Scotland - PremiershipData current as of 23 July 2026

St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock: match statistics

St. Mirren crest
St. Mirren
0 : 3half-time 0:1
Kilmarnock crest
Kilmarnock

St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

St. Mirren play Kilmarnock in Premiership (Scotland). The match date is 9 May 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 0:3.

Current form

St. Mirren: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Kilmarnock: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

St. Mirren scores 0.79 and concedes 1.45 goals per match. Kilmarnock scores 1.32 and concedes 1.79. League average: 2.78 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: St. Mirren 37%, Kilmarnock 55%. Over 2.5: St. Mirren 32%, Kilmarnock 66%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

St. Mirren has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.31. St. Mirren: 11.9 shots per match, Kilmarnock: 11.4.

Match halves

St. Mirren: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.50. Kilmarnock: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.63.

Goals by minute

St. Mirren: 76-90+ (9 goals). Kilmarnock: 31-45+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premiership: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

3 H2H matches: 0-1-2. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 33%.

Match description

St. Mirren average only 0.59 goals per home match despite xG 1.40, with a mere 5% conversion rate and failing to score in 59% of home games, which severely limits their attacking output. Kilmarnock on the road average 0.88 goals with xG 1.10, have a higher conversion (10%) and only 29% of away matches without a goal; in their last 5 away games the visitors scored 7 goals and averaged 1.4 points per match. At the same time Kilmarnock’s away defence is vulnerable — conceding 2.29 goals per match with xG against 1.92, while St. Mirren concede 1.06 at home and keep clean sheets in 47% of home games, which balances the outlook. Considering the shot balance (St. Mirren 12.35 vs Kilmarnock 9.0 per match), the hosts’ low efficiency and the visitors’ better recent form, I expect an even, low-scoring game with a slight lean towards a draw.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
0 : 2
2nd half

Match statistics

59Possession (%)41
St. MirrenKilmarnock
12Shots10
St. MirrenKilmarnock
2Shots on target4
St. MirrenKilmarnock
1.29xG1.09
St. MirrenKilmarnock
1Corners4
St. MirrenKilmarnock
53Dangerous attacks25
St. MirrenKilmarnock
11Fouls11
St. MirrenKilmarnock
3Cards1
St. MirrenKilmarnock

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

St. MirrenKilmarnock
0.79Goals scored / match1.32
St. MirrenKilmarnock
1.45Goals conceded / match1.79
St. MirrenKilmarnock
46%Average possession42%
St. MirrenKilmarnock
3.66Shots on target / match3.95
St. MirrenKilmarnock

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.87Shots per match11.39
St. MirrenKilmarnock
3.66Shots on target3.95
St. MirrenKilmarnock
6.7%Shot conversion11.5%
St. MirrenKilmarnock
46%Possession42%
St. MirrenKilmarnock
1.36xG for1.31
St. MirrenKilmarnock
1.41xG against1.64
St. MirrenKilmarnock

Shooting quality

St. Mirren: BalancedKilmarnock: Balanced
St. MirrenKilmarnock
Accuracy (shots on target)31%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.220.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Kilmarnock is 200% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - St. Mirren · 2.4 pts / match - Kilmarnock

St. Mirren
LLLWD
Season result split
21% W26% R53% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-10-20
0.89 pts / match · goal difference -25
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-6-8
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
LWLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.59Opponent xG: 0.96BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Kilmarnock
LWWWW
Season result split
26% W26% R47% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-10-18
1.05 pts / match · goal difference -18
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-6-10
Last 5 away
2-0-3
LLLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.54Opponent xG: 1.37BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Kilmarnock is 67% better for: goals scored per match.

0.79 goals / match - St. Mirren · 1.32 goals / match - Kilmarnock

St. Mirren is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.45 goals / match - St. Mirren · 1.79 goals / match - Kilmarnock

St. Mirren scoring profile: strong

St. Mirren scores in 53% of matches (20 of 38 matches), while Kilmarnock keeps a clean sheet in 24% (9 of 38 matches).

Kilmarnock scoring profile: very strong

Kilmarnock scores in 74% of matches (28 of 38 matches), while St. Mirren keeps a clean sheet in 24% (9 of 38 matches).

30Goals scored (season)50
St. MirrenKilmarnock
55Goals conceded (season)68
St. MirrenKilmarnock
2.24Average goals in match3.11
St. MirrenKilmarnock
3Goals scored (last 5)13
St. MirrenKilmarnock
7Goals conceded (last 5)3
St. MirrenKilmarnock

How often they score at least...

