Scotland - ChampionshipOchilview ParkData current as of October 17, 2026

Stenhousemuir vs Raith Rovers: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Stenhousemuir vs Raith Rovers: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Stenhousemuir plays Raith Rovers in Championship (Scotland). The game is scheduled for October 17, 2026. Venue: Ochilview Park.

Recent form

Stenhousemuir has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. Raith Rovers has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Stenhousemuir scores 1.33 goals per game and allows 0.44. Raith Rovers scores 1.50 and allows 0.60. Games in this league average 2.06 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 22% of Stenhousemuir's games and 30% of Raith Rovers's. The Over 2.5 rates are 11% and 30%, compared with league averages of 39% for BTTS and 31% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Raith Rovers has the higher season xG average, 1.34 to 1.04 per game. Stenhousemuir takes 6.3 shots per game, while Raith Rovers takes 9.4.

First-half and second-half trends

Stenhousemuir leads at halftime in 44% of its games and scores 0.78 goals per game after halftime. Raith Rovers leads at halftime in 60% and scores 0.50 after halftime.

When the teams score

Stenhousemuir's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). For Raith Rovers, it is minutes 0-15 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Championship games average 2.06 goals. Both teams score in 39% of games, and 31% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(3.16)
(3.02)
(2.18)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

StenhousemuirRaith Rovers
1.33Goals scored / game1.5
StenhousemuirRaith Rovers
0.44Goals allowed / game0.6
StenhousemuirRaith Rovers
50%Average possession51%
StenhousemuirRaith Rovers
3.44Shots on target / game4.7
StenhousemuirRaith Rovers

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

6.33Shots per game9.4
StenhousemuirRaith Rovers
3.44Shots on target4.7
StenhousemuirRaith Rovers
21.1%Shot conversion16%
StenhousemuirRaith Rovers
50%Possession51%
StenhousemuirRaith Rovers
1.04xG for1.34
StenhousemuirRaith Rovers
1.26xG against0.89
StenhousemuirRaith Rovers

Shooting quality

Stenhousemuir: Efficient finishingRaith Rovers: Efficient finishing
StenhousemuirRaith Rovers
Accuracy (shots on target)54%50%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.160.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.390.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Stenhousemuir is 20% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / game - Stenhousemuir · 2 pts / game - Raith Rovers

Stenhousemuir
WWWWL
Season result split
78% W11% D11% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-1-1
2.44 pts / game · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-0-0
Last 5 at home
4-0-0
WWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.00Opponent xG: 1.36BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%
Raith Rovers
WDLWW
Season result split
60% W20% D20% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-2-2
2.00 pts / game · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-1-1
Last 5 away
3-1-1
WLWDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.30Opponent xG: 0.94BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Raith Rovers is 13% better for: goals scored per game.

1.33 goals / game - Stenhousemuir · 1.5 goals / game - Raith Rovers

Stenhousemuir is 36% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.44 goals / game - Stenhousemuir · 0.6 goals / game - Raith Rovers

Stenhousemuir scoring profile: strong

Stenhousemuir scores in 89% of games (8 of 9 games), while Raith Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 50% (5 of 10 games).

Raith Rovers scoring profile: mixed

Raith Rovers scores in 70% of games (7 of 10 games), while Stenhousemuir keeps a clean sheet in 67% (6 of 9 games).

12Goals scored (season)15
StenhousemuirRaith Rovers
4Goals conceded (season)6
StenhousemuirRaith Rovers
1.78Average goals per game2.1
StenhousemuirRaith Rovers
4Goals scored (last 5)8
StenhousemuirRaith Rovers
2Goals conceded (last 5)3
StenhousemuirRaith Rovers

How often they score at least...

89%1 goal70%
StenhousemuirRaith Rovers
33%2 goals60%
StenhousemuirRaith Rovers
11%3 goals10%
StenhousemuirRaith Rovers
0%4 goals10%
StenhousemuirRaith Rovers

How often they concede at least...

