Tanzania - Ligi kuu BaraData current as of October 18, 2026

Simba vs Mbeya City: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Simba vs Mbeya City: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Simba plays Mbeya City in Ligi kuu Bara (Tanzania). The game is scheduled for October 23, 2026.

Recent form

Simba has 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 3.00 points per game. Mbeya City has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Simba scores 2.38 goals per game and allows 0.50. Mbeya City scores 1.00 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.55 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 50% of Simba's games and 29% of Mbeya City's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 29%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 44% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Simba has the higher season xG average, 1.74 to 1.35 per game. Simba takes 9.9 shots per game, while Mbeya City takes 7.6.

First-half and second-half trends

Simba leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 1.50 goals per game after halftime. Mbeya City leads at halftime in 14% and scores 0.71 after halftime.

When the teams score

Simba's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (8 goals). For Mbeya City, it is minutes 76-90+ (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Ligi kuu Bara games average 2.55 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 44% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

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Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

2.38Goals scored / game1
SimbaMbeya City
0.5Goals allowed / game1
SimbaMbeya City
60%Average possession50%
SimbaMbeya City
4.88Shots on target / game2.14
SimbaMbeya City

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

9.88Shots per game7.57
SimbaMbeya City
4.88Shots on target2.14
SimbaMbeya City
24.1%Shot conversion13.2%
SimbaMbeya City
60%Possession50%
SimbaMbeya City
1.74xG for1.35
SimbaMbeya City
0.78xG against1.35
SimbaMbeya City

Shooting quality

Simba: Efficient finishingMbeya City: Efficient finishing
SimbaMbeya City
Accuracy (shots on target)49%28%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.180.18
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.490.47

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Simba is 114% better for: last-5 form.

3 pts / game - Simba · 1.4 pts / game - Mbeya City

Simba
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
100% W0% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-0-0
3.00 pts / game · goal difference +15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-0-0
Last 5 at home
4-0-0
WWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 2.02Opponent xG: 0.88BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Mbeya City
WWDLL
Season result split
43% W14% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-3
1.43 pts / game · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Last 5 away
1-1-1
WDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.45Opponent xG: 1.53BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Simba is 138% better for: goals scored per game.

2.38 goals / game - Simba · 1 goals / game - Mbeya City

Simba is 100% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.5 goals / game - Simba · 1 goals / game - Mbeya City

Simba scoring profile: very strong

Simba scores in 100% of games (8 of 8 games), while Mbeya City keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 games).

Mbeya City scoring profile: mixed

Mbeya City scores in 57% of games (4 of 7 games), while Simba keeps a clean sheet in 50% (4 of 8 games).

19Goals scored (season)7
SimbaMbeya City
4Goals conceded (season)7
SimbaMbeya City
2.88Average goals per game2
SimbaMbeya City
13Goals scored (last 5)5
SimbaMbeya City
2Goals conceded (last 5)6
SimbaMbeya City

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal57%
SimbaMbeya City
88%2 goals43%
SimbaMbeya City
13%3 goals0%
SimbaMbeya City
13%4 goals0%
SimbaMbeya City

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal57%
SimbaMbeya City
0%2 goals29%
SimbaMbeya City
0%3 goals14%
SimbaMbeya City
0%4 goals0%
SimbaMbeya City

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time14%
SimbaMbeya City
0%BTTS in both halves0%
SimbaMbeya City
50%Scored in both halves14%
SimbaMbeya City

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS29%
SimbaMbeya City
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
SimbaMbeya City
40%BTTS - last 540%
SimbaMbeya City

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time57%
SimbaMbeya City
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
SimbaMbeya City
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
SimbaMbeya City

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time57%
SimbaMbeya City
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time43%
SimbaMbeya City
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
SimbaMbeya City

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Simba is 88% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.88 pts / game - Simba · 1 pts / game - Mbeya City

Simba - half-time state
50% leading38% draw13% trailing
Mbeya City - half-time state
14% leading57% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.88Points per game (1st half)1
SimbaMbeya City
0.88Goals scored (1st half)0.29
SimbaMbeya City
0.25Goals conceded (1st half)0.57
SimbaMbeya City
1.13Average goals (1st half)0.86
SimbaMbeya City
75%Clean sheet before half-time57%
SimbaMbeya City
38%No goal before half-time71%
SimbaMbeya City

After half-time (2nd half)

2.63Points per game (2nd half)1.71
SimbaMbeya City
1.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.71
SimbaMbeya City
0.25Goals conceded (2nd half)0.43
SimbaMbeya City
1.75Average goals (2nd half)1.14
SimbaMbeya City
75%Clean sheet after half-time71%
SimbaMbeya City
13%No goal after half-time57%
SimbaMbeya City

Simba - second-half results

88% W0% D13% L
15
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
+10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.88
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 100%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Mbeya City - second-half results

43% W43% D14% L
7
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding307%

Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Simba - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.603.00
Goals scored / game0.62.0
Goals allowed / game0.20.2
Average goals per game0.82.2
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal60%0%
Goal difference+2+9
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 100% won - 0% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Mbeya City - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.801.60
Goals scored / game0.20.8
Goals allowed / game0.60.6
Average goals per game0.81.4
1 goal40%60%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-2+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Simba
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
2
1
16-30
3
0
31-45
4
0
46-60
8
2
61-75
0
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Mbeya City
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
0
1
16-30
1
3
31-45
0
2
46-60
2
1
61-75
3
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.44
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.7 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
40%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-18%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
57%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Simba

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.96
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.92
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.64
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
157%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
49%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Mbeya City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
0.00
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
0.00
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.35
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.35
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
97%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
66%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.03
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
43% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
43%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligi kuu Bara).

Teams vs league

SimbaLigaMbeya City
Average goals per game▲ 2.882.55▼ 2.00
Both teams scored• 50%50%▼ 29%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 50%44%▼ 29%
Clean sheets▲ 50%26%▲ 43%
Goal before half-time• 75%76%▼ 57%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%71%▼ 57%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.55
Average goals per game
50%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.52
Home goals / game
1.03
Away goals / game
+48%
Home attack advantage
+32%
Home defensive advantage
+24%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Simba's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Mbeya City. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

Mbeya City
0 : 1
Simba
Simba
3 : 0
Mbeya City

FAQ

When do Simba and Mbeya City play?

Simba face Mbeya City on October 23, 2026 in Ligi kuu Bara. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Simba and Mbeya City?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Simba won 2, Mbeya City won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Simba vs Mbeya City?

Simba score 2.38 goals per game on average and Mbeya City 1.00. The Ligi kuu Bara average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Simba's matches and 29% of Mbeya City's.

What form are Simba and Mbeya City in?

Over the last 5 games Simba have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Mbeya City 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Simba vs Mbeya City?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Simba vs Mbeya City: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.