53%1 goal74%
St. MirrenKilmarnock
21%2 goals37%
St. MirrenKilmarnock
5%3 goals16%
St. MirrenKilmarnock
0%4 goals5%
St. MirrenKilmarnock

How often they concede at least...

76%1 goal76%
St. MirrenKilmarnock
42%2 goals53%
St. MirrenKilmarnock
18%3 goals34%
St. MirrenKilmarnock
5%4 goals11%
St. MirrenKilmarnock

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

52%
League average

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time18%
St. MirrenKilmarnock
5%BTTS in both halves5%
St. MirrenKilmarnock
16%Scored in both halves24%
St. MirrenKilmarnock

BTTS and goal count

24%Min. 3 goals and BTTS45%
St. MirrenKilmarnock
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS21%
St. MirrenKilmarnock
20%BTTS - last 540%
St. MirrenKilmarnock

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

61%Min. 1 goal before half-time82%
St. MirrenKilmarnock
18%Min. 2 goals before half-time39%
St. MirrenKilmarnock
5%Min. 3 goals before half-time16%
St. MirrenKilmarnock

2nd half

79%Min. 1 goal after half-time84%
St. MirrenKilmarnock
39%Min. 2 goals after half-time58%
St. MirrenKilmarnock
11%Min. 3 goals after half-time18%
St. MirrenKilmarnock

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Kilmarnock is 49% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.95 pts / match - St. Mirren · 1.42 pts / match - Kilmarnock

St. Mirren - half-time state
16% leading47% draw37% trailing
Kilmarnock - half-time state
39% leading24% draw37% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.95Points per match (1st half)1.42
St. MirrenKilmarnock
0.29Goals scored (1st half)0.68
St. MirrenKilmarnock
0.55Goals conceded (1st half)0.71
St. MirrenKilmarnock
0.84Average goals (1st half)1.39
St. MirrenKilmarnock
55%Clean sheet before half-time50%
St. MirrenKilmarnock
71%No goal before half-time50%
St. MirrenKilmarnock

After half-time (2nd half)

1.03Points per match (2nd half)1.08
St. MirrenKilmarnock
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.63
St. MirrenKilmarnock
0.89Goals conceded (2nd half)1.08
St. MirrenKilmarnock
1.39Average goals (2nd half)1.71
St. MirrenKilmarnock
39%Clean sheet after half-time39%
St. MirrenKilmarnock
61%No goal after half-time53%
St. MirrenKilmarnock

St. Mirren - second-half results

21% W39% R39% P
36
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-10
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
-15
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.95
PPG before half-time
Lead holding131%

Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Kilmarnock - second-half results

26% W29% R45% P
54
Half-time points
26
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
41
Second-half points
-17
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.42
PPG before half-time
Lead holding67%

Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 26%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

St. Mirren - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.40
Goals scored / match0.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match0.81.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-2-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Kilmarnock - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.002.60
Goals scored / match0.81.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match1.22.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+2+8
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

St. Mirren
ScoredConceded
1
6
0-15
5
5
16-30
5
10
31-45
4
9
46-60
6
9
61-75
9
16
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.

Kilmarnock
ScoredConceded
4
10
0-15
10
11
16-30
12
6
31-45
9
14
46-60
5
11
61-75
10
16
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.67
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
46%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+12%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
39%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

St. Mirren

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.61
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+7.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.57
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
50%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
122%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.09
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 3% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

Kilmarnock

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.33
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
111%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
113%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+1.35
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).

Teams vs league

St. MirrenLigaKilmarnock
Average goals in match 2.242.78 3.11
Both teams scored 37%52% 55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 32%53% 66%
Clean sheets 24%28% 24%
Goal before half-time 61%76% 82%
Goal after half-time 79%80% 84%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.78
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.59
Home goals / match
1.19
Away goals / match
+34%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defence advantage
+16%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): St. Mirren 0 - 1 - 2 Kilmarnock. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock?

The Premiership match finished St. Mirren 0:3 Kilmarnock. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between St. Mirren and Kilmarnock?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches St. Mirren won 0, Kilmarnock won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock?

St. Mirren score 0.79 goals per game on average and Kilmarnock 1.32. The Premiership average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 37% of St. Mirren's matches and 55% of Kilmarnock's.

What form are St. Mirren and Kilmarnock in?

Over the last 5 games St. Mirren have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Kilmarnock 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.