33%1 goal50%
StenhousemuirRaith Rovers
11%2 goals10%
StenhousemuirRaith Rovers
0%3 goals0%
StenhousemuirRaith Rovers
0%4 goals0%
StenhousemuirRaith Rovers

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

39%
League average

Goal patterns

11%BTTS at half-time10%
StenhousemuirRaith Rovers
0%BTTS in both halves0%
StenhousemuirRaith Rovers
11%Scored in both halves50%
StenhousemuirRaith Rovers

BTTS and goal count

11%Min. 3 goals and BTTS20%
StenhousemuirRaith Rovers
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
StenhousemuirRaith Rovers
0%BTTS - last 520%
StenhousemuirRaith Rovers

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time70%
StenhousemuirRaith Rovers
22%Min. 2 goals before half-time30%
StenhousemuirRaith Rovers
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
StenhousemuirRaith Rovers

2nd half

44%Min. 1 goal after half-time70%
StenhousemuirRaith Rovers
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time30%
StenhousemuirRaith Rovers
11%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
StenhousemuirRaith Rovers

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Raith Rovers is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.78 pts / game - Stenhousemuir · 2.2 pts / game - Raith Rovers

Stenhousemuir - half-time state
44% leading44% draw11% trailing
Raith Rovers - half-time state
60% leading40% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.78Points per game (1st half)2.2
StenhousemuirRaith Rovers
0.56Goals scored (1st half)1
StenhousemuirRaith Rovers
0.33Goals conceded (1st half)0.1
StenhousemuirRaith Rovers
0.89Average goals (1st half)1.1
StenhousemuirRaith Rovers
78%Clean sheet before half-time90%
StenhousemuirRaith Rovers
44%No goal before half-time30%
StenhousemuirRaith Rovers

After half-time (2nd half)

1.89Points per game (2nd half)1.4
StenhousemuirRaith Rovers
0.78Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
StenhousemuirRaith Rovers
0.11Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
StenhousemuirRaith Rovers
0.89Average goals (2nd half)1
StenhousemuirRaith Rovers
89%Clean sheet after half-time60%
StenhousemuirRaith Rovers
56%No goal after half-time50%
StenhousemuirRaith Rovers

Stenhousemuir - second-half results

44% W56% D0% L
16
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.78
PPG before half-time
Lead holding177%

Leads at halftime in 44% of games and wins 78%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.2

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Raith Rovers - second-half results

30% W50% D20% L
22
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+9
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.20
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 60% of games and wins 60%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Stenhousemuir - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.001.40
Goals scored / game0.60.2
Goals allowed / game0.40.0
Average goals per game1.00.2
1 goal80%20%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%100%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Raith Rovers - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.201.60
Goals scored / game1.00.6
Goals allowed / game0.00.6
Average goals per game1.01.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+50
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Stenhousemuir
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
3
2
16-30
1
1
31-45
4
1
46-60
0
0
61-75
3
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Raith Rovers
ScoredConceded
4
0
0-15
4
1
16-30
2
0
31-45
1
3
46-60
3
0
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

1.94
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.0 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
26%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+3%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
62%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Stenhousemuir

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.22
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.29
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.82
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
115%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
49%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.04
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Raith Rovers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.45
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.45
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
167%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
52%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.5
Late goals
7% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 27% come in the first quarter-hour.
7%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

StenhousemuirLigaRaith Rovers
Average goals per game▼ 1.782.06• 2.10
Both teams scored▼ 22%39%▼ 30%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 11%31%• 30%
Clean sheets▲ 67%35%▲ 50%
Goal before half-time▼ 67%69%• 70%
Goal after half-time▼ 44%65%▲ 70%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.06
Average goals per game
39%
Both teams scored
31%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
35%
Clean sheets
1.16
Home goals / game
0.90
Away goals / game
+29%
Home attack advantage
+22%
Home defensive advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
65%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Stenhousemuir's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Raith Rovers. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

FAQ

When do Stenhousemuir and Raith Rovers play?

Stenhousemuir face Raith Rovers on October 17, 2026 in Championship at Ochilview Park. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Stenhousemuir vs Raith Rovers?

Stenhousemuir score 1.33 goals per game on average and Raith Rovers 1.50. The Championship average is 2.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 31% of games. Both teams score in 22% of Stenhousemuir's matches and 30% of Raith Rovers's.

What form are Stenhousemuir and Raith Rovers in?

Over the last 5 games Stenhousemuir have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Raith Rovers 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stenhousemuir vs Raith Rovers?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.