Estonia - MeistriliigaA. Le Coq ArenaData current as of 17 July 2026

Tallinna FC Flora vs Nõmme United: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Tallinna FC Flora vs Nõmme United: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Tallinna FC Flora play Nõmme United in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match date is 17 July 2026 at 18:00. Venue: A. Le Coq Arena.

Current form

Tallinna FC Flora: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Nõmme United: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Tallinna FC Flora scores 2.11 and concedes 1.06 goals per match. Nõmme United scores 1.95 and concedes 2.37. League average: 3.10 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Tallinna FC Flora 39%, Nõmme United 89%. Over 2.5: Tallinna FC Flora 78%, Nõmme United 95%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 66%.

xG, shots and style

Tallinna FC Flora has higher xG: 2.08 vs 1.50. Tallinna FC Flora: 17.0 shots per match, Nõmme United: 12.0.

Match halves

Tallinna FC Flora: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 1.22. Nõmme United: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 1.26.

Goals by minute

Tallinna FC Flora: 61-75 (9 goals). Nõmme United: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Meistriliiga: 3.10 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 66%.

Head-to-head

2 H2H matches: 2-0-0. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.28)
(5.30)
(6.50)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Tallinna FC FloraNõmme United
2.11Goals scored / match1.95
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme United
1.06Goals conceded / match2.37
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme United
59%Average possession48%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme United
5.72Shots on target / match4.11
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme United

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

17Shots per match12
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme United
5.72Shots on target4.11
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme United
12.4%Shot conversion16.2%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme United
59%Possession48%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme United
2.08xG for1.5
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme United
1.35xG against1.97
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme United

Shooting quality

Tallinna FC Flora: DominantNõmme United: Efficient finishing
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme United
Accuracy (shots on target)34%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.47

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Tallinna FC Flora
LWLWW
Season result split
67% W0% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-0-6
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +19
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-0-3
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
WWWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 2.06Opponent xG: 1.63BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%
Nõmme United
WLWLW
Season result split
37% W5% R58% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-1-11
1.16 pts / match · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-1-5
Last 5 away
3-0-2
WLLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.51Opponent xG: 1.98BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Tallinna FC Flora is 8% better for: goals scored per match.

2.11 goals / match - Tallinna FC Flora · 1.95 goals / match - Nõmme United

Tallinna FC Flora is 124% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.06 goals / match - Tallinna FC Flora · 2.37 goals / match - Nõmme United

Tallinna FC Flora scoring profile: very strong

Tallinna FC Flora scores in 83% of matches (15 of 18 matches), while Nõmme United keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 19 matches).

Nõmme United scoring profile: very strong

Nõmme United scores in 89% of matches (17 of 19 matches), while Tallinna FC Flora keeps a clean sheet in 44% (8 of 18 matches).

38Goals scored (season)37
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme United
19Goals conceded (season)45
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme United
3.17Average goals in match4.32
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme United
9Goals scored (last 5)10
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme United
7Goals conceded (last 5)9
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme United

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal89%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme United
61%2 goals47%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme United
33%3 goals26%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme United
17%4 goals11%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme United

How often they concede at least...

56%1 goal100%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme United
28%2 goals68%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme United
17%3 goals42%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme United
6%4 goals11%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

39%
Tallinna FC Flora - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.7 of 18 matches
57%
League average

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time42%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme United
0%BTTS in both halves5%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme United
44%Scored in both halves26%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme United

BTTS and goal count

39%Min. 3 goals and BTTS84%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme United
39%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme United
80%BTTS - last 5100%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme United

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

78%Min. 1 goal before half-time95%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme United
44%Min. 2 goals before half-time58%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme United
6%Min. 3 goals before half-time26%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme United

2nd half

94%Min. 1 goal after half-time95%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme United
61%Min. 2 goals after half-time74%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme United
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time47%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme United

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Tallinna FC Flora is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.56 pts / match - Tallinna FC Flora · 0.89 pts / match - Nõmme United

Tallinna FC Flora - half-time state
39% leading39% draw22% trailing
Nõmme United - half-time state
21% leading26% draw53% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.56Points per match (1st half)0.89
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme United
0.89Goals scored (1st half)0.68
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme United
0.44Goals conceded (1st half)1.21
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme United
1.33Average goals (1st half)1.89
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme United
61%Clean sheet before half-time16%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme United
44%No goal before half-time47%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme United

After half-time (2nd half)

1.94Points per match (2nd half)1.37
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme United
1.22Goals scored (2nd half)1.26
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme United
0.61Goals conceded (2nd half)1.16
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme United
1.83Average goals (2nd half)2.42
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme United
67%Clean sheet after half-time26%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme United
28%No goal after half-time37%
Tallinna FC FloraNõmme United

Tallinna FC Flora - second-half results

61% W11% R28% P
28
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
35
Second-half points
+11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.56
PPG before half-time
Lead holding172%

Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Nõmme United - second-half results

37% W26% R37% P
17
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
-10
Goal difference (1st half)
26
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.89
PPG before half-time
Lead holding176%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Tallinna FC Flora - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.80
Goals scored / match0.81.0
Goals conceded / match0.80.6
Average goals in match1.61.6
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference0+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 4
Nõmme United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.80
Goals scored / match0.41.6
Goals conceded / match1.20.6
Average goals in match1.62.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-4+5
Half-time: 20% leading - 0% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Tallinna FC Flora
ScoredConceded
5
3
0-15
6
4
16-30
5
1
31-45
6
4
46-60
9
3
61-75
7
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Nõmme United
ScoredConceded
3
7
0-15
4
10
16-30
6
6
31-45
7
5
46-60
7
5
61-75
10
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.75
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.2 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
121%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
64%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-7%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
74%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Tallinna FC Flora

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.73
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.32
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
122%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
78%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Nõmme United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.47
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.45
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.40
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
143%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
137%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.64
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).

Teams vs league

Tallinna FC FloraLigaNõmme United
Average goals in match 3.173.10 4.32
Both teams scored 39%57% 89%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 78%66% 95%
Clean sheets 44%23% 0%
Goal before half-time 78%74% 95%
Goal after half-time 94%88% 95%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.10
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
66%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.73
Home goals / match
1.36
Away goals / match
+27%
Home attack advantage
+21%
Home defence advantage
+3%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Tallinna FC Flora 2 - 0 - 0 Nõmme United. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

When do Tallinna FC Flora and Nõmme United play?

Tallinna FC Flora face Nõmme United on 17 July 2026 in Meistriliiga at A. Le Coq Arena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Tallinna FC Flora and Nõmme United?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Tallinna FC Flora won 2, Nõmme United won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Tallinna FC Flora vs Nõmme United?

Tallinna FC Flora score 2.11 goals per game on average and Nõmme United 1.95. The Meistriliiga average is 3.10 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Tallinna FC Flora's matches and 89% of Nõmme United's.

What form are Tallinna FC Flora and Nõmme United in?

Over the last 5 games Tallinna FC Flora have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Nõmme United 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tallinna FC Flora vs Nõmme United?

The statistical background for Tallinna FC Flora vs Nõmme United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.