Slavia Sofia vs CSKA 1948 Sofia: match statistics

CSKA 1948 Sofia sit 4th, while Slavia Sofia are 7th. Across the season, the visitors have won 6 of their 9 matches, suffering just 2 defeats, whereas the hosts have a record of 2 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses. Current form also favors CSKA: they have collected 9 points from their last five matches with 3 wins, while Slavia have taken 6 points over the same period and scored just 4 goals. The visitors create significantly more chances away from home, averaging 10 shots and 5 on target per match, compared with Slavia’s 5.6 shots and 2.6 on target, while their average xG stands at 1.41 versus 0.98 for the hosts. However, Slavia are difficult to beat at home, where they have drawn 80% of their matches and concede just 0.8 goals on average, making a draw a realistic scenario. CSKA’s superior attacking quality is partly offset by the fact that the visitors have failed to score in 50% of their away matches, but their better form and higher volume of chances created give them a slight edge.

Slavia Sofia records BTTS in 80% of its matches this season, well above the league average of 56%, although CSKA 1948 reaches this figure in 50% of its games. The hosts score an average of 2.4 goals per match, but their output has dropped to 0.8 goals over their last five appearances, which reduces confidence in a Goal/Goal scenario. CSKA 1948 is nevertheless in good goalscoring form, averaging 1.6 goals in its last five matches, while Slavia has conceded an average of 0.8 goals during this period. Both teams create comparable-quality chances: average xG stands at 1.38 for Slavia and 1.41 for CSKA 1948, while the visitors have kept no clean sheets this season. The strongest signal is CSKA 1948's defensive vulnerability combined with the visitors' solid attacking potential, which makes BTTS - Yes slightly more likely.

Recent form points to a match with a moderate number of goals: Slavia have averaged 0.8 goals scored and conceded over their last 5 matches, while CSKA 1948 have scored 1.6 goals and conceded 0.8. The combined xG of both teams from their recent matches is 2.27, with Slavia generating 1.03 xG and CSKA 1948 1.24 xG. Over 2.5 goals was recorded in only 20% of Slavia’s last five matches and in 40% of CSKA 1948’s games, which limits the case for a high-scoring game. Across the season, Slavia have recorded Under 3.5 goals in 80% of matches, compared with 50% for CSKA 1948, while neither team concedes more than 1.25 goals on average. The Under 3.5 line has the edge, as the projected 2.33 goals leaves a clear margin for typical results such as 1:1, 1:0 or 1:2.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a CSKA 1948 win at full-time, as Slavia have drawn at the break in 100% of their last five matches, scoring just 0.2 goals before half-time. CSKA 1948 also tend to start cautiously, with a half-time draw in 60% of their recent matches, although they averaged 0.6 goals in the first half in those games. After the interval, the visitors have shown better current attacking efficiency: they have averaged 1.0 goal in their last five matches, compared with Slavia’s 0.6, and their run includes three wins. The hosts have an excellent 100% winning record in the seasonal home data, but their current form shows just one win in five matches and only 0.8 goals scored per game. CSKA 1948 also average five shots on target per match compared with Slavia’s four, further strengthening the visitors’ chances of deciding an evenly matched opening in the second half. In HT/FT terms, the recommended outcome is X/2.