Southend United vs Forest Green Rovers: match statistics
Southend United shows an impressive advantage in home matches, boasting a 50% win rate and a +16 goal difference. The hosts average 1.75 goals scored per home game while conceding only 0.75, and their xG (2.19) significantly exceeds their opponents' xG (1.17). Forest Green Rovers presents solid away form with a 39% win rate, but their last five matches show instability (2 wins, 2 losses). Southend has a better shot conversion rate in home matches (9% vs the visitors' 11%) and a higher average ball possession (56% vs 51%). The recent form of both teams is evenly matched, but the hosts' home advantage, coupled with superior offensive and defensive stats at home, points towards their victory. I expect a tight encounter in which Southend will capitalize on their home-field advantage.
Southend United vs Forest Green Rovers: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Southend United played against Forest Green Rovers in National League (England). The game was played on March 14, 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Recent form
Southend United has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Forest Green Rovers has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Southend United scores 1.65 goals per game and allows 0.97. Forest Green Rovers scores 1.68 and allows 1.16. Games in this league average 2.94 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 53% of Southend United's games and 70% of Forest Green Rovers's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 51%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 57% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Forest Green Rovers has the higher season xG average, 1.99 to 1.88 per game. Southend United takes 15.7 shots per game, while Forest Green Rovers takes 16.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Southend United leads at halftime in 35% of its games and scores 1.06 goals per game after halftime. Forest Green Rovers leads at halftime in 35% and scores 0.92 after halftime.
When the teams score
Southend United's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (21 goals). For Forest Green Rovers, it is minutes 46-60 (14 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
National League games average 2.94 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 57% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Southend United shows an impressive advantage in home matches, boasting a 50% win rate and a +16 goal difference. The hosts average 1.75 goals scored per home game while conceding only 0.75, and their xG (2.19) significantly exceeds their opponents' xG (1.17). Forest Green Rovers presents solid away form with a 39% win rate, but their last five matches show instability (2 wins, 2 losses). Southend has a better shot conversion rate in home matches (9% vs the visitors' 11%) and a higher average ball possession (56% vs 51%). The recent form of both teams is evenly matched, but the hosts' home advantage, coupled with superior offensive and defensive stats at home, points towards their victory. I expect a tight encounter in which Southend will capitalize on their home-field advantage.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Southend United | Forest Green Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Forest Green Rovers is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Southend United · 1.4 pts / game - Forest Green Rovers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Southend United is 20% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.97 goals / game - Southend United · 1.16 goals / game - Forest Green Rovers
Southend United scores in 88% of games (30 of 34 meczów), while Forest Green Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 24% (9 of 37 meczów).
Forest Green Rovers scores in 89% of games (33 of 37 meczów), while Southend United keeps a clean sheet in 38% (13 of 34 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Southend United
Over / Under - Forest Green Rovers
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Southend United is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.53 pts / game - Southend United · 1.38 pts / game - Forest Green Rovers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Southend United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Forest Green Rovers - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 49%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (21 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +14 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (14 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Southend United
Forest Green Rovers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Southend United | Liga | Forest Green Rovers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.62 | 2.94 | ▼ 2.84 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 53% | 57% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 57% | ▼ 51% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 24% | • 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 72% | ▲ 84% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 81% | • 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Southend United's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Forest Green Rovers. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Southend United vs Forest Green Rovers?
The National League match finished Southend United 2:0 Forest Green Rovers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Southend United vs Forest Green Rovers?
Southend United score 1.65 goals per game on average and Forest Green Rovers 1.68. The National League average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Southend United's matches and 70% of Forest Green Rovers's.
What form are Southend United and Forest Green Rovers in?
Over the last 5 games Southend United have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Forest Green Rovers 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Southend United vs Forest Green Rovers?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.