Stoke City vs Watford: match statistics
Stoke City presents a solid disposition at their own stadium, having won 39% of their matches with a +6 goal difference and an average of 1.44 goals per game. The hosts maintain a high average ball possession (54%) and shooting efficiency (12%) in home games, giving them the upper hand. Watford fares much worse in away matches - a mere 22% win rate, a negative goal difference (-3), and a lower average xG (1.31). Both teams' form over the last 5 matches is similar; however, the home-field advantage and Stoke's superior offensive and defensive stats in home fixtures point towards their victory. Nevertheless, Watford's high away draw rate (44%) suggests the visitors could put up a fight, making the probability of a draw quite relevant as well.
Stoke City vs Watford: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Stoke City played against Watford in Championship (England). The game was played on March 14, 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
Stoke City has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Watford has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Stoke City scores 1.14 goals per game and allows 1.05. Watford scores 1.28 and allows 1.17. Games in this league average 2.58 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 41% of Stoke City's games and 61% of Watford's. The Over 2.5 rates are 43% and 44%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Watford has the higher season xG average, 1.50 to 1.27 per game. Stoke City takes 11.1 shots per game, while Watford takes 14.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Stoke City leads at halftime in 32% of its games and scores 0.59 goals per game after halftime. Watford leads at halftime in 19% and scores 0.72 after halftime.
When the teams score
Stoke City's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (9 goals). For Watford, it is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Championship games average 2.58 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Stoke City presents a solid disposition at their own stadium, having won 39% of their matches with a +6 goal difference and an average of 1.44 goals per game. The hosts maintain a high average ball possession (54%) and shooting efficiency (12%) in home games, giving them the upper hand. Watford fares much worse in away matches - a mere 22% win rate, a negative goal difference (-3), and a lower average xG (1.31). Both teams' form over the last 5 matches is similar; however, the home-field advantage and Stoke's superior offensive and defensive stats in home fixtures point towards their victory. Nevertheless, Watford's high away draw rate (44%) suggests the visitors could put up a fight, making the probability of a draw quite relevant as well.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Stoke City | Watford | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Watford is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Stoke City · 1.6 pts / game - Watford
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Watford is 12% better for: goals scored per game.
1.14 goals / game - Stoke City · 1.28 goals / game - Watford
Stoke City is 11% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.05 goals / game - Stoke City · 1.17 goals / game - Watford
Stoke City scores in 62% of games (23 of 37 meczów), while Watford keeps a clean sheet in 17% (6 of 36 meczów).
Watford scores in 75% of games (27 of 36 meczów), while Stoke City keeps a clean sheet in 32% (12 of 37 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Stoke City
Over / Under - Watford
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Stoke City is 32% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.43 pts / game - Stoke City · 1.08 pts / game - Watford
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Stoke City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Watford - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Stoke City
Watford
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Stoke City | Liga | Watford | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.19 | 2.58 | ▼ 2.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 56% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 50% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 25% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 71% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 78% | • 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Stoke City's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Watford. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Stoke City vs Watford?
The Championship match finished Stoke City 3:1 Watford. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Stoke City vs Watford?
Stoke City score 1.14 goals per game on average and Watford 1.28. The Championship average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Stoke City's matches and 61% of Watford's.
What form are Stoke City and Watford in?
Over the last 5 games Stoke City have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Watford 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stoke City vs Watford?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Stoke City vs Watford: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.