Tallinna FC Flora vs Paide: match statistics
Tallinna FC Flora vs Paide: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Tallinna FC Flora played against Paide in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The game was played on August 30, 2026. Venue: A. Le Coq Arena. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Tallinna FC Flora has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Paide has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Tallinna FC Flora scores 1.96 goals per game and allows 1.22. Paide scores 1.65 and allows 1.30. Games in this league average 3.13 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 48% of Tallinna FC Flora's games and 70% of Paide's. The Over 2.5 rates are 78% and 52%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 66% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Tallinna FC Flora has the higher season xG average, 2.07 to 1.72 per game. Tallinna FC Flora takes 16.9 shots per game, while Paide takes 14.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Tallinna FC Flora leads at halftime in 35% of its games and scores 1.09 goals per game after halftime. Paide leads at halftime in 30% and scores 0.91 after halftime.
When the teams score
Tallinna FC Flora's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (10 goals). For Paide, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Meistriliiga games average 3.13 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 66% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 6 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 83% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Tallinna FC Flora have a clear attacking advantage at home: they average 2.18 goals with an xG of 2.09, while Paide average 1.75 goals and 1.74 xG away from home. The hosts also create more chances, recording an average of 17.09 shots and 5.64 on target per match, compared with 14.58 and 4.83 for the visitors. Paide’s away defense concedes as many as 1.67 goals per game and keeps a clean sheet in only 8% of away matches, which favors Flora. Neither side is in perfect form, with Flora winning 2 of their last 5 matches and Paide scoring 7 goals during that period. However, the hosts have home advantage and a higher season win rate at home, standing at 55% compared with the visitors’ 33% away win rate. Paide do draw 42% of their away matches, so alongside a Flora victory, a closely contested game remains a realistic scenario.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Paide has a very strong seasonal BTTS profile at 83%, clearly above Flora’s 55% and the league average of 57%. Both teams regularly create chances: average xG stands at 1.70 for Flora and 1.74 for Paide, while the visitors also average 4.83 shots on target per match compared with 4.09 for the hosts. Paide’s defense looks particularly vulnerable to conceding, keeping a clean sheet in only 8% of matches and conceding an average of 1.67 goals. The recent defensive form of both teams further supports a goal-heavy scenario, as Flora conceded 2.0 goals per match in their last five games, while Paide conceded 1.6. Flora scored only 1.0 goal per match during this period, which limits confidence in the pick, but their xG of 1.84 and the opponent’s weak defense support the expectation that the hosts will score. Therefore, BTTS - Yes is the stronger angle, while BTTS - No would mean that at least one team fails to score; it does not automatically imply a 0:0 draw or that neither team will score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The match profile points to at least two goals: Paide exceeded the 1.5-goal line in 83% of matches, while Flora did so in 55%. Both teams create plenty of chances, with an average xG of 1.70 for Flora and 1.74 for Paide, alongside high xG conceded figures by their opponents: 1.63 and 1.48, respectively. In their last five matches, Flora conceded 10 goals and Paide 8, which strengthens the goals forecast despite the hosts’ weaker current finishing. Paide conceded at least one goal in 92% of matches, while Flora scored in 91% of their appearances. Over 1.5 is the safest choice, as the expected total of 3.05 goals is clearly above this line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest-looking HT/FT variant is a draw at half-time followed by a Flora win: the hosts were level at the break in 45% of their matches, while Paide recorded this outcome in as many as 58%. However, Flora have been clearly more solid over the season as a whole, winning 64% of their matches and averaging 2.00 points per game, compared with Paide’s 33% win rate and 1.42 points per game. After half-time, the hosts score an average of 0.82 goals and concede just 0.45, while Paide concede an average of 0.83 goals in this period away from home. In addition, Paide have kept a clean sheet in only 8% of their matches, while Flora generate stronger chances, with an xG of 1.70 compared with the opponents’ 1.63 xG conceded, supporting the expectation of a decisive second-half goal for the hosts.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Tallinna FC Flora | Paide | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Paide is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Tallinna FC Flora · 2 pts / game - Paide
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tallinna FC Flora is 19% better for: goals scored per game.
1.96 goals / game - Tallinna FC Flora · 1.65 goals / game - Paide
Tallinna FC Flora is 7% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.22 goals / game - Tallinna FC Flora · 1.3 goals / game - Paide
Tallinna FC Flora scores in 87% of games (20 of 23 games), while Paide keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 games).
Paide scores in 91% of games (21 of 23 games), while Tallinna FC Flora keeps a clean sheet in 39% (9 of 23 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tallinna FC Flora
Over / Under - Paide
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tallinna FC Flora - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 61%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Paide - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 48%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 2.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +7 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Tallinna FC Flora
Paide
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Tallinna FC Flora | Liga | Paide | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 3.17 | 3.13 | ▼ 2.96 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 59% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 78% | 66% | ▼ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 22% | • 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 76% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 96% | 89% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from Tallinna FC Flora's perspective: 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses against Paide. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 83% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Tallinna FC Flora vs Paide?
The Meistriliiga match finished Tallinna FC Flora 1:2 Paide. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tallinna FC Flora and Paide?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Tallinna FC Flora won 2, Paide won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 83% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tallinna FC Flora vs Paide?
Tallinna FC Flora score 1.96 goals per game on average and Paide 1.65. The Meistriliiga average is 3.13 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Tallinna FC Flora's matches and 70% of Paide's.
What form are Tallinna FC Flora and Paide in?
Over the last 5 games Tallinna FC Flora have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Paide 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tallinna FC Flora vs Paide?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Tallinna FC Flora vs Paide: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.