Sidama Bunna vs Mebrat Hayl: match statistics
Sidama Bunna vs Mebrat Hayl: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sidama Bunna play Mebrat Hayl in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 4 July 2026 at 15:00. Venue: Yirgalem Stadium. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Sidama Bunna: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Mebrat Hayl: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sidama Bunna scores 1.13 and concedes 0.61 goals per match. Mebrat Hayl scores 0.84 and concedes 0.68. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sidama Bunna 32%, Mebrat Hayl 37%. Over 2.5: Sidama Bunna 26%, Mebrat Hayl 26%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Sidama Bunna has higher xG: 1.26 vs 1.12. Sidama Bunna: 8.2 shots per match, Mebrat Hayl: 7.0.
Match halves
Sidama Bunna: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.61. Mebrat Hayl: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Sidama Bunna: 76-90+ (11 goals). Mebrat Hayl: 46-60 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Sidama Bunna has a clear advantage in home metrics: they are 1st in the home table, win 50% of home matches, record 67% clean sheets and concede just 0.44 goals while scoring 1.06 goals per game. Mebrat Hayl are 6th away, with only a 28% away win rate, averaging 0.83 goals scored and 0.94 conceded, and failed to score in 44% of away fixtures. Form differentials are significant: Sidama in the last 5 matches have 4 wins and 1 draw with a goal record of 8:2 (1.6 scored/0.4 conceded) and 2.6 points per game, whereas Mebrat in the last 5 have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss with a 5:5 record (1.0/1.0) and 1.2 PPG. In quality of chances the hosts also edge it: average xG for Sidama at home is 1.2 versus 1.15 xG for Mebrat away, shots on target 2.94 vs 2.17 and a higher conversion rate 14% vs 12%. Considering the better defence (0.44 vs 0.94 goals conceded), higher clean sheet percentage (67% vs 39%) and markedly superior last-5 form (2.6 vs 1.2 PPG), I predict a home win and estimate its probability at around 65% (draw 20%, away win 15%).
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sidama Bunna | Mebrat Hayl | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sidama Bunna is 25% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Sidama Bunna · 1.6 pts / match - Mebrat Hayl
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sidama Bunna is 35% better for: goals scored per match.
1.13 goals / match - Sidama Bunna · 0.84 goals / match - Mebrat Hayl
Sidama Bunna is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.61 goals / match - Sidama Bunna · 0.68 goals / match - Mebrat Hayl
Sidama Bunna scores in 68% of matches (26 of 38 matches), while Mebrat Hayl keeps a clean sheet in 47% (18 of 38 matches).
Mebrat Hayl scores in 55% of matches (21 of 38 matches), while Sidama Bunna keeps a clean sheet in 53% (20 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Sidama Bunna
Over / Under — Mebrat Hayl
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sidama Bunna is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.55 pts / match - Sidama Bunna · 1.29 pts / match - Mebrat Hayl
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sidama Bunna - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Mebrat Hayl - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sidama Bunna
Mebrat Hayl
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Sidama Bunna | Liga | Mebrat Hayl | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.74 | 1.78 | ▼ 1.53 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 32% | 40% | ▼ 37% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 26% | 28% | ▼ 26% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 53% | 40% | ▲ 47% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 58% | 56% | ▼ 39% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 61% | 59% | ▲ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Sidama Bunna 0 - 1 - 0 Mebrat Hayl. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sidama Bunna vs Mebrat Hayl?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Sidama Bunna 0:1 Mebrat Hayl. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Sidama Bunna vs Mebrat Hayl?
Sidama Bunna score 1.13 goals per game on average and Mebrat Hayl 0.84. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 32% of Sidama Bunna's matches and 37% of Mebrat Hayl's.
What form are Sidama Bunna and Mebrat Hayl in?
Over the last 5 games Sidama Bunna have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Mebrat Hayl 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sidama Bunna vs Mebrat Hayl?
The statistical background for Sidama Bunna vs Mebrat Hayl — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.