Stjarnan vs KA: match statistics

Stjarnan have home advantage, winning 42% of their matches at home, while KA win just 17% of their away games. The hosts average 2.08 goals scored at home with an xG of 2.09, while the visitors concede 2.50 goals per away match against opponents with an xG of 2.22, pointing to good scoring opportunities for Stjarnan. Recent form also favors the hosts: they have won 3 of their last 5 matches and scored 12 goals, while KA have won twice and conceded 11. However, the risk of a draw or an away win remains significant, as Stjarnan concede an average of 2.00 goals at home and KA score 1.58 goals per away match. Stjarnan’s attacking output and KA’s defensive struggles away from home tilt the forecast in the hosts’ favor.

Both teams average 1.58 goals per match, while Stjarnan concede 1.75 and KA as many as 2.50, which points to goals at both ends. The xG figures reinforce this: Stjarnan create chances worth an average of 1.64 goals, against 2.22 xG conceded by KA, while KA post 1.73 xG against 1.77 xG conceded by the hosts. Over their last five matches, the hosts have averaged 2.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, while the visitors have averaged 2.0 scored and 2.2 conceded; both sides have seen BTTS land in 60% of their matches during that period. Their season-long BTTS rates stand at 50% for Stjarnan and 75% for KA, and the visitors have kept a clean sheet in just 8% of their matches. Although the hosts have failed to score in 33% of their matches, the high goals-conceded figures for both sides support the BTTS - Yes selection.

Stjarnan’s matches have gone over 1.5 goals 75% of the time, while KA’s have done so in 92% of cases, making Over 1.5 the strongest signal. The hosts score an average of 1.58 goals, while the visitors concede 2.50; their average xG figures are 1.64 for Stjarnan’s attack and 2.22 for the chances KA allows. KA should also have opportunities to score, averaging 1.58 goals, while Stjarnan concede 1.75. Both teams’ last five matches have featured an average of 4.2 goals, supporting a forecast of 3.70 goals, although higher lines carry greater risk. Therefore, Over 1.5 offers a clearer edge than Over 2.5, despite the latter landing in 58% of Stjarnan’s matches and 83% of KA’s.

The strongest indication in favor of Stjarnan leading at the break is their recent form: the hosts were ahead at half-time in 3 of their last 5 matches, while KA were not ahead in any. Over this period, Stjarnan averaged 1.4 goals before the break, whereas KA conceded 1.4, strengthening the case for an early home advantage. The visitors’ weaker defense also favors Stjarnan holding their lead: across the full season, KA have conceded an average of 2.5 goals per match, compared with 1.75 for Stjarnan. Particularly after half-time, KA concede an average of 1.33 goals, while the hosts score 0.92 goals in that period. The 1/1 pick is not certain, however, as Stjarnan have led at half-time in only 8% of their matches this season; nevertheless, their 3 wins in the last 5 matches, compared with KA’s 2, point toward them maintaining their advantage.