Ireland - Premier DivisionTolka ParkData current as of October 23, 2026

Shelbourne vs Derry City: match statistics

Shelbourne crest
Shelbourne
0 : 1half-time 0:0
Derry City crest
Derry City

Shelbourne vs Derry City: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Shelbourne played against Derry City in Premier Division (Ireland). The game was played on September 11, 2026. Venue: Tolka Park. Final score: 0:1.

Recent form

Shelbourne has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Derry City has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Shelbourne scores 1.32 goals per game and allows 1.39. Derry City scores 1.41 and allows 1.38. Games in this league average 2.75 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 71% of Shelbourne's games and 66% of Derry City's. The Over 2.5 rates are 61% and 52%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Derry City has the higher season xG average, 1.61 to 1.53 per game. Shelbourne takes 13.9 shots per game, while Derry City takes 13.7.

First-half and second-half trends

Shelbourne leads at halftime in 21% of its games and scores 0.79 goals per game after halftime. Derry City leads at halftime in 34% and scores 0.90 after halftime.

When the teams score

Shelbourne's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (10 goals). For Derry City, it is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Premier Division games average 2.75 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 7 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. Those games averaged 2.14 goals, with both teams scoring in 57% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Shelbourne are in poor recent form: they have failed to win any of their last five matches, scoring 5 goals and conceding 8. Derry City have been clearly more effective over the short term, winning 3 of their last 5 games and scoring 14 goals in the process, but they have won only 7% of their away matches. The hosts create more chances at home, averaging 14.21 shots and an xG of 1.58, compared with Derry City’s 10.64 shots and xG of 1.30 away from home. Neither defense looks reliable, with Shelbourne conceding an average of 1.71 goals at home and the visitors 1.50, while Derry City draw as many as 50% of their away matches. The combination of the visitors’ strong current form, their very low away win rate and the hosts’ advantage in chance creation most strongly supports a draw.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The “Yes” pick is supported by a high seasonal BTTS frequency: 60% in Shelbourne matches and 71% in Derry City fixtures, compared with the league average of 60%. Both teams recorded BTTS in 4 of their last 5 matches, or 80% each, while Derry City scored an average of 2.8 goals and conceded 2.2 during this period. Shelbourne have managed just 1.0 goals scored across their last five appearances, but the visitors’ defense kept a clean sheet in only 14% of matches and typically allowed opponents an xG of 1.68. The hosts have also created solid chances throughout the season, recording an xG of 1.90 and 5.93 shots on target per match, while their defense allowed opponents an xG of 2.05 across the last five fixtures. These figures indicate a genuine chance of goals at both ends, although greater instability in Shelbourne’s attack limits confidence in the prediction.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

The strongest signal is on Over 1.5, as at least 2 goals were scored in 73% of Shelbourne’s matches and 71% of Derry City’s games. Derry City are in excellent attacking form, scoring 14 goals in their last 5 matches—an average of 2.8 per game—while Shelbourne conceded an average of 1.6 goals during this period. However, the hosts have a solid basis for responding, with a season xG of 1.90, while Derry City allow an average of 1.68 xG away from home and concede 1.50 goals per match. Over 2.5 landed in 60% and 80% of the teams’ last five matches, respectively, but the season-long percentage for this line is closer to 50%, which is why Over 2.5 offers a smaller edge than the safer Over 1.5. The projected total of 2.97 goals points to an open game, but Under 3.5 remains more frequent, supported by the fact that it has landed in 60% of Shelbourne’s and 79% of Derry City’s matches this season.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

Derry City are showing clearly superior current form: they have won 3 of their last 5 matches and averaged 2.8 goals per game, while Shelbourne have failed to win any of their matches, scoring just 1.0 goal per game. The signal for an away advantage from the outset is strong, as Derry were leading at the break in 3 of their last 5 appearances, whereas Shelbourne went into half-time trailing on as many as 3 occasions during the same period. Over the course of the season, the hosts have stronger underlying metrics, including an xG of 1.90 compared with 1.30, but their recent defense has conceded an average of 1.6 goals, while Derry score 1.4 goals per game after half-time. The visitors have also won 60% of their recent matches, making the HT/FT scenario of Derry leading at half-time and securing the victory the most likely outcome.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

