St. Pauli vs Wolfsburg: match statistics
St. Pauli vs Wolfsburg: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
St. Pauli play Wolfsburg in Bundesliga (Germany). The match date is 16 May 2026 at 15:30. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
St. Pauli: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Wolfsburg: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
St. Pauli scores 0.85 and concedes 1.76 goals per match. Wolfsburg scores 1.32 and concedes 2.03. League average: 3.24 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: St. Pauli 56%, Wolfsburg 74%. Over 2.5: St. Pauli 56%, Wolfsburg 65%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Wolfsburg has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.19. St. Pauli: 10.3 shots per match, Wolfsburg: 11.9.
Match halves
St. Pauli: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.53. Wolfsburg: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
St. Pauli: 31-45+ (7 goals). Wolfsburg: 0-15 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.24 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Wolfsburg is the favorite based on the numbers: they have scored 42 goals this season versus St. Pauli’s 28 and possess higher shot efficiency (14% conversion away vs 9% for the hosts). In the last 5 matches the visitors scored 4 goals, have 1 win and average 1.0 point per game, while St. Pauli scored 3 goals, recorded no wins and average only 0.2 points per game. The hosts, however, create more chances at home (avg xG 1.31, 10.63 shots and 4.31 shots on target) but convert poorly (avg 1.0 goal per game and 38% of matches without a goal). Defensively both teams are vulnerable — St. Pauli concedes 1.75 goals per home game, Wolfsburg 2.25 on the road — yet in the last 5 fixtures the visitors have conceded only 5 goals (1.0 per game) versus 12 (2.4 per game) for the hosts. Considering the season goal totals (42 vs 28), superior efficiency (14% vs 9%) and recent form (1.0 vs 0.2 pts), I give Wolfsburg the higher probability of winning, with a moderate chance of a draw or a home upset.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| St. Pauli | Wolfsburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Wolfsburg is 700% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - St. Pauli · 1.6 pts / match - Wolfsburg
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Wolfsburg is 55% better for: goals scored per match.
0.85 goals / match - St. Pauli · 1.32 goals / match - Wolfsburg
St. Pauli is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.76 goals / match - St. Pauli · 2.03 goals / match - Wolfsburg
St. Pauli scores in 62% of matches (21 of 34 matches), while Wolfsburg keeps a clean sheet in 6% (2 of 34 matches).
Wolfsburg scores in 76% of matches (26 of 34 matches), while St. Pauli keeps a clean sheet in 15% (5 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — St. Pauli
Over / Under — Wolfsburg
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Wolfsburg is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.91 pts / match - St. Pauli · 1.26 pts / match - Wolfsburg
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
St. Pauli - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Wolfsburg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 21%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -12 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
St. Pauli
Wolfsburg
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| St. Pauli | Liga | Wolfsburg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.62 | 3.24 | ▲ 3.35 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 56% | 62% | ▲ 74% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 56% | 64% | • 65% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 21% | ▼ 6% |
| Goal before half-time | • 76% | 77% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 82% | 86% | ▼ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: St. Pauli 0 - 0 - 1 Wolfsburg. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of St. Pauli vs Wolfsburg?
The Bundesliga match finished St. Pauli 1:3 Wolfsburg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before St. Pauli vs Wolfsburg?
St. Pauli score 0.85 goals per game on average and Wolfsburg 1.32. The Bundesliga average is 3.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 56% of St. Pauli's matches and 74% of Wolfsburg's.
What form are St. Pauli and Wolfsburg in?
Over the last 5 games St. Pauli have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Wolfsburg 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for St. Pauli vs Wolfsburg?
The statistical background for St. Pauli vs Wolfsburg — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.