. Considering the high draw rates (~56%), the low home goals conceded (0.71) and the matched xG, I estimate probabilities as follows: draw 56%, home win 24%, away win 20%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sheger Ketema | Welwalo Adigrat Uni | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sheger Ketema is 67% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Sheger Ketema · 1.2 pts / match - Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sheger Ketema is 12% better for: goals scored per match.
0.92 goals / match - Sheger Ketema · 0.82 goals / match - Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Sheger Ketema is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.81 goals / match - Sheger Ketema · 0.97 goals / match - Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Sheger Ketema scores in 68% of matches (25 of 37 matches), while Welwalo Adigrat Uni keeps a clean sheet in 36% (14 of 39 matches).
Welwalo Adigrat Uni scores in 59% of matches (23 of 39 matches), while Sheger Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 49% (18 of 37 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Sheger Ketema
Over / Under — Welwalo Adigrat Uni
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sheger Ketema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sheger Ketema
Welwalo Adigrat Uni
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Sheger Ketema | Liga | Welwalo Adigrat Uni | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.73 | 1.78 | • 1.79 |
| Both teams scored | • 41% | 40% | ▲ 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 22% | 28% | ▲ 31% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 49% | 40% | ▼ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 43% | 56% | ▲ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 62% | 59% | ▼ 44% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Sheger Ketema 0 - 1 - 0 Welwalo Adigrat Uni. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sheger Ketema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Sheger Ketema 0:0 Welwalo Adigrat Uni. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Sheger Ketema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
Sheger Ketema score 0.92 goals per game on average and Welwalo Adigrat Uni 0.82. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Sheger Ketema's matches and 46% of Welwalo Adigrat Uni's.
What form are Sheger Ketema and Welwalo Adigrat Uni in?
Over the last 5 games Sheger Ketema have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sheger Ketema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
The statistical background for Sheger Ketema vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.