Talleres Córdoba vs Vélez Sarsfield: match statistics
Talleres Córdoba vs Vélez Sarsfield: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Talleres Córdoba played against Vélez Sarsfield in Primera División (Argentina). The game was played on July 30, 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Recent form
Talleres Córdoba has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Vélez Sarsfield has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Talleres Córdoba scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 0.82. Vélez Sarsfield scores 1.06 and allows 0.76. Games in this league average 2.08 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 47% of Talleres Córdoba's games and 47% of Vélez Sarsfield's. The Over 2.5 rates are 35% and 24%, compared with league averages of 45% for BTTS and 34% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Vélez Sarsfield has the higher season xG average, 1.48 to 1.36 per game. Talleres Córdoba takes 11.9 shots per game, while Vélez Sarsfield takes 12.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Talleres Córdoba leads at halftime in 35% of its games and scores 0.53 goals per game after halftime. Vélez Sarsfield leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.59 after halftime.
When the teams score
Talleres Córdoba's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). For Vélez Sarsfield, it is minutes 0-15 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Primera División games average 2.08 goals. Both teams score in 45% of games, and 34% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 1.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
In my assessment the favorites are the visitors – Vélez Sarsfield. Vélez scored 6 goals in their last 5 matches and have a record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss (average 1.6 points per match), while Talleres have scored only 1 goal in their last 5 games and recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses (average 0.4 points per match). Talleres dominate possession (59% vs 53%), take more shots (13.38 vs 10.5) and have a higher home xG (1.49 vs visitors’ away xG 1.25), which shows the hosts create more chances. However, Vélez is significantly more efficient in finishing (conversion 11% vs 8%) and are less likely to fail to register a shot away (FTS 13% vs 38%), and also have 50% clean sheets on the road versus Talleres’ 38%, which, combined with the hosts’ recent poor finishing (1 goal in 5 matches), gives the visitors the edge. For these reasons I give higher chances to a Vélez win, moderate chances for a draw and lower chances for Talleres.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I project BTTS - No. Talleres displays a clear finishing issue: in the last 5 matches they averaged 0.2 goals (1 goal total), while their recent xG was 1.41 and season shot conversion is only 7%. Vélez is in better attacking form — averaging 1.2 goals in the last 5 matches (6 goals total), season xG 1.25 and conversion 11% — so they are more likely to be the scoring side. Clean sheets are common: Talleres has clean sheets in 40% of matches, Vélez 50%; season BTTS rates are 40% and 50%; in the last 5 matches BTTS dropped to 20% (Talleres) and 40% (Vélez), which lowers the probability of both teams scoring. Defensive xG comparison (Talleres concedes 1.51 xG, Vélez 1.48 xG) plus form (Talleres 'ddlll', Vélez 'dwdlw') further suggests Talleres may remain goalless, strengthening the signal for No. Based on this I assess 70% chance for No and 30% for Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Averaging the teams' offensive xG and opponents' xG conceded yields expected goals: Talleres 1.56 (offensive xG 1.64 vs Vélez conceded xG 1.48), Vélez 1.38 (offensive xG 1.25 vs Talleres conceded xG 1.51), total 2.94. A Poisson distribution with λ=2.94 gives P(≥2)≈79%, P(≥3)≈56% and P(≥4)≈34%, hence Over 1.5 = 79%, Over 2.5 = 56%, Over 3.5 = 34%. Support for a higher-goal outcome comes from a combined 8.2 on-target shots (4.7+3.5), 24.4 total shots (13.9+10.5) and Vélez’s higher conversion rate 11% vs Talleres 7%, as well as both teams scoring in 40% (Talleres) and 50% (Vélez) of matches this season. Although historically Over 2.5 has been infrequent (30% for Talleres and 13% for Vélez), the xG advantage and volume of chance-creating metrics clearly point to the Over side, with the strongest signal for Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is 1/1: the home side led at the break in 40% of their matches and won 50% of home games, giving them a realistic chance of maintaining their lead. Talleres generates higher average xG (1.64 vs 1.25 for Vélez) and records more shots (13.9 vs 10.5) and shots on target (4.7 vs 3.5), so they create more goal-scoring opportunities. Although Vélez has the better recent run (form dwdlw vs ddlll) and scored more first-half goals in the last 5 matches (6 vs 2), the season-long first-half metrics favor the hosts — Talleres concedes on average 0.3 goals by half-time versus 0.5 for Vélez and has 70% of first halves without conceding. Therefore I assign the highest probability to 1/1 (~29%), with a significant alternative of X/1 (~16%) if the first half ends level, while the 2/2 scenario is rated lower (~15%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Talleres Córdoba | Vélez Sarsfield | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Talleres Córdoba is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Talleres Córdoba · 1.2 pts / game - Vélez Sarsfield
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Vélez Sarsfield is 6% better for: goals scored per game.
1 goals / game - Talleres Córdoba · 1.06 goals / game - Vélez Sarsfield
Vélez Sarsfield is 8% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.82 goals / game - Talleres Córdoba · 0.76 goals / game - Vélez Sarsfield
Talleres Córdoba scores in 65% of games (11 of 17 meczów), while Vélez Sarsfield keeps a clean sheet in 41% (7 of 17 meczów).
Vélez Sarsfield scores in 76% of games (13 of 17 meczów), while Talleres Córdoba keeps a clean sheet in 35% (6 of 17 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Talleres Córdoba
Over / Under - Vélez Sarsfield
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Talleres Córdoba is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.65 pts / game - Talleres Córdoba · 1.35 pts / game - Vélez Sarsfield
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Talleres Córdoba - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 41%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Vélez Sarsfield - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 41%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Talleres Córdoba
Vélez Sarsfield
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Talleres Córdoba | Liga | Vélez Sarsfield | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.82 | 2.08 | ▼ 1.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 47% | 45% | ▲ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 35% | 34% | ▼ 24% |
| Clean sheets | • 35% | 34% | ▲ 41% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 47% | 61% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | • 71% | 71% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from Talleres Córdoba's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Vélez Sarsfield. Games average 1.75 goals, and both teams scored in 25% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Talleres Córdoba vs Vélez Sarsfield?
The Primera División match finished Talleres Córdoba 1:3 Vélez Sarsfield. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Talleres Córdoba and Vélez Sarsfield?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Talleres Córdoba won 2, Vélez Sarsfield won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Talleres Córdoba vs Vélez Sarsfield?
Talleres Córdoba score 1.00 goals per game on average and Vélez Sarsfield 1.06. The Primera División average is 2.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Talleres Córdoba's matches and 47% of Vélez Sarsfield's.
What form are Talleres Córdoba and Vélez Sarsfield in?
Over the last 5 games Talleres Córdoba have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Vélez Sarsfield 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Talleres Córdoba vs Vélez Sarsfield?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.