Estonia - MeistriliigaA. Le Coq ArenaData current as of October 23, 2026

Tallinna FC Levadia vs Kuressaare: match statistics

Tallinna FC Levadia vs Kuressaare: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Tallinna FC Levadia played against Kuressaare in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The game was played on September 9, 2026. Venue: A. Le Coq Arena. Final score: 4:0.

Recent form

Tallinna FC Levadia has 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 3.00 points per game. Kuressaare has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Tallinna FC Levadia scores 2.64 goals per game and allows 0.80. Kuressaare scores 1.15 and allows 1.62. Games in this league average 3.11 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 68% of Tallinna FC Levadia's games and 54% of Kuressaare's. The Over 2.5 rates are 72% and 58%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 65% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Tallinna FC Levadia has the higher season xG average, 2.43 to 1.52 per game. Tallinna FC Levadia takes 20.8 shots per game, while Kuressaare takes 12.3.

First-half and second-half trends

Tallinna FC Levadia leads at halftime in 52% of its games and scores 1.44 goals per game after halftime. Kuressaare leads at halftime in 27% and scores 0.62 after halftime.

When the teams score

Tallinna FC Levadia's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (14 goals). For Kuressaare, it is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Meistriliiga games average 3.11 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 65% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 6 previous meetings were available. The record was 6 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Tallinna FC Levadia are top of the league and have won all of their last 5 matches, scoring 18 goals and conceding just 4 in that run. At home, the hosts average 2.91 goals per game, create chances worth 2.24 xG and maintain 60% possession, while Kuressaare score only 1.00 goal away from home. The visitors’ defense is clearly vulnerable under pressure: they concede 1.77 goals per away match, allow opponents 2.11 xG and have kept no clean sheets. Kuressaare have improved their recent form, winning 3 of their last 5 matches, but they have lost 69% of their away fixtures and failed to score in as many as 46% of them. The quality gap between Levadia’s highly effective attack and Kuressaare’s weak away defense strongly points to a home win.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The BTTS - Yes pick is primarily supported by current form, as both teams have recorded this scenario in 60% of their last 5 matches. During this period, Levadia averaged 3.6 goals with an xG of 2.84, while Kuressaare averaged 3.2 goals and an xG of 2.28, indicating a high quality of chances created by both sides. Kuressaare’s defense has kept no clean sheets this season and concedes an average of 1.77 goals, while its average xG conceded is as high as 2.11. The risk to this pick comes from the fact that Levadia and Kuressaare failed to score in 50% and 46% of their matches this season, respectively. However, the visitors’ weaker defense and a clear improvement in attacking output in recent appearances shift the assessment toward a Goal/Goal scenario.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

The strongest selection is Over 1.5 goals, as matches involving both teams surpassed this line in 67% and 69% of their games this season, respectively. Current form clearly reinforces the goals signal: Levadia scored 18 goals in their last 5 matches, averaging 3.6 per game, while Kuressaare scored 16, averaging 3.2. Their chance-creation potential is also high, with average xG over the last five matches standing at 2.84 for the home side and 2.28 for the visitors. Kuressaare have failed to keep a clean sheet in every match this season, while both teams conceded over 0.5 goals in 100% and 83% of their matches, further reducing the likelihood of a very tight match. The Over 2.5 line also has an edge, supported by 100% of Levadia’s and 80% of Kuressaare’s last five matches featuring at least three goals, but Over 1.5 remains the clearly safer selection.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

The most likely HT/FT outcome is a draw at half-time followed by a Levadia win (X/1), as the hosts were level after 45 minutes in 42% of their matches, compared with 31% for Kuressaare. Levadia are clearly stronger in their current run, having won all five of their last matches, scoring an average of 3.6 goals and conceding just 0.8. Kuressaare are also in good form, but they have lost 69% of their matches this season and have kept no clean sheets, conceding an average of 1.77 goals per game. After the break, the hosts have scored an average of 2.4 goals in their last five appearances without conceding any, which supports the expectation that they will turn around a closely contested first half in their favor. Caution in the first half is also suggested by the seasonal averages of 0.58 goals scored by Levadia and 0.38 by Kuressaare before the break.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

