Sigma Olomouc vs Karviná: match statistics
Sigma Olomouc vs Karviná: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Sigma Olomouc played against Karviná in First League (Czechia). The game was played on May 23, 2026. Venue: Andrův stadion. Final score: 4:0.
Recent form
Sigma Olomouc has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Karviná has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Sigma Olomouc scores 1.24 goals per game and allows 1.15. Karviná scores 1.45 and allows 1.73. Games in this league average 2.63 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 48% of Sigma Olomouc's games and 67% of Karviná's. The Over 2.5 rates are 48% and 73%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Karviná has the higher season xG average, 1.64 to 1.43 per game. Sigma Olomouc takes 12.2 shots per game, while Karviná takes 14.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Sigma Olomouc leads at halftime in 30% of its games and scores 0.61 goals per game after halftime. Karviná leads at halftime in 24% and scores 0.79 after halftime.
When the teams score
Sigma Olomouc's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (9 goals). For Karviná, it is minutes 31-45+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
First League games average 2.63 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 2 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win (1): Sigma Olomouc has a clear defensive edge at home — conceding on average 0.81 goals per match and recording 56% clean sheets, while Karviná concedes 1.75 goals per away match and has only 6% clean sheets. In terms of attacking quality the teams are similar: Sigma averages xG 1.56 in home matches, Karviná posts xG 1.65 away, with the visitors attempting more shots (14.5 vs 13.38) and more shots on target (5.19 vs 4.13). Recent form favors Sigma — they scored 10 goals in the last 5 matches and average 1.8 points per match (3 wins, 2 losses), whereas Karviná scored 8 goals and average 1.2 points per match (2 wins, 3 losses). Additionally, Sigma have a +5 goal difference at home, while Karviná are -2 on the road and have conceded 57 goals this season versus Sigma's 38 conceded, highlighting the visitors' weaker defense. Considering Sigma's defensive solidity and better recent results, I estimate probabilities of roughly 60% for the home side, 25% for a draw and 15% for the away side.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The 'Both Teams To Score' scenario is more likely as both teams have season BTTS rates of 65% (Sigma) and 69% (Karviná), well above the league average of 51%. In the last 5 matches Sigma registered BTTS in 100% of games and Karviná in 80%, indicating a strong recent trend for both sides. Both teams score and concede at similar levels: season averages are 1.29 (Sigma) and 1.63 (Karviná) goals scored, and 1.71 and 1.75 goals conceded; in the last 5 matches Sigma averaged 2.0 scored and 1.4 conceded, while Karviná averaged 1.6 scored and 2.0 conceded. xG also confirms the exchange of chances (xG for 1.62 vs 1.65, xG against 1.39 vs 1.85) and average on-target shots of 4.76 and 5.19, while low clean sheet percentages of 12% and 6% and a high share of games over 2.5 goals at 65% and 81% further strengthen the BTTS signal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG and goal-stats analysis points to a high goal involvement: home xG is 1.62 versus xG conceded to Karviná 1.85, implying ~1.74 goals for Sigma; conversely away xG is 1.65 versus xG conceded to Sigma 1.39 implying ~1.52 for Karviná, totaling ~3.26 goals. Seasonally, home matches finished over 1.5 goals in 88% of cases, and Karviná’s matches in 94%, therefore I estimate the probability of Over 1.5 at around 92%. Over 2.5 is also strongly supported: season-long 65% of Sigma’s matches and 81% of Karviná’s matches finish over 2.5, and in the last 5 fixtures both teams recorded Over 2.5 in 100%, which justifies a ~78% forecast for Over 2.5. Additionally, both teams have high BTTS rates (65% vs 69%), average 14.4–14.5 shots with 4.76 vs 5.19 on target and conversion rates of 9% vs 11%, all favoring goals. Based on these numbers the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (selection: Over 1.5).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
In the short term Sigma Olomouc shows clear half-time strength: in the last 5 matches they led at the break in 3 of 5 (60%) and average 2.0 points at half-time in those games versus 0.8 for Karviná; the home side score on average 1.0 goals by half-time compared to 0.8 for the visitors. Seasonally, however, Karviná has better full-time results (50% wins versus 29% for Sigma) and more goals per game (1.63 vs 1.29), and the xG of both teams is almost equal (1.65 vs 1.62), with Karviná enjoying a higher shot conversion (11% vs 9%), which gives them an edge in second halves. Both teams frequently score (seasonal BTTS 65% and 69%), so goals are expected, and Sigma conceded on average 0.6 goals by half-time in the last 5 matches while Karviná conceded 1.0, which favors the hosts in the first half. Considering Sigma’s half-time advantage (60% leads and 2.0 half-time points in the last 5) together with the balanced xG and Karviná’s seasonal strength, the most consistent scenario is the hosts leading at half-time and holding the win — hence the pick 1/1. Alternatives are draw/draw (X/X) or draw at half-time and home win (X/1), but these receive significantly lower probability due to Sigma’s half-time lead statistics and their better effectiveness in the closing phases of recent matches.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Sigma Olomouc | Karviná | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Sigma Olomouc is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Sigma Olomouc · 1.2 pts / game - Karviná
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Karviná is 17% better for: goals scored per game.
1.24 goals / game - Sigma Olomouc · 1.45 goals / game - Karviná
Sigma Olomouc is 50% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.15 goals / game - Sigma Olomouc · 1.73 goals / game - Karviná
Sigma Olomouc scores in 70% of games (23 of 33 meczów), while Karviná keeps a clean sheet in 9% (3 of 33 meczów).
Karviná scores in 73% of games (24 of 33 meczów), while Sigma Olomouc keeps a clean sheet in 30% (10 of 33 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sigma Olomouc
Over / Under - Karviná
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sigma Olomouc is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.39 pts / game - Sigma Olomouc · 1.18 pts / game - Karviná
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sigma Olomouc - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Karviná - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 39%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Sigma Olomouc
Karviná
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| Sigma Olomouc | Liga | Karviná | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.39 | 2.63 | ▲ 3.18 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 51% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 48% | 48% | ▲ 73% |
| Clean sheets | • 30% | 29% | ▼ 9% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 72% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 75% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Sigma Olomouc's perspective: 1 win, 2 draws and 0 losses against Karviná. Games average 3.33 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Sigma Olomouc vs Karviná?
The First League match finished Sigma Olomouc 4:0 Karviná. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sigma Olomouc and Karviná?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Sigma Olomouc won 1, Karviná won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sigma Olomouc vs Karviná?
Sigma Olomouc score 1.24 goals per game on average and Karviná 1.45. The First League average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Sigma Olomouc's matches and 67% of Karviná's.
What form are Sigma Olomouc and Karviná in?
Over the last 5 games Sigma Olomouc have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Karviná 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sigma Olomouc vs Karviná?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.