Tacuary vs Benjamin Aceval: match statistics

Benjamin Aceval sit 4th, while Tacuary are only 16th, and over the course of the season the visitors have recorded 12 wins compared with just 3 victories for the hosts. Away from home, Benjamin Aceval average 1.75 goals per match, compared with Tacuary’s 1.00 goals scored at home, and they also register more shots on target: 4.67 versus 3.83. The hosts have not won any of their last five matches, scoring just 3 goals and averaging 0.6 points, while the visitors have averaged 1.4 points per game over the same period. Tacuary fail to score in 42% of their home appearances, whereas Benjamin Aceval have been held scoreless in only 17% of their away matches, clearly increasing the visitors’ chances of securing the result. A draw remains a realistic possibility, as Tacuary have drawn 3 of their last 5 matches, but the visitors’ attacking advantage and superior efficiency point towards result 2.

BTTS - Yes is more likely, as both teams frequently land this outcome during the season: Tacuary in 62% of matches and Benjamin Aceval in 67%, compared with the league average of 56%. The visitors are particularly reliable offensively, scoring an average of 1.75 goals from 1.44 xG, while the hosts concede an average of 1.08 goals and allow opponents 1.49 xG. Tacuary have scored just 0.6 goals per match across their last 5 games, which is the main risk to this pick; however, Benjamin Aceval have kept a clean sheet in only 17% of matches and conceded an average of 1.6 goals during this run. The current trend also supports goals at both ends, with BTTS landing in 60% of Tacuary’s last five matches and as many as 80% of Benjamin Aceval’s matches.

The Over 1.5 goals line is strongly supported by the season data: at least two goals were scored in 77% of Tacuary’s matches, and in as many as 100% of Benjamin Aceval’s games. The visitors score an average of 1.75 goals per match, while Tacuary concede 1.08, with their average xG figures standing at 1.44 and 1.49 respectively on the home side’s defensive profile. Both teams regularly allow opponents to create chances, as reflected by average xG against figures of 1.49 for Tacuary and 1.59 for Benjamin Aceval. In their last five matches, Benjamin Aceval had 80% of games with both teams scoring and 60% of matches finishing Over 2.5 goals, making the projected total of 2.65 goals clearly favorable for Over 1.5.

A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome, as Tacuary were level at the break in 75% of their matches, while Benjamin Aceval were level at half-time in 80% of their last five games. First halves are generally cautious: the home side average 0.50 goals in them and the visitors 0.58, with just 0.92 and 1.17 goals scored in total, respectively. After the break, however, the advantage shifts towards Benjamin Aceval, who average 1.17 goals and win the second half in 67% of matches, compared with Tacuary’s 0.83 goals and 42% second-half win rate. Current form also favors the visitors: Tacuary have failed to win any of their last five matches, scoring just 0.6 goals per game and conceding 1.4, while Benjamin Aceval recorded 2 wins during this period. Therefore, the HT/FT scenario of a draw at half-time followed by an away win at the final whistle has the strongest statistical support.