Stal Mielec vs Warta Poznań: match statistics
Stal Mielec vs Warta Poznań: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Stal Mielec played against Warta Poznań in 1. Liga (Poland). The game was played on October 11, 2026. Venue: Stadion MOSiR. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Stal Mielec has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.20 points per game. Warta Poznań has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Stal Mielec scores 1.56 goals per game and allows 2.56. Warta Poznań scores 1.89 and allows 1.44. Games in this league average 2.76 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 78% of Stal Mielec's games and 56% of Warta Poznań's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 78%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Warta Poznań has the higher season xG average, 1.59 to 1.55 per game. Stal Mielec takes 13.9 shots per game, while Warta Poznań takes 13.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Stal Mielec leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Warta Poznań leads at halftime in 44% and scores 0.78 after halftime.
When the teams score
Stal Mielec's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (3 goals). For Warta Poznań, it is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
1. Liga games average 2.76 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Warta Poznań are fourth in the table, while Stal Mielec sit 16th. The visitors have won 3 of their last 5 matches, whereas the hosts have not won any during that period. The biggest difference is in defense: Stal have conceded 15 goals in their last 5 games, compared with just 5 for Warta. The hosts remain dangerous at home, however, averaging 2.2 goals per match with an xG of 1.59, slightly higher than Warta’s away xG of 1.56. Their edge in finishing does not offset their current defensive problems, making the visitors slight favorites, although Warta’s 57% away-loss rate calls for caution.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The case for BTTS - Yes is supported by Stal averaging 3.0 goals in home matches and scoring in every one of them, while Warta kept a clean sheet in only 29% of away matches. The visitors also have a genuine chance of scoring: they averaged 1.57 goals away from home, while Stal conceded an average of as many as 3.0 goals in its last five matches. The attacking potential of both teams is reflected in their average xG figures of 1.67 for Stal and 1.56 for Warta. The main risk to this pick is Stal's 50% home clean-sheet rate; however, BTTS landed in 80% of its last five matches, so I consider both teams to score the more likely scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Stal matches have averaged 4.0 goals, while Warta matches have averaged 3.14; at least two goals were scored in 100% and 71% of those matches, respectively. Stal averages 1.67 xG, and Warta 1.56 xG, indicating attacking potential on both sides. In addition, Stal conceded an average of 3.0 goals over its last five matches, while Warta scored an average of 1.6 goals over the same period. Over 1.5 goals has the strongest support in the data; the 2.5-goal line is less certain, despite being surpassed in 60% of each team's last five matches.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal in Warta’s favor is their form over the last five matches: they won three times, while Stal failed to win once and conceded an average of 3.0 goals. Stal were trailing at the break in four of those five matches, while Warta were never behind at half-time and led twice. Warta’s ability to preserve a potential lead is supported by the fact that they drew the second half in 71% of their away matches. However, the 2/2 scenario is not a certainty: Stal won the second half in both of the home matches considered, so a turnaround remains a realistic possibility.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Stal Mielec | Warta Poznań | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Warta Poznań is 800% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / game - Stal Mielec · 1.8 pts / game - Warta Poznań
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Warta Poznań is 21% better for: goals scored per game.
1.56 goals / game - Stal Mielec · 1.89 goals / game - Warta Poznań
Warta Poznań is 78% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.56 goals / game - Stal Mielec · 1.44 goals / game - Warta Poznań
Stal Mielec scores in 78% of games (7 of 9 games), while Warta Poznań keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 games).
Warta Poznań scores in 89% of games (8 of 9 games), while Stal Mielec keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 9 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Stal Mielec
Over / Under - Warta Poznań
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Warta Poznań is 37% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.22 pts / game - Stal Mielec · 1.67 pts / game - Warta Poznań
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Stal Mielec - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 22%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.8 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Warta Poznań - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 44% of games and wins 56%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -8 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Stal Mielec
Warta Poznań
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Stal Mielec | Liga | Warta Poznań | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 4.11 | 2.76 | ▲ 3.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 78% | 56% | • 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 51% | ▲ 78% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 24% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 89% | 77% | ▲ 89% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 76% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Warta PoznańSubstitutionOn: Kacper WybieralskiOff: Kacper Szymanek
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Stal Mielec vs Warta Poznań?
The 1. Liga match finished Stal Mielec 2:1 Warta Poznań. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Stal Mielec vs Warta Poznań?
Stal Mielec score 1.56 goals per game on average and Warta Poznań 1.89. The 1. Liga average is 2.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 78% of Stal Mielec's matches and 56% of Warta Poznań's.
What form are Stal Mielec and Warta Poznań in?
Over the last 5 games Stal Mielec have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Warta Poznań 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stal Mielec vs Warta Poznań?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.