Smiltene vs Valmiera / BSS: match statistics
Smiltene vs Valmiera / BSS: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Smiltene played against Valmiera / BSS in 1. Liga (Latvia). The game was played on August 8, 2026. Venue: Tepera stadions. Final score: 1:4.
Recent form
Smiltene has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Valmiera / BSS has 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses, with 3.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Smiltene scores 1.20 goals per game and allows 2.60. Valmiera / BSS scores 2.67 and allows 0.87. Games in this league average 3.49 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 53% of Smiltene's games and 67% of Valmiera / BSS's. The Over 2.5 rates are 60% and 80%, compared with league averages of 63% for BTTS and 69% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Valmiera / BSS has the higher season xG average, 1.86 to 1.22 per game. Smiltene takes 8.9 shots per game, while Valmiera / BSS takes 13.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Smiltene leads at halftime in 13% of its games and scores 0.87 goals per game after halftime. Valmiera / BSS leads at halftime in 53% and scores 1.93 after halftime.
When the teams score
Smiltene's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). For Valmiera / BSS, it is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
1. Liga games average 3.49 goals. Both teams score in 63% of games, and 69% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Valmiera / BSS sit 2nd and have won 12 of their 15 matches this season, while Smiltene are 13th with just 2 wins. The visitors are highly effective away from home, averaging 2.56 goals per match with a 22% shot conversion rate, while the hosts concede as many as 2.43 goals per home game. The difference is also reflected in their recent form: Valmiera / BSS have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 14 goals in the process, whereas Smiltene have suffered 3 defeats and conceded 12 goals. The visitors should control the game more often, as they average 56% possession away from home compared with Smiltene’s 45% at home. The hosts are capable of scoring 1.57 goals per home match, but Valmiera / BSS’s clear edge in attacking quality, a defense conceding just 1 goal away from home, and greater consistency strongly point to an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have a seasonal BTTS rate of 67%, above the league average of 63%. Smiltene have averaged 1.8 goals scored over their last five matches but conceded as many as 2.4, while Valmiera / BSS have scored 2.8 goals per game. The hosts have kept a clean sheet in only 33% of their matches, and their current defensive setup allows opponents an xG of 1.58, which favors an away goal. Valmiera / BSS are not completely watertight either: over their last five appearances, they conceded an average of 1.2 goals with an xG against of 1.92, while Smiltene average 10 shots on target. The strong attacking play on both sides and high scoring intensity indicate that a goal from each team is more likely than a scenario in which at least one of them fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have very strong goal-scoring profiles: Smiltene averages 2.83 goals, while Valmiera / BSS averages 2.56 goals per match. At least two goals were scored in 100% of Smiltene’s fixtures and in 89% of Valmiera / BSS matches, providing exceptionally strong support for Over 1.5 goals. The last five appearances also point to an open game, with the hosts averaging 1.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded, while the visitors averaged 2.8 goals scored. The attacking potential remains high, with average xG figures of 2.16 for Smiltene and 1.66 for Valmiera / BSS. The projected total of 3.55 goals also supports higher lines, but Over 1.5 is clearly the safest choice thanks to the near-complete consistency of the season data.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Valmiera / BSS are showing clearly better current form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, while Smiltene have suffered 3 defeats over the same period. The visitors led at the break in 80% of their recent matches, scoring an average of 1.4 goals before half-time and conceding just 0.4, whereas the hosts were ahead at that stage in only 40% of their games. The difference is further reinforced by their second-half form: Valmiera / BSS have recently averaged 1.4 goals after the interval, while Smiltene have conceded as many as 1.6 goals in second halves. The hosts have strong full-season home statistics, averaging 2.83 goals scored and just 0.67 conceded, but across their last five appearances they have averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. The most likely scenario is therefore that the in-form visitors will take the lead before half-time and hold on to it until the final whistle.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Smiltene | Valmiera / BSS | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 47% | 55% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Valmiera / BSS is 150% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Smiltene · 3 pts / game - Valmiera / BSS
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Valmiera / BSS is 123% better for: goals scored per game.
1.2 goals / game - Smiltene · 2.67 goals / game - Valmiera / BSS
Valmiera / BSS is 199% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.6 goals / game - Smiltene · 0.87 goals / game - Valmiera / BSS
Smiltene scores in 60% of games (9 of 15 games), while Valmiera / BSS keeps a clean sheet in 33% (5 of 15 games).
Valmiera / BSS scores in 93% of games (14 of 15 games), while Smiltene keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 15 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Smiltene
Over / Under - Valmiera / BSS
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Valmiera / BSS is 174% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.73 pts / game - Smiltene · 2 pts / game - Valmiera / BSS
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Smiltene - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 13%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Valmiera / BSS - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 53% of games and wins 80%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +7 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Smiltene
Valmiera / BSS
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Smiltene | Liga | Valmiera / BSS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.80 | 3.49 | • 3.53 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 53% | 63% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 60% | 69% | ▲ 80% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 21% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | • 73% | 74% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 85% | ▲ 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Smiltene's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Valmiera / BSS. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Smiltene vs Valmiera / BSS?
The 1. Liga match finished Smiltene 1:4 Valmiera / BSS. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Smiltene vs Valmiera / BSS?
Smiltene score 1.20 goals per game on average and Valmiera / BSS 2.67. The 1. Liga average is 3.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 69% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Smiltene's matches and 67% of Valmiera / BSS's.
What form are Smiltene and Valmiera / BSS in?
Over the last 5 games Smiltene have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Valmiera / BSS 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Smiltene vs Valmiera / BSS?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.