Sturm Graz vs LASK Linz: match statistics
Sturm Graz vs LASK Linz: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Sturm Graz played against LASK Linz in Bundesliga (Austria). The game was played on April 22, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Sturm Graz has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. LASK Linz has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Sturm Graz scores 1.56 goals per game and allows 1.11. LASK Linz scores 1.56 and allows 1.41. Games in this league average 2.69 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 52% of Sturm Graz's games and 56% of LASK Linz's. The Over 2.5 rates are 44% and 56%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
LASK Linz has the higher season xG average, 1.72 to 1.65 per game. Sturm Graz takes 14.9 shots per game, while LASK Linz takes 16.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Sturm Graz leads at halftime in 41% of its games and scores 0.85 goals per game after halftime. LASK Linz leads at halftime in 30% and scores 0.81 after halftime.
When the teams score
Sturm Graz's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (9 goals). For LASK Linz, it is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Bundesliga games average 2.69 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sturm Graz holds a clear defensive edge at home — conceding 1.15 goals per game on average and keeping a clean sheet in 38% of home matches, whereas LASK concedes 1.62 goals away and records only 15% of away clean sheets. Offensively LASK is more efficient: the visitors have scored 12 goals in the last 5 matches (2.4 per game) versus Sturm’s 9 (1.8 per game), with a shot conversion rate of 10% for LASK compared to 7% for the hosts. In terms of chance quality (xG) both teams are comparable — Sturm home xG For 1.65 and xG Against 1.37 per game, LASK away xG For 1.57 and xG Against 1.48 — which points to an evenly matched game, although Sturm posts higher possession (56% vs 48%). Recent form over the last 5 matches shows Sturm averaging 1.8 points per game (2W,3D,0L) and LASK 2.0 points per game (3W,1D,1L), indicating the visitors are marginally more efficient in points but not dominant. Considering the superior home defense of Sturm and LASK’s greater attacking efficiency, I expect a narrow Sturm victory; the most likely scenarios are a home win with a significant probability of a draw as an alternative.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
In the last 5 matches LASK has BTTS at 100% with a goal record of 12 scored and 9 conceded (avg 2.4 and 1.8), while Sturm in the same run has BTTS 60% with a 9:4 record (1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded). Seasonally the home side has BTTS 50% with averages of 1.64 scored and 1.21 conceded, whereas the visitors have BTTS 62% with 1.46 scored and 1.62 conceded, and the league BTTS average is 56%. Offensively Sturm generates a seasonal xG of 1.87 and averages 17.79 shots with 5.07 on target, while LASK has a seasonal xG of 1.57 but in the last 5 matches xG was 1.92, indicating both teams create goal-scoring opportunities. Clean sheets are a counterpoint: Sturm keeps a clean sheet in 43% of matches, and LASK only in 15%, however LASK’s low clean sheet rate and its 100% BTTS run in the last five matches outweigh in favor of both teams scoring. Considering recent runs, seasonal BTTS (50% vs 62%), xG (1.87 vs 1.57) and goals averages in the last 5 (1.8 vs 2.4), I assess BTTS probability at 72% vs 28% and recommend a bet on "yes" (BTTS - Yes).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Expected goals are 1.68 for Sturm Graz and 1.42 for LASK, totaling 3.10 — calculated as the average of team xG and xG conceded to the opponent (Sturm xG for 1.87 vs xG against opponent 1.48; LASK xG for 1.57 vs xG against opponent 1.26). Season metrics show Over 1.5 goals occurred in 71% of Sturm’s matches and 77% of LASK’s matches (average 74%), and Over 2.5 goals in 50% and 62% of cases respectively (average 56%). With combined xG = 3.10, a Poisson distribution yields roughly an 82% chance of >1.5 goals, about 60% for >2.5 goals and about 37% for >3.5 goals, which aligns with seasonal trends. Additionally, Sturm averages 17.8 shots and 5.07 on target, LASK 14.3 shots and 4.54 on target, and in the last 5 meetings both teams have combined for 21 goals (Sturm 9, LASK 12), reinforcing clear goal potential. Based on this, the best and strongest option is Over 2.5 (the Over side), since the expected 3.10 goals and ~60% probability of ≥3 goals provide a clear edge.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is 1/1: Sturm Graz average 1.93 points per match versus LASK’s 1.38 and have a higher xG (1.87 vs 1.57), indicating a home advantage in chance creation. In their last 5 matches Sturm led at the break in 3 of 5 (60%) and average 1.0 goals by half-time versus 1.2 for LASK, while the hosts concede only 0.4 goals before the break compared to 1.0 for the visitors, giving them a greater chance of maintaining a lead. In the second half Sturm score on average 0.93 goals after the break versus 0.69 for LASK and concede only 0.36 vs 0.62, and the season clean sheet rate for the hosts is 43% versus 15% for LASK, so they more often close out matches in their favor. First halves are rarely goalless (Half-Time over 0.5: 79% for the hosts and 85% for the visitors), therefore I expect the score to open and Sturm to hold the lead; the probability distribution favors 1/1 (36%) and X/1 (24%), with the remaining outcomes receiving smaller shares.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Sturm Graz | LASK Linz | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Sturm Graz is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Sturm Graz · 1.6 pts / game - LASK Linz
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sturm Graz is 27% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.11 goals / game - Sturm Graz · 1.41 goals / game - LASK Linz
Sturm Graz scores in 89% of games (24 of 27 meczów), while LASK Linz keeps a clean sheet in 30% (8 of 27 meczów).
LASK Linz scores in 81% of games (22 of 27 meczów), while Sturm Graz keeps a clean sheet in 41% (11 of 27 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sturm Graz
Over / Under - LASK Linz
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sturm Graz is 37% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.63 pts / game - Sturm Graz · 1.19 pts / game - LASK Linz
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sturm Graz - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 41% of games and wins 52%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
LASK Linz - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 48%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Sturm Graz
LASK Linz
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Sturm Graz | Liga | LASK Linz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.67 | 2.69 | ▲ 2.96 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 52% | 57% | • 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 51% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 41% | 25% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 75% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 75% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Sturm Graz's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss against LASK Linz. Games average 2.67 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Sturm Graz vs LASK Linz?
The Bundesliga match finished Sturm Graz 1:1 LASK Linz. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sturm Graz and LASK Linz?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Sturm Graz won 1, LASK Linz won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sturm Graz vs LASK Linz?
Sturm Graz score 1.56 goals per game on average and LASK Linz 1.56. The Bundesliga average is 2.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Sturm Graz's matches and 56% of LASK Linz's.
What form are Sturm Graz and LASK Linz in?
Over the last 5 games Sturm Graz have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and LASK Linz 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sturm Graz vs LASK Linz?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Sturm Graz vs LASK Linz: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.