Stranraer vs East Kilbride: match statistics
East Kilbride are the clear favorites in this matchup, sitting at 1st place in the table with an impressive streak of 5 consecutive wins and a 19:5 goal difference in their last 5 matches. The visitors are characterized by high efficiency (24% shot conversion) and an average of 2.36 goals per away match, with a 64% away win rate. Stranraer is in poor form, averaging only 0.8 PPG in their last 5 fixtures and winning just 23% of their home games this season. The hosts have a negative goal difference (-4) in home matches and merely an 8% clean sheet rate, indicating defensive struggles. East Kilbride's advantage in ball possession (54% vs 49%), higher average xG (1.39 vs 1.23), and significantly better overall form point towards a confident victory for the visitors. Stats strongly suggest an East Kilbride triumph, although Stranraer playing at home might put up some resistance, hence a slight chance of a draw.
Stranraer vs East Kilbride: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Stranraer played against East Kilbride in League Two (Scotland). The game was played on March 14, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Stranraer has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. East Kilbride has 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses, with 3.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Stranraer scores 1.26 goals per game and allows 1.37. East Kilbride scores 2.14 and allows 1.39. Games in this league average 2.99 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 67% of Stranraer's games and 64% of East Kilbride's. The Over 2.5 rates are 52% and 71%, compared with league averages of 64% for BTTS and 57% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
East Kilbride has the higher season xG average, 1.42 to 1.29 per game. Stranraer takes 9.4 shots per game, while East Kilbride takes 10.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Stranraer leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.44 goals per game after halftime. East Kilbride leads at halftime in 61% and scores 0.75 after halftime.
When the teams score
Stranraer's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (11 goals). For East Kilbride, it is minutes 31-45+ (18 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League Two games average 2.99 goals. Both teams score in 64% of games, and 57% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
East Kilbride are the clear favorites in this matchup, sitting at 1st place in the table with an impressive streak of 5 consecutive wins and a 19:5 goal difference in their last 5 matches. The visitors are characterized by high efficiency (24% shot conversion) and an average of 2.36 goals per away match, with a 64% away win rate. Stranraer is in poor form, averaging only 0.8 PPG in their last 5 fixtures and winning just 23% of their home games this season. The hosts have a negative goal difference (-4) in home matches and merely an 8% clean sheet rate, indicating defensive struggles. East Kilbride's advantage in ball possession (54% vs 49%), higher average xG (1.39 vs 1.23), and significantly better overall form point towards a confident victory for the visitors. Stats strongly suggest an East Kilbride triumph, although Stranraer playing at home might put up some resistance, hence a slight chance of a draw.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Stranraer | East Kilbride | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 52% | 52% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
East Kilbride is 275% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Stranraer · 3 pts / game - East Kilbride
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
East Kilbride is 70% better for: goals scored per game.
1.26 goals / game - Stranraer · 2.14 goals / game - East Kilbride
Stranraer scores in 74% of games (20 of 27 meczów), while East Kilbride keeps a clean sheet in 25% (7 of 28 meczów).
East Kilbride scores in 89% of games (25 of 28 meczów), while Stranraer keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 27 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Stranraer
Over / Under - East Kilbride
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
East Kilbride is 34% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.44 pts / game - Stranraer · 1.93 pts / game - East Kilbride
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Stranraer - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 30%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
East Kilbride - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 61% of games and wins 57%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 2.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +7 | +7 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (18 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Stranraer
East Kilbride
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Stranraer | Liga | East Kilbride | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.63 | 2.99 | ▲ 3.54 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 64% | • 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 52% | 57% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 21% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 76% | ▲ 93% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 80% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Stranraer's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 2 losses against East Kilbride. Games average 3.33 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Stranraer vs East Kilbride?
The League Two match finished Stranraer 1:1 East Kilbride. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Stranraer and East Kilbride?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Stranraer won 1, East Kilbride won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Stranraer vs East Kilbride?
Stranraer score 1.26 goals per game on average and East Kilbride 2.14. The League Two average is 2.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Stranraer's matches and 64% of East Kilbride's.
What form are Stranraer and East Kilbride in?
Over the last 5 games Stranraer have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and East Kilbride 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stranraer vs East Kilbride?
The statistical background for Stranraer vs East Kilbride — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.