Brazil - Serie BEstádio Adelmar da Costa CarvalhoData current as of October 14, 2026

Sport Recife vs Fortaleza: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Sport Recife vs Fortaleza: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Sport Recife plays Fortaleza in Serie B (Brazil). The game is scheduled for October 16, 2026. Venue: Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho.

Recent form

Sport Recife has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Fortaleza has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 1.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Sport Recife scores 1.36 goals per game and allows 1.06. Fortaleza scores 1.18 and allows 0.88. Games in this league average 2.35 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 67% of Sport Recife's games and 45% of Fortaleza's. The Over 2.5 rates are 52% and 36%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 43% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Fortaleza has the higher season xG average, 1.49 to 1.44 per game. Sport Recife takes 14.2 shots per game, while Fortaleza takes 14.2.

First-half and second-half trends

Sport Recife leads at halftime in 30% of its games and scores 0.82 goals per game after halftime. Fortaleza leads at halftime in 39% and scores 0.58 after halftime.

When the teams score

Sport Recife's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (15 goals). For Fortaleza, it is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie B games average 2.35 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 43% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.22)
(3.20)
(3.05)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Sport RecifeFortaleza
1.36Goals scored / game1.18
Sport RecifeFortaleza
1.06Goals allowed / game0.88
Sport RecifeFortaleza
54%Average possession50%
Sport RecifeFortaleza
4.21Shots on target / game4.09
Sport RecifeFortaleza

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

14.21Shots per game14.21
Sport RecifeFortaleza
4.21Shots on target4.09
Sport RecifeFortaleza
9.6%Shot conversion8.3%
Sport RecifeFortaleza
54%Possession50%
Sport RecifeFortaleza
1.44xG for1.49
Sport RecifeFortaleza
1.58xG against1.4
Sport RecifeFortaleza

Shooting quality

Sport Recife: AttackingFortaleza: Attacking
Sport RecifeFortaleza
Accuracy (shots on target)30%29%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Sport Recife is 11% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / game - Sport Recife · 1.8 pts / game - Fortaleza

Sport Recife
WLWWD
Season result split
39% W36% D24% L
Season (W-D-L)
13-12-8
1.55 pts / game · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-7-1
Last 5 at home
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.49Opponent xG: 1.85BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%
Fortaleza
WDDWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
45% W36% D18% L
Season (W-D-L)
15-12-6
1.73 pts / game · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
6-5-5
Last 5 away
4-1-0
DWWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.41Opponent xG: 1.24BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Sport Recife is 15% better for: goals scored per game.

1.36 goals / game - Sport Recife · 1.18 goals / game - Fortaleza

Fortaleza is 20% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.06 goals / game - Sport Recife · 0.88 goals / game - Fortaleza

Sport Recife scoring profile: very strong

Sport Recife scores in 88% of games (29 of 33 games), while Fortaleza keeps a clean sheet in 42% (14 of 33 games).

Fortaleza scoring profile: very strong

Fortaleza scores in 76% of games (25 of 33 games), while Sport Recife keeps a clean sheet in 30% (10 of 33 games).

45Goals scored (season)39
Sport RecifeFortaleza
35Goals conceded (season)29
Sport RecifeFortaleza
2.42Average goals per game2.06
Sport RecifeFortaleza
8Goals scored (last 5)8
Sport RecifeFortaleza
7Goals conceded (last 5)6
Sport RecifeFortaleza

How often they score at least...

88%1 goal76%
Sport RecifeFortaleza
39%2 goals30%
Sport RecifeFortaleza
9%3 goals9%
Sport RecifeFortaleza
0%4 goals3%
Sport RecifeFortaleza

How often they concede at least...