0 : 0
First half
0 : 1
Second half

Game stats

54Possession (%)46
ShelbourneDerry City
11Shots18
ShelbourneDerry City
2Shots on target6
ShelbourneDerry City
1.29xG1.9
ShelbourneDerry City
6Corners5
ShelbourneDerry City
61Dangerous attacks47
ShelbourneDerry City
11Fouls7
ShelbourneDerry City
2Cards3
ShelbourneDerry City

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

ShelbourneDerry City
1.32Goals scored / game1.41
ShelbourneDerry City
1.39Goals allowed / game1.38
ShelbourneDerry City
53%Average possession54%
ShelbourneDerry City
4.18Shots on target / game4.97
ShelbourneDerry City

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13.86Shots per game13.69
ShelbourneDerry City
4.18Shots on target4.97
ShelbourneDerry City
9.5%Shot conversion10.3%
ShelbourneDerry City
53%Possession54%
ShelbourneDerry City
1.53xG for1.61
ShelbourneDerry City
1.38xG against1.29
ShelbourneDerry City

Shooting quality

Shelbourne: BalancedDerry City: Balanced
ShelbourneDerry City
Accuracy (shots on target)30%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Shelbourne
WLLDD
Season result split
29% W43% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-12-8
1.29 pts / game · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-5-6
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
DWLWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.41Opponent xG: 1.54BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Derry City
LDWLD
Season result split
24% W45% D31% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-13-9
1.17 pts / game · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-7-6
Last 5 away
0-2-3
LLDDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 1.83Opponent xG: 1.42BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Derry City is 7% better for: goals scored per game.

1.32 goals / game - Shelbourne · 1.41 goals / game - Derry City

Shelbourne scoring profile: very strong

Shelbourne scores in 79% of games (22 of 28 games), while Derry City keeps a clean sheet in 24% (7 of 29 games).

Derry City scoring profile: very strong

Derry City scores in 76% of games (22 of 29 games), while Shelbourne keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 28 games).

37Goals scored (season)41
ShelbourneDerry City
39Goals conceded (season)40
ShelbourneDerry City
2.71Average goals per game2.79
ShelbourneDerry City
4Goals scored (last 5)11
ShelbourneDerry City
5Goals conceded (last 5)13
ShelbourneDerry City

How often they score at least...

79%1 goal76%
ShelbourneDerry City
50%2 goals45%
ShelbourneDerry City
4%3 goals14%
ShelbourneDerry City
0%4 goals7%
ShelbourneDerry City

How often they concede at least...

79%1 goal76%
ShelbourneDerry City
39%2 goals41%
ShelbourneDerry City
18%3 goals10%
ShelbourneDerry City
4%4 goals7%
ShelbourneDerry City

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

60%
League average

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time14%
ShelbourneDerry City
7%BTTS in both halves0%
ShelbourneDerry City
25%Scored in both halves21%
ShelbourneDerry City

BTTS and goal count

57%Min. 3 goals and BTTS52%
ShelbourneDerry City
4%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
ShelbourneDerry City
60%BTTS - last 580%
ShelbourneDerry City

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

61%Min. 1 goal before half-time72%
ShelbourneDerry City
39%Min. 2 goals before half-time14%
ShelbourneDerry City
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
ShelbourneDerry City

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time79%
ShelbourneDerry City
46%Min. 2 goals after half-time48%
ShelbourneDerry City
14%Min. 3 goals after half-time24%
ShelbourneDerry City

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Derry City is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.14 pts / game - Shelbourne · 1.34 pts / game - Derry City

