Tammeka vs Nõmme United: match statistics
Tammeka vs Nõmme United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tammeka play Nõmme United in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match date is 15 May 2026 at 18:00. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Tammeka: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Nõmme United: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tammeka scores 1.17 and concedes 1.44 goals per match. Nõmme United scores 1.95 and concedes 2.30. League average: 3.11 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tammeka 50%, Nõmme United 90%. Over 2.5: Tammeka 56%, Nõmme United 95%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Tammeka has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.50. Tammeka: 13.9 shots per match, Nõmme United: 11.9.
Match halves
Tammeka: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.67. Nõmme United: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.20.
Goals by minute
Tammeka: 76-90+ (6 goals). Nõmme United: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Meistriliiga: 3.11 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Tammeka holds a significant defensive edge: at home they concede an average of 1.6 goals per game versus 3.2 goals conceded by Nõmme United away. Offensively both teams are similar — averaging 1.2 goals per game and comparable xG: 1.12 for Tammeka vs 1.13 for Nõmme — however the visitors have clear defensive issues (average xG against 2.07). In the last 5 matches Tammeka scored 3 and conceded 3 (2 wins), while Nõmme scored 9 and conceded as many as 15 (2 wins, 3 losses), indicating the visitors’ recent defensive poor form. Additionally, the hosts average 8.6 shots with 3.8 on target per home match versus 7.6/3.2 for the visitors, giving them an advantage in chance quality. Considering the lower xG against and better goal balance over the last 5 games, I assign a higher probability to a home win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tammeka | Nõmme United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.48 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tammeka is 11% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Tammeka · 1.8 pts / match - Nõmme United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nõmme United is 67% better for: goals scored per match.
1.17 goals / match - Tammeka · 1.95 goals / match - Nõmme United
Tammeka is 60% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.44 goals / match - Tammeka · 2.3 goals / match - Nõmme United
Tammeka scores in 67% of matches (12 of 18 matches), while Nõmme United keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 20 matches).
Nõmme United scores in 90% of matches (18 of 20 matches), while Tammeka keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Tammeka
Over / Under — Nõmme United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nõmme United is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.89 pts / match - Tammeka · 1 pts / match - Nõmme United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tammeka - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Nõmme United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tammeka
Nõmme United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Tammeka | Liga | Nõmme United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.61 | 3.11 | ▲ 4.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 58% | ▲ 90% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 56% | 66% | ▲ 95% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 28% | 23% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 74% | ▲ 95% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 88% | ▲ 95% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Tammeka 1 - 0 - 0 Nõmme United. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tammeka vs Nõmme United?
The Meistriliiga match finished Tammeka 3:1 Nõmme United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Tammeka vs Nõmme United?
Tammeka score 1.17 goals per game on average and Nõmme United 1.95. The Meistriliiga average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Tammeka's matches and 90% of Nõmme United's.
What form are Tammeka and Nõmme United in?
Over the last 5 games Tammeka have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Nõmme United 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tammeka vs Nõmme United?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.