Estonia - MeistriliigaTamme staadionData current as of September 06, 2026

Tammeka vs Paide: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Tammeka vs Paide: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Tammeka plays Paide in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The game is scheduled for September 9, 2026. Venue: Tamme staadion.

Recent form

Tammeka has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. Paide has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Tammeka scores 1.29 goals per game and allows 1.46. Paide scores 1.67 and allows 1.29. Games in this league average 3.12 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 50% of Tammeka's games and 71% of Paide's. The Over 2.5 rates are 54% and 54%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 66% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Paide has the higher season xG average, 1.74 to 1.59 per game. Tammeka takes 13.7 shots per game, while Paide takes 14.6.

First-half and second-half trends

Tammeka leads at halftime in 17% of its games and scores 0.75 goals per game after halftime. Paide leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.96 after halftime.

When the teams score

Tammeka's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For Paide, it is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Meistriliiga games average 3.12 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 66% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 6 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 5 away wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 17% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.29Goals scored / game1.67
TammekaPaide
1.46Goals allowed / game1.29
TammekaPaide
51%Average possession56%
TammekaPaide
4.75Shots on target / game4.58
TammekaPaide

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13.67Shots per game14.63
TammekaPaide
4.75Shots on target4.58
TammekaPaide
9.5%Shot conversion11.4%
TammekaPaide
51%Possession56%
TammekaPaide
1.59xG for1.74
TammekaPaide
1.58xG against1.53
TammekaPaide

Shooting quality

Tammeka: BalancedPaide: Dominant
TammekaPaide
Accuracy (shots on target)35%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Tammeka is 20% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / game - Tammeka · 2 pts / game - Paide

Tammeka
WWWWL
Season result split
50% W8% R42% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-2-10
1.58 pts / game · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-1-4
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
DWWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.58Opponent xG: 1.43BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Paide
LWDWW
Season result split
50% W25% R25% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-6-6
1.75 pts / game · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
5-5-3
Last 5 away
2-2-1
WDLDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 2.20Opponent xG: 1.39BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Paide is 29% better for: goals scored per game.

1.29 goals / game - Tammeka · 1.67 goals / game - Paide

Paide is 13% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.46 goals / game - Tammeka · 1.29 goals / game - Paide

Tammeka scoring profile: very strong

Tammeka scores in 75% of games (18 of 24 meczów), while Paide keeps a clean sheet in 21% (5 of 24 meczów).

Paide scoring profile: very strong

Paide scores in 92% of games (22 of 24 meczów), while Tammeka keeps a clean sheet in 33% (8 of 24 meczów).

31Goals scored (season)40
TammekaPaide
35Goals conceded (season)31
TammekaPaide
2.75Average goals per game2.96
TammekaPaide
9Goals scored (last 5)10
TammekaPaide
4Goals conceded (last 5)8
TammekaPaide

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal92%
TammekaPaide
38%2 goals46%
TammekaPaide
17%3 goals21%
TammekaPaide
0%4 goals8%
TammekaPaide

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal79%
TammekaPaide
33%2 goals29%
TammekaPaide
25%3 goals13%
TammekaPaide
13%4 goals4%
TammekaPaide

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time29%
TammekaPaide
4%BTTS in both halves8%
TammekaPaide
25%Scored in both halves38%
TammekaPaide

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS54%
TammekaPaide
4%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
TammekaPaide
40%BTTS - last 580%
TammekaPaide

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time63%
TammekaPaide
46%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
TammekaPaide
29%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
TammekaPaide

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time92%
TammekaPaide
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time42%
TammekaPaide
4%Min. 3 goals after half-time21%
TammekaPaide

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Paide is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / game - Tammeka · 1.42 pts / game - Paide

Tammeka - half-time state
17% leading50% draw33% trailing
Paide - half-time state
29% leading54% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per game (1st half)1.42
TammekaPaide
0.54Goals scored (1st half)0.71
TammekaPaide
1.04Goals conceded (1st half)0.63
TammekaPaide
1.58Average goals (1st half)1.33
TammekaPaide
42%Clean sheet before half-time63%
TammekaPaide
58%No goal before half-time46%
TammekaPaide

After half-time (2nd half)

1.75Points per game (2nd half)1.75
TammekaPaide
0.75Goals scored (2nd half)0.96
TammekaPaide
0.42Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67
TammekaPaide
1.17Average goals (2nd half)1.63
TammekaPaide
67%Clean sheet after half-time50%
TammekaPaide
42%No goal after half-time25%
TammekaPaide

Tammeka - second-half results

46% W38% R17% P
24
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
-12
Goal difference (1st half)
42
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding294%

Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.6

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Paide - second-half results

50% W25% R25% P
34
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
42
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.42
PPG before half-time
Lead holding172%

Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Tammeka - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.602.20
Goals scored / game0.81.0
Goals allowed / game0.60.2
Average goals per game1.41.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+1+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Paide - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.603.00
Goals scored / game0.41.6
Goals allowed / game1.40.2
Average goals per game1.81.8
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal60%0%
Goal difference-5+7
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 100% won - 0% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Tammeka
ScoredConceded
0
5
0-15
6
10
16-30
7
10
31-45
5
0
46-60
4
6
61-75
9
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

Paide
ScoredConceded
5
5
0-15
6
7
16-30
6
3
31-45
7
1
46-60
6
6
61-75
10
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.85
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.3 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
92%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
61%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-12%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
69%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Tammeka

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.18
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+6.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.30
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
72%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
110%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.82
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

Paide

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.21
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
126%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
72%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.25
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).

Teams vs league

TammekaLigaPaide
Average goals per game 2.753.12 2.96
Both teams scored 50%60% 71%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 54%66% 54%
Clean sheets 33%22% 21%
Goal before half-time 67%75% 63%
Goal after half-time 75%89% 92%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.12
Average goals per game
60%
Both teams scored
66%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.79
Home goals / game
1.33
Away goals / game
+35%
Home attack advantage
+26%
Home defensive advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
89%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Tammeka's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 5 losses against Paide. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 17% of them.

Paide
0 : 1
Tammeka
Tammeka
1 : 4
Paide
Paide Linnameeskond
5 : 0
JK Tammeka Tartu
JK Tammeka Tartu
0 : 1
Paide Linnameeskond
JK Tammeka Tartu
0 : 2
Paide Linnameeskond
Paide Linnameeskond
1 : 0
JK Tammeka Tartu

FAQ

When do Tammeka and Paide play?

Tammeka face Paide on September 9, 2026 in Meistriliiga at Tamme staadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Tammeka and Paide?

In the last 6 head-to-head matches Tammeka won 1, Paide won 5 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 17% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Tammeka vs Paide?

Tammeka score 1.29 goals per game on average and Paide 1.67. The Meistriliiga average is 3.12 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Tammeka's matches and 71% of Paide's.

What form are Tammeka and Paide in?

Over the last 5 games Tammeka have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Paide 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tammeka vs Paide?

The statistical background for Tammeka vs Paide — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.