Sportivo Trinidense vs Deportivo Recoleta: match statistics
Statistical analysis suggests a closely contested match with a high probability of a draw. Sportivo Trinidense displays a solid defense at home (0.6 goals conceded on average, 40% clean sheets), but struggles offensively (0.8 goals per match, 0 wins in their last 5 games). Deportivo Recoleta shows better shooting efficiency away from home (1.2 goals on average, 13% shot conversion), but their form is also poor (0.4 points per match in their last 5 outings). A key factor is the dominance of draws in home matches (80% draws at home) and the balanced xG values of both teams (1.33 vs 1.02 in favor of the hosts, but 1.26 vs 1.46 xGA). Considering both teams' current poor form and Sportivo's statistical tendency to draw in front of their home crowd, the most likely outcome is a share of the points.
Sportivo Trinidense vs Deportivo Recoleta: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sportivo Trinidense play Deportivo Recoleta in Division Profesional (Paraguay). The match date is 23 March 2026 at 22:30. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Sportivo Trinidense: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Deportivo Recoleta: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sportivo Trinidense scores 1.36 and concedes 1.09 goals per match. Deportivo Recoleta scores 1.59 and concedes 1.45. League average: 2.44 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sportivo Trinidense 73%, Deportivo Recoleta 68%. Over 2.5: Sportivo Trinidense 50%, Deportivo Recoleta 64%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Sportivo Trinidense has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.19. Sportivo Trinidense: 11.8 shots per match, Deportivo Recoleta: 10.9.
Match halves
Sportivo Trinidense: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.73. Deportivo Recoleta: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.91.
Goals by minute
Sportivo Trinidense: 16-30 (7 goals). Deportivo Recoleta: 46-60 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Division Profesional: 2.44 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
5 H2H matches: 2-2-1. Average goals 3.60, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Statistical analysis suggests a closely contested match with a high probability of a draw. Sportivo Trinidense displays a solid defense at home (0.6 goals conceded on average, 40% clean sheets), but struggles offensively (0.8 goals per match, 0 wins in their last 5 games). Deportivo Recoleta shows better shooting efficiency away from home (1.2 goals on average, 13% shot conversion), but their form is also poor (0.4 points per match in their last 5 outings). A key factor is the dominance of draws in home matches (80% draws at home) and the balanced xG values of both teams (1.33 vs 1.02 in favor of the hosts, but 1.26 vs 1.46 xGA). Considering both teams' current poor form and Sportivo's statistical tendency to draw in front of their home crowd, the most likely outcome is a share of the points.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sportivo Trinidense | Deportivo Recoleta | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Deportivo Recoleta is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
1.36 goals / match - Sportivo Trinidense · 1.59 goals / match - Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Trinidense is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.09 goals / match - Sportivo Trinidense · 1.45 goals / match - Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Trinidense scores in 86% of matches (19 of 22 matches), while Deportivo Recoleta keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 matches).
Deportivo Recoleta scores in 86% of matches (19 of 22 matches), while Sportivo Trinidense keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Sportivo Trinidense
Over / Under — Deportivo Recoleta
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sportivo Trinidense - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Deportivo Recoleta - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sportivo Trinidense
Deportivo Recoleta
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).
Teams vs league
| Sportivo Trinidense | Liga | Deportivo Recoleta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.45 | 2.44 | ▲ 3.05 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 73% | 51% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 43% | ▲ 64% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 29% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 63% | ▲ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 78% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Sportivo Trinidense 2 - 2 - 1 Deportivo Recoleta. Average goals 3.60, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sportivo Trinidense vs Deportivo Recoleta?
The Division Profesional match finished Sportivo Trinidense 3:2 Deportivo Recoleta. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sportivo Trinidense and Deportivo Recoleta?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Sportivo Trinidense won 2, Deportivo Recoleta won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.60 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sportivo Trinidense vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Sportivo Trinidense score 1.36 goals per game on average and Deportivo Recoleta 1.59. The Division Profesional average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 73% of Sportivo Trinidense's matches and 68% of Deportivo Recoleta's.
What form are Sportivo Trinidense and Deportivo Recoleta in?
Over the last 5 games Sportivo Trinidense have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Deportivo Recoleta 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sportivo Trinidense vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Sportivo Trinidense vs Deportivo Recoleta: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.