Shelbourne - half-time state
21% leading50% draw29% trailing
Derry City - half-time state
34% leading31% draw34% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.14Points per game (1st half)1.34
ShelbourneDerry City
0.54Goals scored (1st half)0.52
ShelbourneDerry City
0.68Goals conceded (1st half)0.48
ShelbourneDerry City
1.21Average goals (1st half)1
ShelbourneDerry City
54%Clean sheet before half-time55%
ShelbourneDerry City
61%No goal before half-time59%
ShelbourneDerry City

After half-time (2nd half)

1.39Points per game (2nd half)1.17
ShelbourneDerry City
0.79Goals scored (2nd half)0.9
ShelbourneDerry City
0.71Goals conceded (2nd half)0.9
ShelbourneDerry City
1.5Average goals (2nd half)1.79
ShelbourneDerry City
46%Clean sheet after half-time41%
ShelbourneDerry City
36%No goal after half-time45%
ShelbourneDerry City

Shelbourne - second-half results

29% W54% D18% L
32
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.14
PPG before half-time
Lead holding138%

Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Derry City - second-half results

28% W34% D38% L
39
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
34
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.34
PPG before half-time
Lead holding71%

Leads at halftime in 34% of games and wins 24%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Shelbourne - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.20
Goals scored / game0.40.4
Goals allowed / game0.60.4
Average goals per game1.00.8
1 goal40%60%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Derry City - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.401.20
Goals scored / game0.81.4
Goals allowed / game0.62.0
Average goals per game1.43.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+1-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Shelbourne
ScoredConceded
6
7
0-15
2
6
16-30
7
6
31-45
5
7
46-60
10
6
61-75
7
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Derry City
ScoredConceded
4
2
0-15
7
9
16-30
4
3
31-45
6
10
46-60
8
6
61-75
12
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.75
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.4 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
69%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-22%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
60%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Shelbourne

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.15
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
88%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
111%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.29
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

Derry City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.32
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.29
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
113%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier Division).

Teams vs league

ShelbourneLigaDerry City
Average goals per game• 2.712.75• 2.79
Both teams scored▲ 71%60%▲ 66%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 61%51%• 52%
Clean sheets▼ 21%25%• 24%
Goal before half-time▼ 61%72%• 72%
Goal after half-time▼ 75%77%▲ 79%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.75
Average goals per game
60%
Both teams scored
51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.50
Home goals / game
1.25
Away goals / game
+20%
Home attack advantage
+17%
Home defensive advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. ShelbourneYellow cardOdhran Casey
  2. ShelbourneYellow cardJonathan Lunney
  3. ShelbourneSubstitutionOn: Jack Henry-FrancisOff: Jonathan Lunney
  4. Derry CityYellow cardAdam O'Reilly
  5. Derry CityYellow cardLiam Boyce
  6. ShelbourneSubstitutionOn: Rodrigo Costa FreitasOff: Evan Caffrey
  7. Derry CityYellow cardNick Twisk
  8. ShelbourneSubstitutionOn: Seán GannonOff: Milan Bernhard Mbeng
  9. Derry CityGoalMichael DuffyAssist: James Clarke

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Shelbourne's perspective: 2 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses against Derry City. Games average 2.14 goals, and both teams scored in 57% of them.

Derry City
0 : 0
Shelbourne
Shelbourne
1 : 2
Derry City
Derry City
1 : 2
Shelbourne
Derry City FC
1 : 1
Shelbourne FC
Shelbourne FC
0 : 1
Derry City FC
Derry City FC
2 : 0
Shelbourne FC
Shelbourne FC
3 : 1
Derry City FC

FAQ

What was the result of Shelbourne vs Derry City?

The Premier Division match finished Shelbourne 0:1 Derry City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Shelbourne and Derry City?

In the last 7 head-to-head matches Shelbourne won 2, Derry City won 3 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.14 goals, with both teams scoring in 57% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Shelbourne vs Derry City?

Shelbourne score 1.32 goals per game on average and Derry City 1.41. The Premier Division average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Shelbourne's matches and 66% of Derry City's.

What form are Shelbourne and Derry City in?

Over the last 5 games Shelbourne have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Derry City 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Shelbourne vs Derry City?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.