Super Nova vs Auda: match statistics
Super Nova vs Auda: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Super Nova played against Auda in Virsliga (Latvia). The game was played on May 1, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Super Nova has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Auda has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Super Nova scores 1.11 goals per game and allows 1.44. Auda scores 1.78 and allows 1.22. Games in this league average 2.83 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 67% of Super Nova's games and 78% of Auda's. The Over 2.5 rates are 56% and 67%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Auda has the higher season xG average, 1.60 to 1.14 per game. Super Nova takes 8.6 shots per game, while Auda takes 13.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Super Nova leads at halftime in 22% of its games and scores 0.56 goals per game after halftime. Auda leads at halftime in 56% and scores 0.89 after halftime.
When the teams score
Super Nova's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). For Auda, it is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Virsliga games average 2.83 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 5 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. Those games averaged 2.40 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Auda are the favorites: this season they have a record of 6 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses and sit 3rd, while Super Nova have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses and are 5th. In their last 5 matches Auda have scored 10 goals and average 2.0 points per game (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss), whereas Super Nova have scored 4 goals and average 1.2 points per game (2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses). In chance creation Auda average 13.6 shots and 4.8 on target per match, have a conversion rate of 13% and xG 1.57, while Super Nova record 9.33 shots and 3.0 on target, conversion 11% and xG 1.16, giving the visitors a clear quantitative and qualitative advantage. Defensively Auda concede 0.8 goals away with xG against 0.97 and keep clean sheets in 40% of matches, whereas Super Nova concede 2.33 goals at home with xG against 1.85 and have no clean sheets (0%), indicating the hosts’ defensive frailties. Considering superior possession (55% vs 41%), a higher goals-per-game average (1.8 vs 1.0) and a more favorable shots and xG profile, I tip an Auda win and estimate probabilities of Auda win 70%, draw 20% and Super Nova win 10%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I pick BTTS - Yes with an 80% probability vs 20% for No, because the data signals strongly favor both teams scoring. Super Nova has a seasonal BTTS of 100% and scores and concedes 1.75 goals per match on average, while Auda has a seasonal BTTS of 60% and BTTS in the last 5 matches of 100% (last 5: avg 2.0 scored and 1.6 conceded). xG data supports this approach: Super Nova xG_for = 1.65 versus Auda xG_against = 0.97, and Auda xG_for = 1.57 versus Super Nova xG_against = 1.40, which suggests both teams have expected goal values around or above 1.0. Additionally, both sides generate a similar number of shots and shots on target (13.0 vs 13.6 shots, 5.0 vs 4.8 shots on target), increasing the likelihood of an exchange of goals; the only opposing factor is Auda’s 40% clean sheet rate this season, hence reserving 20% for the "No" scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG calculations give 1.31 expected goals for Super Nova (1.65 xG for vs 0.97 xG against by Auda) and 1.48 for Auda (1.57 xG for vs 1.40 xG against by Super Nova), totaling 2.79 expected goals. Season figures confirm the offensive profile: Super Nova has 100% of matches over 1.5 goals and 100% over 2.5 goals, Auda has 80% of matches over 1.5 and 40% over 2.5; BTTS is 100% (home) and 60% (away). A Poisson model with lambda=2.79 yields about a 53% chance of Over 2.5 (P≥3 ≈ 53%) and about 31% for Over 3.5, so I rate Over 2.5 moderately high (in my view 58%), while Over 3.5 remains less likely (31%). The strongest signal is Over 1.5 — combining xG=2.79 and season 100%/80% on >1.5 I assign this scenario ~90% probability, therefore I recommend playing Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Season statistics clearly favor Auda: the visitors have an 80% win rate and average 2.6 points per match versus Super Nova’s 50% win rate and 1.5 points, translating into a tangible advantage in final results. Offenses are comparable (xG 1.57 for Auda vs 1.65 for Super Nova), but Auda’s defense is superior — they concede 0.8 goals per game season-to-date versus the hosts’ 1.75 and have an xG against of 0.97 vs 1.40, meaning they allow fewer high-quality chances. At Half-Time Auda led in 60% of matches (3 instances) and kept a clean sheet at the break in 80% of games; additionally they scored in the 0–15 minute window (1.0 vs 0.0 for Super Nova), which supports the visitors leading at the break. In the second half Auda score on average 1.0 and concede only 0.4, while Super Nova concede on average 1.0 after the break, so the visitors more often maintain or extend their lead; for this reason I select the 2/2 (Auda leading at Half-Time and winning Full-Time) scenario as the most likely.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Super Nova | Auda | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Auda is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Super Nova · 2 pts / game - Auda
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Auda is 60% better for: goals scored per game.
1.11 goals / game - Super Nova · 1.78 goals / game - Auda
Auda is 18% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.44 goals / game - Super Nova · 1.22 goals / game - Auda
Super Nova scores in 89% of games (8 of 9 meczów), while Auda keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 meczów).
Auda scores in 100% of games (9 of 9 meczów), while Super Nova keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Super Nova
Over / Under - Auda
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Auda is 89% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / game - Super Nova · 1.89 pts / game - Auda
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Super Nova - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Auda - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 56% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Super Nova
Auda
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| Super Nova | Liga | Auda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.56 | 2.83 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 59% | ▲ 78% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 50% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | • 22% | 21% | • 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 76% | ▲ 89% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 85% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Super Nova's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses against Auda. Games average 2.40 goals, and both teams scored in 60% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Super Nova vs Auda?
The Virsliga match finished Super Nova 1:2 Auda. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Super Nova and Auda?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Super Nova won 0, Auda won 4 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.40 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Super Nova vs Auda?
Super Nova score 1.11 goals per game on average and Auda 1.78. The Virsliga average is 2.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Super Nova's matches and 78% of Auda's.
What form are Super Nova and Auda in?
Over the last 5 games Super Nova have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Auda 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Super Nova vs Auda?
The statistical background for Super Nova vs Auda — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.