St. Johnstone vs Ayr United: match statistics
St. Johnstone tops the table and boasts impressive home form with a 54% win rate and only 8% losses at home. The hosts have scored 47 goals this season while conceding just 20, resulting in a +17 goal difference in home fixtures. Despite a solid league position, Ayr United struggles on the road with a 50% draw rate and only 33% wins, averaging just 1 point per match in their last five outings. St. Johnstone dominates possession (64% vs 48%) and shots on target (5.77 vs 4.17), highlighting their offensive superiority. Given the hosts' defensive solidity (54% clean sheets at home) and the visitors' inconsistent recent form, a St. Johnstone victory is expected, although Ayr United's high percentage of away draws (50%) suggests a split of points cannot be entirely ruled out.
St. Johnstone vs Ayr United: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
St. Johnstone played against Ayr United in Championship (Scotland). The game was played on February 28, 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
St. Johnstone has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Ayr United has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
St. Johnstone scores 1.81 goals per game and allows 0.81. Ayr United scores 1.25 and allows 1.13. Games in this league average 2.45 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 46% of St. Johnstone's games and 63% of Ayr United's. The Over 2.5 rates are 54% and 38%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 44% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
St. Johnstone has the higher season xG average, 1.84 to 1.39 per game. St. Johnstone takes 15.5 shots per game, while Ayr United takes 10.9.
First-half and second-half trends
St. Johnstone leads at halftime in 42% of its games and scores 0.92 goals per game after halftime. Ayr United leads at halftime in 50% and scores 0.38 after halftime.
When the teams score
St. Johnstone's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (13 goals). For Ayr United, it is minutes 0-15 (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Championship games average 2.45 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 44% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
St. Johnstone tops the table and boasts impressive home form with a 54% win rate and only 8% losses at home. The hosts have scored 47 goals this season while conceding just 20, resulting in a +17 goal difference in home fixtures. Despite a solid league position, Ayr United struggles on the road with a 50% draw rate and only 33% wins, averaging just 1 point per match in their last five outings. St. Johnstone dominates possession (64% vs 48%) and shots on target (5.77 vs 4.17), highlighting their offensive superiority. Given the hosts' defensive solidity (54% clean sheets at home) and the visitors' inconsistent recent form, a St. Johnstone victory is expected, although Ayr United's high percentage of away draws (50%) suggests a split of points cannot be entirely ruled out.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| St. Johnstone | Ayr United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
St. Johnstone is 45% better for: goals scored per game.
1.81 goals / game - St. Johnstone · 1.25 goals / game - Ayr United
St. Johnstone is 40% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.81 goals / game - St. Johnstone · 1.13 goals / game - Ayr United
St. Johnstone scores in 77% of games (20 of 26 meczów), while Ayr United keeps a clean sheet in 29% (7 of 24 meczów).
Ayr United scores in 75% of games (18 of 24 meczów), while St. Johnstone keeps a clean sheet in 50% (13 of 26 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - St. Johnstone
Over / Under - Ayr United
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
St. Johnstone - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 42% of games and wins 54%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Ayr United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 29%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (13 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
St. Johnstone
Ayr United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| St. Johnstone | Liga | Ayr United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.62 | 2.45 | • 2.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 50% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 54% | 44% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 32% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | • 69% | 69% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 71% | ▼ 58% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from St. Johnstone's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Ayr United. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of St. Johnstone vs Ayr United?
The Championship match finished St. Johnstone 3:1 Ayr United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between St. Johnstone and Ayr United?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches St. Johnstone won 1, Ayr United won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before St. Johnstone vs Ayr United?
St. Johnstone score 1.81 goals per game on average and Ayr United 1.25. The Championship average is 2.45 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 46% of St. Johnstone's matches and 63% of Ayr United's.
What form are St. Johnstone and Ayr United in?
Over the last 5 games St. Johnstone have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Ayr United 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for St. Johnstone vs Ayr United?
The statistical background for St. Johnstone vs Ayr United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.