Sportivo Luqueño vs Libertad: match statistics
Sportivo Luqueño vs Libertad: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sportivo Luqueño play Libertad in Division Profesional (Paraguay). The match date is 11 May 2026 at 01:00. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Sportivo Luqueño: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Libertad: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sportivo Luqueño scores 1.09 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Libertad scores 1.55 and concedes 1.18. League average: 2.44 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sportivo Luqueño 64%, Libertad 41%. Over 2.5: Sportivo Luqueño 55%, Libertad 45%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Libertad has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.25. Sportivo Luqueño: 11.4 shots per match, Libertad: 13.9.
Match halves
Sportivo Luqueño: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.41. Libertad: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.91.
Goals by minute
Sportivo Luqueño: 31-45+ (6 goals). Libertad: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Division Profesional: 2.44 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
5 H2H matches: 2-0-3. Average goals 2.20, BTTS 20%.
Match description
I predict an away win (Libertad). Libertad posts higher average xG on the road at 1.54 versus Sportivo’s 1.33 xG at home, which when simply averaged yields approximately 1.39 expected goals for Libertad and 1.25 for the hosts. The visitors average 14.89 shots and 4.67 on target per away match, while the hosts average 12.33 and 4.22 at home; Libertad also records superior possession (56% vs 48%), which facilitates chance creation. Defensively Libertad concedes 1.22 goals on average away, whereas Sportivo concedes 1.56 at home and has 0% clean sheets in home matches; nonetheless Sportivo has better recent form over the last 5 matches (1.6 points per game vs 1.2 for Libertad) — in those five fixtures Libertad scored 10 and conceded 9, while Sportivo scored 7 and conceded 6. Considering the advantage in xG, possession and shot volume combined with Sportivo’s weaker home defence, I assign the probability distribution: home 25%, draw 30%, away 45%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sportivo Luqueño | Libertad | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Libertad is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Sportivo Luqueño · 2 pts / match - Libertad
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Libertad is 42% better for: goals scored per match.
1.09 goals / match - Sportivo Luqueño · 1.55 goals / match - Libertad
Libertad is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Sportivo Luqueño · 1.18 goals / match - Libertad
Sportivo Luqueño scores in 64% of matches (14 of 22 matches), while Libertad keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 matches).
Libertad scores in 68% of matches (15 of 22 matches), while Sportivo Luqueño keeps a clean sheet in 9% (2 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Sportivo Luqueño
Over / Under — Libertad
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Libertad is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.23 pts / match - Sportivo Luqueño · 1.32 pts / match - Libertad
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sportivo Luqueño - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Libertad - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sportivo Luqueño
Libertad
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).
Teams vs league
| Sportivo Luqueño | Liga | Libertad | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.59 | 2.44 | ▲ 2.73 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 51% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 55% | 43% | ▲ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 9% | 29% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 68% | 63% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | • 77% | 78% | • 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Sportivo Luqueño 2 - 0 - 3 Libertad. Average goals 2.20, both teams scored in 20% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sportivo Luqueño vs Libertad?
The Division Profesional match finished Sportivo Luqueño 2:3 Libertad. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sportivo Luqueño and Libertad?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Sportivo Luqueño won 2, Libertad won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.20 goals, with both teams scoring in 20% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sportivo Luqueño vs Libertad?
Sportivo Luqueño score 1.09 goals per game on average and Libertad 1.55. The Division Profesional average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Sportivo Luqueño's matches and 41% of Libertad's.
What form are Sportivo Luqueño and Libertad in?
Over the last 5 games Sportivo Luqueño have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Libertad 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sportivo Luqueño vs Libertad?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Sportivo Luqueño vs Libertad: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.