Sport Recife vs Fortaleza: match statistics
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Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Sport Recife vs Fortaleza: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Sport Recife plays Fortaleza in Serie B (Brazil). The game is scheduled for October 16, 2026. Venue: Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho.
Recent form
Sport Recife has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Fortaleza has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Sport Recife scores 1.36 goals per game and allows 1.06. Fortaleza scores 1.18 and allows 0.88. Games in this league average 2.35 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 67% of Sport Recife's games and 45% of Fortaleza's. The Over 2.5 rates are 52% and 36%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 43% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Fortaleza has the higher season xG average, 1.49 to 1.44 per game. Sport Recife takes 14.2 shots per game, while Fortaleza takes 14.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Sport Recife leads at halftime in 30% of its games and scores 0.82 goals per game after halftime. Fortaleza leads at halftime in 39% and scores 0.58 after halftime.
When the teams score
Sport Recife's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (15 goals). For Fortaleza, it is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie B games average 2.35 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 43% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Sport Recife | Fortaleza | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Sport Recife is 11% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Sport Recife · 1.8 pts / game - Fortaleza
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sport Recife is 15% better for: goals scored per game.
1.36 goals / game - Sport Recife · 1.18 goals / game - Fortaleza
Fortaleza is 20% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.06 goals / game - Sport Recife · 0.88 goals / game - Fortaleza
Sport Recife scores in 88% of games (29 of 33 games), while Fortaleza keeps a clean sheet in 42% (14 of 33 games).
Fortaleza scores in 76% of games (25 of 33 games), while Sport Recife keeps a clean sheet in 30% (10 of 33 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sport Recife
Over / Under - Fortaleza
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fortaleza is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / game - Sport Recife · 1.58 pts / game - Fortaleza
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sport Recife - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 39%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Fortaleza - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 39% of games and wins 45%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Sport Recife
Fortaleza
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Sport Recife | Liga | Fortaleza | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.42 | 2.35 | ▼ 2.06 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 47% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 43% | ▼ 36% |
| Clean sheets | • 30% | 30% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | • 67% | 68% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 76% | 74% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Sport Recife's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses against Fortaleza. Games average 1.33 goals, and both teams scored in 33% of them.
FAQ
When do Sport Recife and Fortaleza play?
Sport Recife face Fortaleza on October 16, 2026 in Serie B at Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sport Recife and Fortaleza?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Sport Recife won 0, Fortaleza won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sport Recife vs Fortaleza?
Sport Recife score 1.36 goals per game on average and Fortaleza 1.18. The Serie B average is 2.35 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Sport Recife's matches and 45% of Fortaleza's.
What form are Sport Recife and Fortaleza in?
Over the last 5 games Sport Recife have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Fortaleza 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sport Recife vs Fortaleza?
The statistical background for Sport Recife vs Fortaleza — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


