Estonia - MeistriliigaData current as of September 07, 2026

Tallinna FC Levadia vs Paide: match statistics

Tallinna FC Levadia crest
Tallinna FC Levadia
3 : 2half-time 1:1
Paide crest
Paide
170%(1.77)
X20%(3.65)
210%(3.85)

Tallinna FC Levadia are displaying dominant form as the league leaders with two wins in two matches and an impressive goal difference of 5:1. The hosts are unbeaten at home this season, maintaining a 100% record (2 wins) and keeping a clean sheet in every home match. Their advantage in ball possession (69%) and high average xG (3.13) compared to just 1.07 xG for their opponents demonstrates clear dominance. Meanwhile, Paide have a disastrous away record – 0 wins and 100% losses on the road, conceding an average of 3 goals per game. The difference in quality, particularly in the home matches of the hosts versus the away performances of the visitors, along with Levadia's superiority in key offensive and defensive statistics, unequivocally points to a certain victory for the home side.

Tallinna FC Levadia vs Paide: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Tallinna FC Levadia played against Paide in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The game was played on March 22, 2026. Final score: 3:2.

Recent form

Tallinna FC Levadia has 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 3.00 points per game. Paide has 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 1.50 points per game.

Scoring records

Tallinna FC Levadia scores 2.50 goals per game and allows 0.50. Paide scores 1.50 and allows 1.50. Games in this league average 3.36 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 50% of Tallinna FC Levadia's games and 50% of Paide's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 50%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 64% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Tallinna FC Levadia has the higher season xG average, 2.97 to 1.77 per game. Tallinna FC Levadia takes 26.5 shots per game, while Paide takes 14.0.

First-half and second-half trends

Tallinna FC Levadia leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 1.50 goals per game after halftime. Paide leads at halftime in 0% and scores 1.50 after halftime.

When the teams score

Tallinna FC Levadia's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (2 goals). For Paide, it is minutes 46-60 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Meistriliiga games average 3.36 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 64% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Tallinna FC Levadia are displaying dominant form as the league leaders with two wins in two matches and an impressive goal difference of 5:1. The hosts are unbeaten at home this season, maintaining a 100% record (2 wins) and keeping a clean sheet in every home match. Their advantage in ball possession (69%) and high average xG (3.13) compared to just 1.07 xG for their opponents demonstrates clear dominance. Meanwhile, Paide have a disastrous away record – 0 wins and 100% losses on the road, conceding an average of 3 goals per game. The difference in quality, particularly in the home matches of the hosts versus the away performances of the visitors, along with Levadia's superiority in key offensive and defensive statistics, unequivocally points to a certain victory for the home side.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

1 : 1
First half
1 : 1
Second half

Game stats

51Possession (%)49
Tallinna FC LevadiaPaide
13Shots7
Tallinna FC LevadiaPaide
3Shots on target5
Tallinna FC LevadiaPaide
1.49xG1.08
Tallinna FC LevadiaPaide
4Corners1
Tallinna FC LevadiaPaide
64Dangerous attacks39
Tallinna FC LevadiaPaide
19Fouls13
Tallinna FC LevadiaPaide
5Cards1
Tallinna FC LevadiaPaide

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Tallinna FC LevadiaPaide
2.5Goals scored / game1.5
Tallinna FC LevadiaPaide
0.5Goals allowed / game1.5
Tallinna FC LevadiaPaide
68%Average possession63%
Tallinna FC LevadiaPaide
7.5Shots on target / game4
Tallinna FC LevadiaPaide

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

26.5Shots per game14
Tallinna FC LevadiaPaide
7.5Shots on target4
Tallinna FC LevadiaPaide
9.4%Shot conversion10.7%
Tallinna FC LevadiaPaide
68%Possession63%
Tallinna FC LevadiaPaide
2.97xG for1.77
Tallinna FC LevadiaPaide
1.02xG against0.95
Tallinna FC LevadiaPaide

Shooting quality

Tallinna FC Levadia: DominantPaide: Dominant
Tallinna FC LevadiaPaide
Accuracy (shots on target)28%29%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Tallinna FC Levadia is 100% better for: last-5 form.