2 : 0
First half
2 : 0
Second half

Game stats

65Possession (%)35
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
19Shots12
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
8Shots on target3
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
2.53xG1.38
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
3Corners4
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
106Dangerous attacks57
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
14Fouls3
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
2Cards0
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
2.64Goals scored / game1.15
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
0.8Goals allowed / game1.62
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
59%Average possession40%
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
7.28Shots on target / game4.38
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

20.84Shots per game12.31
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
7.28Shots on target4.38
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
12.7%Shot conversion9.4%
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
59%Possession40%
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
2.43xG for1.52
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
1.05xG against2
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare

Shooting quality

Tallinna FC Levadia: DominantKuressaare: Balanced
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
Accuracy (shots on target)35%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Tallinna FC Levadia is 50% better for: last-5 form.

3 pts / game - Tallinna FC Levadia · 2 pts / game - Kuressaare

Tallinna FC Levadia
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
76% W20% D4% L
Season (W-D-L)
19-5-1
2.48 pts / game · goal difference +46
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-3-1
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WDLWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 3.2Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 2.65Opponent xG: 1.09BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%
Kuressaare
WWLDW
Season result split
31% W15% D54% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-4-14
1.08 pts / game · goal difference -12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-1-9
Last 5 away
1-0-4
LLLWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.93Opponent xG: 1.88BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Tallinna FC Levadia is 130% better for: goals scored per game.

2.64 goals / game - Tallinna FC Levadia · 1.15 goals / game - Kuressaare

Tallinna FC Levadia is 102% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.8 goals / game - Tallinna FC Levadia · 1.62 goals / game - Kuressaare

Tallinna FC Levadia scoring profile: very strong

Tallinna FC Levadia scores in 100% of games (25 of 25 games), while Kuressaare keeps a clean sheet in 8% (2 of 26 games).

Kuressaare scoring profile: mixed

Kuressaare scores in 54% of games (14 of 26 games), while Tallinna FC Levadia keeps a clean sheet in 32% (8 of 25 games).

66Goals scored (season)30
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
20Goals conceded (season)42
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
3.44Average goals per game2.77
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
16Goals scored (last 5)11
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
3Goals conceded (last 5)8
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal54%
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
76%2 goals38%
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
44%3 goals23%
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
20%4 goals0%
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare

How often they concede at least...

68%1 goal92%
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
12%2 goals54%
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
0%3 goals12%
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
0%4 goals4%
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

68%
Tallinna FC Levadia - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.17 of 25 games
59%
League average

Goal patterns

24%BTTS at half-time15%
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
4%BTTS in both halves4%
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
60%Scored in both halves27%
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare

BTTS and goal count

52%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
20%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
40%BTTS - last 580%
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

80%Min. 1 goal before half-time73%
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
48%Min. 2 goals before half-time27%
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
16%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare

2nd half

96%Min. 1 goal after half-time85%
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
76%Min. 2 goals after half-time46%
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
12%Min. 3 goals after half-time15%
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Tallinna FC Levadia is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.92 pts / game - Tallinna FC Levadia · 1.15 pts / game - Kuressaare

Tallinna FC Levadia - half-time state
52% leading36% draw12% trailing
Kuressaare - half-time state
27% leading35% draw38% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.92Points per game (1st half)1.15
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
1.2Goals scored (1st half)0.54
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
0.4Goals conceded (1st half)0.58
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
1.6Average goals (1st half)1.12
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
64%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
32%No goal before half-time62%
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare

After half-time (2nd half)

2.16Points per game (2nd half)0.85
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
1.44Goals scored (2nd half)0.62
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
0.4Goals conceded (2nd half)1.04
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
1.84Average goals (2nd half)1.65
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
64%Clean sheet after half-time27%
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare
8%No goal after half-time58%
Tallinna FC LevadiaKuressaare

