Stargard Szczeciński vs Victoria Września: match statistics
Stargard Szczeciński clearly outperforms Victoria Września in both offensive and defensive aspects. The hosts score an average of 1.73 goals per home match with an xG of 1.44, while the visitors net only 0.5 goals per away game with an xG of 1.14. Victoria has a dismal away record with 80% losses and only 20% wins, conceding an average of 1.2 goals with an xG Against of 1.75. Stargard boasts a significantly better conversion rate (16% vs 6%) and possession dominance (68% vs 52%). The hosts' goal difference in home matches is +3, while the visitors have -7 away, further confirming Stargard's superiority. The form of both teams in the last five matches also favors the hosts, who have earned 1.2 points per match compared to the visitors' 0.8.
Stargard Szczeciński vs Victoria Września: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Stargard Szczeciński played against Victoria Września in 3 Liga Group 2 (Poland). The game was played on March 28, 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Recent form
Stargard Szczeciński has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Victoria Września has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Stargard Szczeciński scores 1.61 goals per game and allows 1.52. Victoria Września scores 1.05 and allows 1.45. Games in this league average 2.94 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 57% of Stargard Szczeciński's games and 45% of Victoria Września's. The Over 2.5 rates are 61% and 50%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 57% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Stargard Szczeciński has the higher season xG average, 1.48 to 1.18 per game. Stargard Szczeciński takes 8.6 shots per game, while Victoria Września takes 2.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Stargard Szczeciński leads at halftime in 39% of its games and scores 0.87 goals per game after halftime. Victoria Września leads at halftime in 27% and scores 0.32 after halftime.
When the teams score
Stargard Szczeciński's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (13 goals). For Victoria Września, it is minutes 0-15 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
3 Liga Group 2 games average 2.94 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 57% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Stargard Szczeciński clearly outperforms Victoria Września in both offensive and defensive aspects. The hosts score an average of 1.73 goals per home match with an xG of 1.44, while the visitors net only 0.5 goals per away game with an xG of 1.14. Victoria has a dismal away record with 80% losses and only 20% wins, conceding an average of 1.2 goals with an xG Against of 1.75. Stargard boasts a significantly better conversion rate (16% vs 6%) and possession dominance (68% vs 52%). The hosts' goal difference in home matches is +3, while the visitors have -7 away, further confirming Stargard's superiority. The form of both teams in the last five matches also favors the hosts, who have earned 1.2 points per match compared to the visitors' 0.8.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Stargard has a very high seasonal BTTS rate (64%) coupled with a weak defense: conceding 1.82 goals per match and a high 2.47 xG against, with a low clean sheet percentage (18%). This significantly increases the likelihood that Victoria will score, despite their low away goal average (0.5) and frequent failure to score (FTS 50%). Simultaneously, Victoria concedes an average of 1.2 goals and has a high xG against (1.75), thus creating favorable conditions for the hosts to score at least one goal (seasonal average 1.36 goals). The last 5 matches provide mixed signals (BTTS: Stargard 20%, Victoria 60%), but both teams averaged 1.0 goal scored per match in that period while conceding 1.6 and 1.4 respectively. Overall, Stargard's defensive profile and the xG statistics for both sides tip the assessment slightly towards 'BTTS - Yes'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Stargard's matches are characterized by high goal volatility: they average 1.36 goals scored and a high 1.82 goals conceded. Their xG against (2.47) indicates they regularly allow opponents very good scoring opportunities. Meanwhile, Victoria has a low average of goals scored (0.50) and a high rate of failing to score (FTS 50%), which caps the potential scoreline and shifts the projected total towards 2-3 goals. From an Over/Under market perspective, the base for at least 2 goals is solid: Over 0.5 stands at 91% (home) and 100% (away), while Stargard also has a 91% rate for Over 1.5. In the last 5 matches, both teams have frequently been involved in Over 2.5 games (80% and 60%), boosting the projection beyond their seasonal averages alone. With a league average of 2.93 goals, the expected total of 2.75 is consistent with the data, but the greatest edge comes from the safer line of Over 1.5. Therefore, the best play is Over 1.5 as the strongest and most probable signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest HT signal is the home team's advantage: Stargard leads at the break in 45% of matches, while Victoria has only an 11% HT lead rate along with a very high percentage of conceding the first goal in the first half (78%) and just 0.22 goals scored per first half. Over the longer term, Victoria loses 80% of matches and does not record draws (0%), which favors outcomes in the opponent's favor. Although xG suggests that the visitors are capable of generating chances (xG for 1.14 vs 0.87), their actual efficiency this season is low (0.5 goals per match), which limits the chances of a turnaround. Stargard has poor defense over the full match (1.82 conceded; xG against 2.47), which is why I give more weight to options involving changes after the break (X/1, 2/2), but maintaining the home advantage (1/1) remains the most probable outcome. Additionally, the home team's trend of scoring in the second half (82% over 0.5 goals) increases the likelihood that, if leading at halftime, they will secure the result thanks to further chances late in the game.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Stargard Szczeciński | Victoria Września | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 10% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.42 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.47 | 3.89 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Stargard Szczeciński is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Stargard Szczeciński · 0.8 pts / game - Victoria Września
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Stargard Szczeciński is 53% better for: goals scored per game.
1.61 goals / game - Stargard Szczeciński · 1.05 goals / game - Victoria Września
Victoria Września is 5% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.52 goals / game - Stargard Szczeciński · 1.45 goals / game - Victoria Września
Stargard Szczeciński scores in 74% of games (17 of 23 games), while Victoria Września keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 games).
Victoria Września scores in 64% of games (14 of 22 games), while Stargard Szczeciński keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 23 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Stargard Szczeciński
Over / Under - Victoria Września
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Stargard Szczeciński is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.39 pts / game - Stargard Szczeciński · 1.23 pts / game - Victoria Września
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Stargard Szczeciński - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 39% of games and wins 39%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Victoria Września - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Stargard Szczeciński
Victoria Września
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 2).
Teams vs league
| Stargard Szczeciński | Liga | Victoria Września | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.13 | 2.94 | ▼ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 51% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 61% | 57% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 28% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 87% | 71% | ▼ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 72% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Stargard Szczeciński's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Victoria Września. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Stargard Szczeciński vs Victoria Września?
The 3 Liga Group 2 match finished Stargard Szczeciński 2:3 Victoria Września. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Stargard Szczeciński vs Victoria Września?
Stargard Szczeciński score 1.61 goals per game on average and Victoria Września 1.05. The 3 Liga Group 2 average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Stargard Szczeciński's matches and 45% of Victoria Września's.
What form are Stargard Szczeciński and Victoria Września in?
Over the last 5 games Stargard Szczeciński have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Victoria Września 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stargard Szczeciński vs Victoria Września?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.