Sporting Braga vs Estrela Amadora: match statistics
Sporting Braga vs Estrela Amadora: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sporting Braga play Estrela Amadora in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match date is 16 May 2026 at 19:00. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Sporting Braga: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Estrela Amadora: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sporting Braga scores 1.88 and concedes 1.06 goals per match. Estrela Amadora scores 1.12 and concedes 1.65. League average: 2.68 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sporting Braga 56%, Estrela Amadora 47%. Over 2.5: Sporting Braga 68%, Estrela Amadora 53%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Sporting Braga has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.15. Sporting Braga: 11.7 shots per match, Estrela Amadora: 10.8.
Match halves
Sporting Braga: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.79. Estrela Amadora: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.56.
Goals by minute
Sporting Braga: 16-30 (15 goals). Estrela Amadora: 61-75 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga Portugal: 2.68 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Sporting Braga holds a clear statistical advantage: 62 goals scored and 34 conceded across the season versus 36 scored and 54 conceded by Estrela Amadora. At home Braga averages 2.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per match with 4.31 shots on target and 62% possession, while Estrela away records 0.94 goals scored, 1.88 conceded and 3.19 shots on target with 44% possession. The difference in quality of chances is confirmed by xG: Braga at home has xG 1.35 with xG against 0.95, and Estrela away has xG for 0.98 and xG against 1.68. In the last 5 matches Braga scored 7 goals (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses) and averages 1.0 point per match, whereas Estrela scored 3 goals, failed to win (0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses) and averages 0.2 points per match. Additionally, Estrela fail to score in 50% of their away games, while Braga are kept blank in only 13% of their home matches, which leads me to predict a home win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sporting Braga | Estrela Amadora | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sporting Braga is 200% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Sporting Braga · 0.4 pts / match - Estrela Amadora
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sporting Braga is 68% better for: goals scored per match.
1.88 goals / match - Sporting Braga · 1.12 goals / match - Estrela Amadora
Sporting Braga is 56% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.06 goals / match - Sporting Braga · 1.65 goals / match - Estrela Amadora
Sporting Braga scores in 91% of matches (31 of 34 matches), while Estrela Amadora keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).
Estrela Amadora scores in 56% of matches (19 of 34 matches), while Sporting Braga keeps a clean sheet in 35% (12 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Sporting Braga
Over / Under — Estrela Amadora
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sporting Braga is 76% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.76 pts / match - Sporting Braga · 1 pts / match - Estrela Amadora
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sporting Braga - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 47%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Estrela Amadora - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 18%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (15 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sporting Braga
Estrela Amadora
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| Sporting Braga | Liga | Estrela Amadora | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.94 | 2.68 | • 2.76 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 48% | • 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 68% | 54% | • 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 29% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 69% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 80% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Sporting Braga 0 - 1 - 0 Estrela Amadora. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sporting Braga vs Estrela Amadora?
The Liga NOS match finished Sporting Braga 2:2 Estrela Amadora. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Sporting Braga vs Estrela Amadora?
Sporting Braga score 1.88 goals per game on average and Estrela Amadora 1.12. The Liga NOS average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Sporting Braga's matches and 47% of Estrela Amadora's.
What form are Sporting Braga and Estrela Amadora in?
Over the last 5 games Sporting Braga have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Estrela Amadora 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sporting Braga vs Estrela Amadora?
The statistical background for Sporting Braga vs Estrela Amadora — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.