3 pts / game - Tallinna FC Levadia · 1.5 pts / game - Paide

Tallinna FC Levadia
WW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
100% W0% R0% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-0-0
3.00 pts / game · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-0
3.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Last 5 at home
1-0-0
W
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.5Goals conceded: 0.5xG: 2.97Opponent xG: 1.02BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 50%
Paide
LW
Season result split
50% W0% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-0-1
1.50 pts / game · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-1
1.50 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Last 5 away
0-0-1
L
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.5Goals conceded: 1.5xG: 1.77Opponent xG: 0.95BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 50%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Tallinna FC Levadia is 67% better for: goals scored per game.

2.5 goals / game - Tallinna FC Levadia · 1.5 goals / game - Paide

Tallinna FC Levadia is 200% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.5 goals / game - Tallinna FC Levadia · 1.5 goals / game - Paide

Tallinna FC Levadia scoring profile: very strong

Tallinna FC Levadia scores in 100% of games (2 of 2 meczów), while Paide keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 meczów).

Paide scoring profile: very strong

Paide scores in 100% of games (2 of 2 meczów), while Tallinna FC Levadia keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 meczów).

5Goals scored (season)3
Tallinna FC LevadiaPaide
1Goals conceded (season)3
Tallinna FC LevadiaPaide
3Average goals per game3
Tallinna FC LevadiaPaide
5Goals scored (last 5)3
Tallinna FC LevadiaPaide
1Goals conceded (last 5)3
Tallinna FC LevadiaPaide

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal100%
Tallinna FC LevadiaPaide
100%2 goals50%
Tallinna FC LevadiaPaide
50%3 goals0%
Tallinna FC LevadiaPaide
0%4 goals0%
Tallinna FC LevadiaPaide

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal50%
Tallinna FC LevadiaPaide
0%2 goals50%
Tallinna FC LevadiaPaide
0%3 goals50%
Tallinna FC LevadiaPaide
0%4 goals0%
Tallinna FC LevadiaPaide

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

50%
Tallinna FC Levadia - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.1 of 2 meczów
50%
League average

Goal patterns

50%BTTS at half-time0%
Tallinna FC LevadiaPaide
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Tallinna FC LevadiaPaide
100%Scored in both halves0%
Tallinna FC LevadiaPaide

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Tallinna FC LevadiaPaide
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Tallinna FC LevadiaPaide
50%BTTS - last 550%
Tallinna FC LevadiaPaide

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time0%
Tallinna FC LevadiaPaide
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
Tallinna FC LevadiaPaide
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Tallinna FC LevadiaPaide

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Tallinna FC LevadiaPaide
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Tallinna FC LevadiaPaide
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time50%
Tallinna FC LevadiaPaide

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Tallinna FC Levadia is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2 pts / game - Tallinna FC Levadia · 1 pts / game - Paide

Tallinna FC Levadia - half-time state
50% leading50% draw0% trailing
Paide - half-time state
0% leading100% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2Points per game (1st half)1
Tallinna FC LevadiaPaide
1Goals scored (1st half)0
Tallinna FC LevadiaPaide
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0
Tallinna FC LevadiaPaide
1.5Average goals (1st half)0
Tallinna FC LevadiaPaide
50%Clean sheet before half-time100%
Tallinna FC LevadiaPaide
0%No goal before half-time100%
Tallinna FC LevadiaPaide

After half-time (2nd half)

3Points per game (2nd half)1.5
Tallinna FC LevadiaPaide
1.5Goals scored (2nd half)1.5
Tallinna FC LevadiaPaide
0Goals conceded (2nd half)1.5
Tallinna FC LevadiaPaide
1.5Average goals (2nd half)3
Tallinna FC LevadiaPaide
100%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Tallinna FC LevadiaPaide
0%No goal after half-time0%
Tallinna FC LevadiaPaide