Tallinna FC Levadia - second-half results

60% W36% D4% L
48
Half-time points
30
Half-time goals
+20
Goal difference (1st half)
54
Second-half points
+26
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.92
PPG before half-time
Lead holding146%

Leads at halftime in 52% of games and wins 76%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Kuressaare - second-half results

15% W38% D46% L
30
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
22
Second-half points
-11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.15
PPG before half-time
Lead holding115%

Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 31%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Tallinna FC Levadia - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.603.00
Goals scored / game1.02.2
Goals allowed / game0.60.0
Average goals per game1.62.2
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%100%
No goal40%0%
Goal difference+2+11
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 100% won - 0% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5
Kuressaare - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.000.80
Goals scored / game1.40.8
Goals allowed / game0.61.0
Average goals per game2.01.8
1 goal100%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+4-1
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 7

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Tallinna FC Levadia
ScoredConceded
8
3
0-15
13
3
16-30
9
4
31-45
9
2
46-60
13
3
61-75
14
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.

Kuressaare
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
4
8
16-30
7
5
31-45
2
8
46-60
5
9
61-75
9
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.10
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
2.1 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
61%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-14%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
54%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Tallinna FC Levadia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.38
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.46
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.25
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
151%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
59%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.52
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Kuressaare

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.48
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.37
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.38
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
93%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.92
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).

Teams vs league

Tallinna FC LevadiaLigaKuressaare
Average goals per game▲ 3.443.11▼ 2.77
Both teams scored▲ 68%59%▼ 54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 72%65%▼ 58%
Clean sheets▲ 32%22%▼ 8%
Goal before half-time▲ 80%75%▼ 73%
Goal after half-time▲ 96%88%▼ 85%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.11
Average goals per game
59%
Both teams scored
65%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.75
Home goals / game
1.35
Away goals / game
+30%
Home attack advantage
+23%
Home defensive advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Tallinna FC LevadiaGoalMaksimilian SkvortsovAssist: Gregor Lehtmets
  2. Tallinna FC LevadiaSubstitutionOn: Joseph SalisteOff: Hubert Liiv
  3. Tallinna FC LevadiaGoalGregor LehtmetsAssist: Enock Kofi Otoo
  4. Tallinna FC LevadiaYellow cardRobert Kirss
  5. Tallinna FC LevadiaYellow cardFrank Liivak
  6. KuressaareSubstitutionOn: Taavi JürisooOff: Aston Visse
  7. Tallinna FC LevadiaGoalEnock Kofi Otoo
  8. Tallinna FC LevadiaGoalGeovani Reis Nascimento Júnior

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Tallinna FC Levadia's perspective: 6 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Kuressaare. Games average 2.67 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

Kuressaare
1 : 2
Tallinna FC Levadia
Tallinna FC Levadia
2 : 0
Kuressaare
FC Kuressaare
0 : 3
Tallinna FC Levadia
Tallinna FC Levadia
2 : 0
FC Kuressaare
FC Kuressaare
1 : 2
Tallinna FC Levadia
Tallinna FC Levadia
2 : 1
FC Kuressaare

FAQ

What was the result of Tallinna FC Levadia vs Kuressaare?

The Meistriliiga match finished Tallinna FC Levadia 4:0 Kuressaare. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Tallinna FC Levadia and Kuressaare?

In the last 6 head-to-head matches Tallinna FC Levadia won 6, Kuressaare won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Tallinna FC Levadia vs Kuressaare?

Tallinna FC Levadia score 2.64 goals per game on average and Kuressaare 1.15. The Meistriliiga average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Tallinna FC Levadia's matches and 54% of Kuressaare's.

What form are Tallinna FC Levadia and Kuressaare in?

Over the last 5 games Tallinna FC Levadia have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Kuressaare 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tallinna FC Levadia vs Kuressaare?

The statistical background for Tallinna FC Levadia vs Kuressaare — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.