Stenhousemuir vs Kelty Hearts: match statistics
Stenhousemuir are the clear favorites in this match, sitting in 2nd place in the table with an impressive record of 14 wins and only 4 losses this season. The hosts boast excellent home form with 50% of home matches won and 50% clean sheets, conceding an average of only 0.79 goals per game. Kelty Hearts are in 10th place with a very poor away record - just 21% wins and as many as 57% losses on the road, conceding an average of 1.79 goals per match. The difference in form is also evident in the last five matches: Stenhousemuir with 2.2 points per game and a 'dwwdw' record versus Kelty Hearts with 0.6 points and a 'lddld' record. Furthermore, the hosts have a positive goal difference of +12 in home matches, while the visitors concede 8 more goals than they score away from home, which clearly indicates Stenhousemuir's advantage.
Stenhousemuir vs Kelty Hearts: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Stenhousemuir played against Kelty Hearts in League One (Scotland). The game was played on March 21, 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Recent form
Stenhousemuir has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Kelty Hearts has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Stenhousemuir scores 1.31 goals per game and allows 0.76. Kelty Hearts scores 0.83 and allows 1.86. Games in this league average 2.66 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 41% of Stenhousemuir's games and 55% of Kelty Hearts's. The Over 2.5 rates are 34% and 55%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Stenhousemuir has the higher season xG average, 1.14 to 1.00 per game. Stenhousemuir takes 8.2 shots per game, while Kelty Hearts takes 7.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Stenhousemuir leads at halftime in 34% of its games and scores 0.72 goals per game after halftime. Kelty Hearts leads at halftime in 24% and scores 0.38 after halftime.
When the teams score
Stenhousemuir's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For Kelty Hearts, it is minutes 16-30 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League One games average 2.66 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Stenhousemuir are the clear favorites in this match, sitting in 2nd place in the table with an impressive record of 14 wins and only 4 losses this season. The hosts boast excellent home form with 50% of home matches won and 50% clean sheets, conceding an average of only 0.79 goals per game. Kelty Hearts are in 10th place with a very poor away record - just 21% wins and as many as 57% losses on the road, conceding an average of 1.79 goals per match. The difference in form is also evident in the last five matches: Stenhousemuir with 2.2 points per game and a 'dwwdw' record versus Kelty Hearts with 0.6 points and a 'lddld' record. Furthermore, the hosts have a positive goal difference of +12 in home matches, while the visitors concede 8 more goals than they score away from home, which clearly indicates Stenhousemuir's advantage.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Stenhousemuir | Kelty Hearts | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 50% | 49% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Stenhousemuir is 267% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / game - Stenhousemuir · 0.6 pts / game - Kelty Hearts
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Stenhousemuir is 58% better for: goals scored per game.
1.31 goals / game - Stenhousemuir · 0.83 goals / game - Kelty Hearts
Stenhousemuir is 145% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.76 goals / game - Stenhousemuir · 1.86 goals / game - Kelty Hearts
Stenhousemuir scores in 76% of games (22 of 29 meczów), while Kelty Hearts keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 29 meczów).
Kelty Hearts scores in 62% of games (18 of 29 meczów), while Stenhousemuir keeps a clean sheet in 48% (14 of 29 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Stenhousemuir
Over / Under - Kelty Hearts
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Stenhousemuir is 48% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.52 pts / game - Stenhousemuir · 1.03 pts / game - Kelty Hearts
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Stenhousemuir - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 34% of games and wins 48%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Kelty Hearts - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 10%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Stenhousemuir
Kelty Hearts
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Stenhousemuir | Liga | Kelty Hearts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.07 | 2.66 | • 2.69 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 49% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 34% | 52% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 48% | 29% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 66% | 75% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 81% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Stenhousemuir's perspective: 2 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Kelty Hearts. Games average 2.33 goals, and both teams scored in 33% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Stenhousemuir vs Kelty Hearts?
The League One match finished Stenhousemuir 2:0 Kelty Hearts. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Stenhousemuir and Kelty Hearts?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Stenhousemuir won 2, Kelty Hearts won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Stenhousemuir vs Kelty Hearts?
Stenhousemuir score 1.31 goals per game on average and Kelty Hearts 0.83. The League One average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Stenhousemuir's matches and 55% of Kelty Hearts's.
What form are Stenhousemuir and Kelty Hearts in?
Over the last 5 games Stenhousemuir have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Kelty Hearts 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stenhousemuir vs Kelty Hearts?
The statistical background for Stenhousemuir vs Kelty Hearts — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.