Swindon Town vs Milton Keynes Dons: match statistics
Milton Keynes Dons presents a significantly better form than Swindon Town, evidenced by 2.2 points per game in their last five matches compared to a mere 1.0 for the hosts. The visitors sit 2nd in the table and boast an impressive undefeated streak in their last five fixtures (3 wins, 2 draws), whereas Swindon has won only once during the same period. MK Dons stands out with a much higher goal-scoring efficiency on the road (2.11 goals per match) and better shot conversion (18% vs 14%). The visitors' positive away goal difference (+18) compared to the hosts' home record (+12), along with a low percentage of matches without scoring (6% vs 17%), point to the offensive superiority of the Milton Keynes squad. Taking all statistics into account, Milton Keynes Dons has a realistic chance of victory, though Swindon's home pitch advantage might make it a closely contested match.
Swindon Town vs Milton Keynes Dons: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Swindon Town played against Milton Keynes Dons in EFL League Two (England). The game was played on March 14, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Swindon Town has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Milton Keynes Dons has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Swindon Town scores 1.64 goals per game and allows 1.19. Milton Keynes Dons scores 2.00 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.57 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 58% of Swindon Town's games and 61% of Milton Keynes Dons's. The Over 2.5 rates are 64% and 56%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Swindon Town has the higher season xG average, 1.42 to 1.40 per game. Swindon Town takes 12.5 shots per game, while Milton Keynes Dons takes 12.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Swindon Town leads at halftime in 28% of its games and scores 0.86 goals per game after halftime. Milton Keynes Dons leads at halftime in 61% and scores 0.86 after halftime.
When the teams score
Swindon Town's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (14 goals). For Milton Keynes Dons, it is minutes 31-45+ (15 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League Two games average 2.57 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Milton Keynes Dons presents a significantly better form than Swindon Town, evidenced by 2.2 points per game in their last five matches compared to a mere 1.0 for the hosts. The visitors sit 2nd in the table and boast an impressive undefeated streak in their last five fixtures (3 wins, 2 draws), whereas Swindon has won only once during the same period. MK Dons stands out with a much higher goal-scoring efficiency on the road (2.11 goals per match) and better shot conversion (18% vs 14%). The visitors' positive away goal difference (+18) compared to the hosts' home record (+12), along with a low percentage of matches without scoring (6% vs 17%), point to the offensive superiority of the Milton Keynes squad. Taking all statistics into account, Milton Keynes Dons has a realistic chance of victory, though Swindon's home pitch advantage might make it a closely contested match.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Swindon Town | Milton Keynes Dons | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Milton Keynes Dons is 120% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Swindon Town · 2.2 pts / game - Milton Keynes Dons
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Milton Keynes Dons is 22% better for: goals scored per game.
1.64 goals / game - Swindon Town · 2 goals / game - Milton Keynes Dons
Milton Keynes Dons is 19% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.19 goals / game - Swindon Town · 1 goals / game - Milton Keynes Dons
Swindon Town scores in 86% of games (31 of 36 meczów), while Milton Keynes Dons keeps a clean sheet in 33% (12 of 36 meczów).
Milton Keynes Dons scores in 89% of games (32 of 36 meczów), while Swindon Town keeps a clean sheet in 31% (11 of 36 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Swindon Town
Over / Under - Milton Keynes Dons
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Milton Keynes Dons is 55% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / game - Swindon Town · 2.06 pts / game - Milton Keynes Dons
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Swindon Town - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 28% of games and wins 53%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Milton Keynes Dons - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 61% of games and wins 53%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (15 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Swindon Town
Milton Keynes Dons
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Swindon Town | Liga | Milton Keynes Dons | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.83 | 2.57 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 54% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 47% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 26% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 72% | 68% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 77% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Swindon Town's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Milton Keynes Dons. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Swindon Town vs Milton Keynes Dons?
The EFL League Two match finished Swindon Town 1:2 Milton Keynes Dons. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Swindon Town vs Milton Keynes Dons?
Swindon Town score 1.64 goals per game on average and Milton Keynes Dons 2.00. The EFL League Two average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Swindon Town's matches and 61% of Milton Keynes Dons's.
What form are Swindon Town and Milton Keynes Dons in?
Over the last 5 games Swindon Town have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Milton Keynes Dons 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Swindon Town vs Milton Keynes Dons?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Swindon Town vs Milton Keynes Dons: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.