Shelbourne vs Waterford: match statistics
Shelbourne vs Waterford: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Shelbourne played against Waterford in Premier Division (Ireland). The game was played on October 30, 2026. Venue: Tolka Park. Final score: 2:3.
Recent form
Shelbourne has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. Waterford has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Shelbourne scores 1.43 goals per game and allows 1.34. Waterford scores 1.46 and allows 1.69. Games in this league average 2.78 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 71% of Shelbourne's games and 63% of Waterford's. The Over 2.5 rates are 60% and 51%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Shelbourne has the higher season xG average, 1.54 to 1.49 per game. Shelbourne takes 14.1 shots per game, while Waterford takes 13.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Shelbourne leads at halftime in 17% of its games and scores 0.91 goals per game after halftime. Waterford leads at halftime in 26% and scores 0.77 after halftime.
When the teams score
Shelbourne's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (11 goals). For Waterford, it is minutes 31-45+ (16 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premier Division games average 2.78 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 7 previous meetings were available. The record was 3 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 2.14 goals, with both teams scoring in 57% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Shelbourne go into the match in 4th place and are unbeaten in their last 5 games, with 4 wins and a draw, while eighth-placed Waterford have won 3 times and lost twice. The hosts have scored 12 goals and conceded 5 over that period, compared with 11 scored and 8 conceded by the visitors, pointing to Shelbourne’s superior current form. At home, Shelbourne average 1.66 xG and 4.65 shots on target, while Waterford allow opponents 2.06 xG on the road and concede an average of 2.18 goals. Caution is warranted, however, as the hosts have won only 24% of their home matches and concede an average of 1.65 goals in them, giving Waterford a chance to score. Even so, the visitors’ away losses in 59% of their matches and negative goal difference on the road point to a Shelbourne win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS - Yes landed in 67% of Shelbourne's matches and 59% of Waterford's, while the rate was 80% for each team across their last 5 matches. Both sides have been prolific recently: the hosts have averaged 2.4 goals and the visitors 2.2 goals per match, with xG of 1.58 and 1.51 respectively. Shelbourne's chances of scoring are boosted by Waterford's defense, which concedes an average of 2.18 goals per match this season and 1.6 in its last 5 games. The visitors also have a solid case to find the net: they average 1.35 goals per match, while the hosts concede 1.22. The main risk to BTTS - Yes is that Waterford have failed to score in 35% of their matches; however, the overall scoring trends and recent results point towards both teams finding the net.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been reached in 83% of Shelbourne matches and 82% of Waterford matches. The hosts average 1.56 goals scored, while the visitors concede 2.18, which points to goals for Shelbourne. In their last five matches, the teams scored 2.4 and 2.2 goals per game, respectively, although their average xG over that period was lower, at 1.58 and 1.51. Therefore, the 3.10-goal projection also supports Over 2.5, but the 1.5 line is backed more strongly by both teams’ results.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A half-time draw is the most likely starting point: both teams were level at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches, while their season-long rates for this outcome stand at 39% and 41%, respectively. Waterford taking the lead cannot be ruled out, as they have averaged 1.0 first-half goals across their last five matches, compared with Shelbourne’s 0.4. However, the hosts are considerably stronger after the break. Over the same period, Shelbourne averaged 2.0 goals scored and 0.2 conceded in the second half, while Waterford averaged 1.2 for and 1.2 against. The hosts have won the second half in each of their last 5 matches, while the visitors have lost it in 3 of 5; additionally, Waterford concede an average of 2.18 goals per match this season, compared with Shelbourne’s 1.22. Therefore, a draw at half-time followed by a home win is the strongest scenario, although the visitors’ recent first-half scoring form leaves room for a turnaround, with Shelbourne having to come from behind.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Shelbourne | Waterford | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Shelbourne is 86% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / game - Shelbourne · 1.4 pts / game - Waterford
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Shelbourne is 26% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.34 goals / game - Shelbourne · 1.69 goals / game - Waterford
Shelbourne scores in 80% of games (28 of 35 games), while Waterford keeps a clean sheet in 17% (6 of 35 games).
Waterford scores in 71% of games (25 of 35 games), while Shelbourne keeps a clean sheet in 20% (7 of 35 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Shelbourne
Over / Under - Waterford
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Waterford is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.06 pts / game - Shelbourne · 1.17 pts / game - Waterford
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Shelbourne - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 34%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Waterford - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 26%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +9 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (16 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Shelbourne
Waterford
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier Division).
Teams vs league
| Shelbourne | Liga | Waterford | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.77 | 2.78 | ▲ 3.14 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 60% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 52% | • 51% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 25% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 74% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 78% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Shelbourne's perspective: 3 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses against Waterford. Games average 2.14 goals, and both teams scored in 57% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Shelbourne vs Waterford?
The Premier Division match finished Shelbourne 2:3 Waterford. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Shelbourne and Waterford?
In the last 7 head-to-head matches Shelbourne won 3, Waterford won 2 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.14 goals, with both teams scoring in 57% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Shelbourne vs Waterford?
Shelbourne score 1.43 goals per game on average and Waterford 1.46. The Premier Division average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Shelbourne's matches and 63% of Waterford's.
What form are Shelbourne and Waterford in?
Over the last 5 games Shelbourne have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Waterford 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Shelbourne vs Waterford?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Shelbourne vs Waterford: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.