Sivasspor vs Erokspor: match statistics

Erokspor have shown more consistent form over their last five matches, earning 8 points from 2 wins, 2 draws and just 1 defeat, while Sivasspor collected 6 points from 2 victories and 3 losses. The visitors conceded only 4 goals during this period, averaging 0.8 per match, whereas the hosts allowed 9 goals, equating to 1.8 goals conceded per game. Sivasspor did score one more goal across the five matches, 6 compared with 5, but their goal difference stands at -3, while Erokspor have a positive goal difference of +1. Particularly noteworthy is the hosts’ recent trend: they have lost 3 of their last 5 matches and recorded no draws during that period. Erokspor’s superior defensive organization and greater consistency in results suggest that the visitors are slight favorites.

Sivasspor recorded BTTS in 80% of their last 5 matches, while Erokspor did so in 60%, providing a clear signal for goals from both sides. The hosts averaged 1.2 goals scored during this period but conceded as many as 1.8, meaning their defensive weaknesses offer Erokspor a genuine route to goal. The visitors averaged 1.0 goals scored, with an xG of 1.48 compared to the 1.30 xG allowed by Sivasspor. Meanwhile, Sivasspor created chances worth 1.28 xG, while Erokspor allowed just 0.95 xG and conceded 4 goals in 5 matches. Therefore, a goal from the hosts is slightly less certain, but the BTTS - Yes scenario remains more likely.

Data from the last five matches points to moderate goal-scoring potential: Sivasspor averaged 1.2 goals, while Erokspor averaged 1.0. However, the hosts conceded 1.8 goals per match, compared with just 0.8 for the visitors, which strengthens the outlook for an Erokspor goal but limits Sivasspor’s expected scoring output. The xG figures are consistent with a scenario of around 2.5 goals: 1.28 and 1.48 in the attacking metrics of both teams, with 1.30 and 0.95 conceded by their respective defenses. Although 80% of Sivasspor’s and 60% of Erokspor’s recent matches saw both teams score, only 20% of the visitors’ recent games went Over 2.5 goals. The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals, as this bet would only lose if at least four goals were scored, while Erokspor’s recent defense conceded just 4 goals in five matches.

The strongest scenario is a draw both at half-time and at full-time, as Erokspor were level at the break in 60% of their last five matches, compared with 40% for Sivasspor. The visitors are also difficult to beat over the full 90 minutes: they averaged 1.6 points, conceded just 0.8 goals and recorded draws in 40% of their matches, while the hosts lost 60% of theirs. Erokspor’s first halves were particularly cautious, with an average of just 0.8 total goals and the team failing to score before the break in 60% of matches. Sivasspor scored only 0.4 goals per match after half-time and failed to find the net in the second half in 80% of their recent appearances, limiting the hosts’ chances of turning a closely contested match in their favor.