Tallinna FC Levadia - second-half results

100% W0% R0% P
4
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 100%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.5

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Paide - second-half results

50% W0% R50% P
2
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
3
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime+1.5

Allows 1.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Tallinna FC Levadia - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.003.00
Goals scored / game1.01.5
Goals allowed / game0.50.0
Average goals per game1.51.5
1 goal100%100%
2 goals50%50%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet50%100%
No goal0%0%
Goal difference+1+3
Half-time: 50% leading - 50% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 100% won - 0% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 50% - Half-time goals total: 2
Paide - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.50
Goals scored / game0.01.5
Goals allowed / game0.01.5
Average goals per game0.03.0
1 goal0%100%
2 goals0%50%
3 goals0%50%
Clean sheet100%50%
No goal100%0%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 50% won - 0% draw - 50% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Tallinna FC Levadia
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
1
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
2
0
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Paide
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
2
0
46-60
0
1
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.00
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
2.0 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
89%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
0%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
100%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Tallinna FC Levadia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.95
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.47
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.52
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
113%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
44%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Paide

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.82
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.82
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.27
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.55
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
132%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
68%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.5
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).

Teams vs league

Tallinna FC LevadiaLigaPaide
Average goals per game 3.003.36 3.00
Both teams scored 50%50% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%64% 50%
Clean sheets 50%25% 50%
Goal before half-time 100%79% 0%
Goal after half-time 100%86% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.36
Average goals per game
50%
Both teams scored
64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
2.21
Home goals / game
1.14
Away goals / game
+94%
Home attack advantage
+48%
Home defensive advantage
+28%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
57%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
14%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Tallinna FC LevadiaGoalMihkel AinsaluAssist: Joseph Saliste
  2. Tallinna FC LevadiaYellow cardMark Oliver Roosnupp
  3. Tallinna FC LevadiaSubstitutionOn: Gregor LehtmetsOff: Frank Liivak
  4. Tallinna FC LevadiaYellow cardRasmus Peetson
  5. PaideGoalHenri AnierAssist: Siim Luts
  6. PaideSubstitutionOn: Kristofer PihtOff: Daniel Luts
  7. PaideSubstitutionOn: Momodou JobartehOff: Siim Luts
  8. Tallinna FC LevadiaGoalMihkel AinsaluAssist: Mark Oliver Roosnupp
  9. Tallinna FC LevadiaSubstitutionOn: Moussa Felix SambeOff: Gregor Lehtmets
  10. PaideYellow cardPedro Andrade Drozina
  11. Tallinna FC LevadiaYellow cardMoussa Felix Sambe
  12. Tallinna FC LevadiaSubstitutionOn: Aleksander ŠvedovskiOff: Enock Kofi Otoo
  13. Tallinna FC LevadiaYellow cardMihkel Ainsalu
  14. Tallinna FC LevadiaYellow cardJoseph Saliste

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Tallinna FC Levadia's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Paide. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 75% of them.

Tallinna FC Levadia
1 : 2
Paide Linnameeskond
Paide Linnameeskond
0 : 3
Tallinna FC Levadia
Tallinna FC Levadia
2 : 1
Paide Linnameeskond
Paide Linnameeskond
2 : 1
Tallinna FC Levadia

FAQ

What was the result of Tallinna FC Levadia vs Paide?

The Meistriliiga match finished Tallinna FC Levadia 3:2 Paide. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Tallinna FC Levadia and Paide?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Tallinna FC Levadia won 2, Paide won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Tallinna FC Levadia vs Paide?

Tallinna FC Levadia score 2.50 goals per game on average and Paide 1.50. The Meistriliiga average is 3.36 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Tallinna FC Levadia's matches and 50% of Paide's.

What form are Tallinna FC Levadia and Paide in?

Over the last 5 games Tallinna FC Levadia have a 2-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Paide 1-0-1 (1.50 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tallinna FC Levadia vs Paide?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Tallinna FC Levadia vs Paide: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.