70%1 goal58%
Sport RecifeFortaleza
30%2 goals21%
Sport RecifeFortaleza
6%3 goals6%
Sport RecifeFortaleza
0%4 goals3%
Sport RecifeFortaleza

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

47%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time18%
Sport RecifeFortaleza
6%BTTS in both halves6%
Sport RecifeFortaleza
21%Scored in both halves18%
Sport RecifeFortaleza

BTTS and goal count

48%Min. 3 goals and BTTS27%
Sport RecifeFortaleza
3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
Sport RecifeFortaleza
100%BTTS - last 580%
Sport RecifeFortaleza

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time73%
Sport RecifeFortaleza
27%Min. 2 goals before half-time30%
Sport RecifeFortaleza
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time9%
Sport RecifeFortaleza

2nd half

76%Min. 1 goal after half-time64%
Sport RecifeFortaleza
48%Min. 2 goals after half-time24%
Sport RecifeFortaleza
12%Min. 3 goals after half-time3%
Sport RecifeFortaleza

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Fortaleza is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.33 pts / game - Sport Recife · 1.58 pts / game - Fortaleza

Sport Recife - half-time state
30% leading42% draw27% trailing
Fortaleza - half-time state
39% leading39% draw21% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.33Points per game (1st half)1.58
Sport RecifeFortaleza
0.55Goals scored (1st half)0.61
Sport RecifeFortaleza
0.48Goals conceded (1st half)0.52
Sport RecifeFortaleza
1.03Average goals (1st half)1.12
Sport RecifeFortaleza
55%Clean sheet before half-time61%
Sport RecifeFortaleza
61%No goal before half-time48%
Sport RecifeFortaleza

After half-time (2nd half)

1.45Points per game (2nd half)1.39
Sport RecifeFortaleza
0.82Goals scored (2nd half)0.58
Sport RecifeFortaleza
0.58Goals conceded (2nd half)0.36
Sport RecifeFortaleza
1.39Average goals (2nd half)0.94
Sport RecifeFortaleza
52%Clean sheet after half-time67%
Sport RecifeFortaleza
30%No goal after half-time58%
Sport RecifeFortaleza

Sport Recife - second-half results

30% W55% D15% L
44
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
48
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding130%

Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 39%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Fortaleza - second-half results

30% W48% D21% L
52
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
46
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.58
PPG before half-time
Lead holding115%

Leads at halftime in 39% of games and wins 45%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.2

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Sport Recife - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.401.60
Goals scored / game0.80.8
Goals allowed / game0.80.6
Average goals per game1.61.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Fortaleza - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.200.80
Goals scored / game1.20.4
Goals allowed / game0.60.6
Average goals per game1.81.0
1 goal100%60%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal0%60%
Goal difference+3-1
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Sport Recife
ScoredConceded
4
1
0-15
6
9
16-30
8
6
31-45
7
4
46-60
5
5
61-75
15
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

Fortaleza
ScoredConceded
4
5
0-15
6
2
16-30
10
10
31-45
6
7
46-60
2
3
61-75
11
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.24
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.1 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
95%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
56%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-41%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
67%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Sport Recife

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.44
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.52
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
101%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
105%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.45
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Fortaleza

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.09
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.21
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.31
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.52
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
117%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
66%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

Sport RecifeLigaFortaleza
Average goals per game• 2.422.35▼ 2.06
Both teams scored▲ 67%47%▼ 45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 52%43%▼ 36%
Clean sheets• 30%30%▲ 42%
Goal before half-time• 67%68%▲ 73%
Goal after half-time▲ 76%74%▼ 64%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.35
Average goals per game
47%
Both teams scored
43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.34
Home goals / game
1.01
Away goals / game
+33%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defensive advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Sport Recife's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses against Fortaleza. Games average 1.33 goals, and both teams scored in 33% of them.

Fortaleza
2 : 1
Sport Recife
Fortaleza EC
1 : 0
SC do Recife
SC do Recife
0 : 0
Fortaleza EC

FAQ

When do Sport Recife and Fortaleza play?

Sport Recife face Fortaleza on October 16, 2026 in Serie B at Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Sport Recife and Fortaleza?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Sport Recife won 0, Fortaleza won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Sport Recife vs Fortaleza?

Sport Recife score 1.36 goals per game on average and Fortaleza 1.18. The Serie B average is 2.35 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Sport Recife's matches and 45% of Fortaleza's.

What form are Sport Recife and Fortaleza in?

Over the last 5 games Sport Recife have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Fortaleza 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sport Recife vs Fortaleza?

The statistical background for Sport Recife vs Fortaleza — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.