Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami FC II: match statistics
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami FC II: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Tampa Bay Rowdies played against Miami FC II in USL Championship (United States). The game was played on October 3, 2026. Venue: Al Lang Stadium. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Tampa Bay Rowdies has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Miami FC II has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Tampa Bay Rowdies scores 1.73 goals per game and allows 0.88. Miami FC II scores 1.33 and allows 1.63. Games in this league average 2.73 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 38% of Tampa Bay Rowdies's games and 56% of Miami FC II's. The Over 2.5 rates are 42% and 56%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Tampa Bay Rowdies has the higher season xG average, 1.70 to 1.34 per game. Tampa Bay Rowdies takes 15.0 shots per game, while Miami FC II takes 11.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Tampa Bay Rowdies leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Miami FC II leads at halftime in 22% and scores 0.67 after halftime.
When the teams score
Tampa Bay Rowdies's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (16 goals). For Miami FC II, it is minutes 31-45+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
USL Championship games average 2.73 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 5 previous meetings were available. The record was 5 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Tampa Bay Rowdies sit 1st in the table and win 67% of their home matches, while 20th-placed Miami FC II win 21% of their away games. The hosts average 2.33 goals and 6.08 shots on target per match at home; the visitors score just 0.86 goals away and fail to find the net in half of those matches. Tampa Bay’s advantage is also reflected in the quality of chances: their home xG is 1.95, while Miami concede chances worth an average xG of 1.67 away from home. Both teams have scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches, but the hosts have conceded just 3 in that period, compared with 9 by the visitors. This defensive gap, combined with Tampa Bay’s significantly more effective home form, points to a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument for BTTS - No is the visitors’ lack of scoring efficiency: Miami FC II failed to score in 50% of its matches, and its season average is just 0.86 goals compared with Tampa Bay Rowdies’ 1.67. The hosts have kept a clean sheet in only 17% of their matches this season, but have conceded an average of just 0.6 goals across their last 5 games, increasing the risk that the visitors fail to score. On the other hand, BTTS - Yes landed in 67% of Tampa Bay’s matches and 43% of Miami’s, so a Goal/Goal outcome cannot be ruled out. Despite this uncertainty, Miami’s weaker scoring record and the hosts’ recent defensive improvement give a slight edge to the scenario in which at least one team fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
At least 2 goals were scored in 83% of Tampa Bay Rowdies matches and 71% of Miami FC II matches, providing a strong basis for selecting Over 1.5 goals. The home side averages 1.67 goals per match, while the visitors concede 1.50, so Tampa should contribute the most to the projected total of 2.69 goals. Miami averages only 0.86 goals and failed to score in 50% of its matches, making the 2.5-goal line less reliable. Additionally, Tampa conceded a total of 3 goals in its last 5 appearances, compared with 9 for Miami, strengthening expectations of goals from the home side but offering less support for the higher line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is likely, as Miami FC II were level at the break in 10 of 14 matches, while Tampa Bay Rowdies were level in 2 of their last 5. The case for a home win is supported by their higher average goals scored this season — 1.67 compared with the visitors’ 0.86 — as well as their xG advantage: 1.46 to 1.22. In their last 5 matches, Tampa Bay conceded an average of 0.6 goals, compared with 1.8 for Miami, strengthening the hosts’ chances of winning. The likelihood of the match being decided after half-time is also supported by second-half averages: Tampa Bay scored 0.91 goals after the break, while Miami conceded 0.86. However, the X/1 pick is not a clear-cut one, as the hosts have conceded an average of 1.83 goals per match over the season.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Tampa Bay Rowdies | Miami FC II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Miami FC II is 38% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Tampa Bay Rowdies · 2.2 pts / game - Miami FC II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tampa Bay Rowdies is 30% better for: goals scored per game.
1.73 goals / game - Tampa Bay Rowdies · 1.33 goals / game - Miami FC II
Tampa Bay Rowdies is 85% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.88 goals / game - Tampa Bay Rowdies · 1.63 goals / game - Miami FC II
Tampa Bay Rowdies scores in 85% of games (22 of 26 games), while Miami FC II keeps a clean sheet in 26% (7 of 27 games).
Miami FC II scores in 63% of games (17 of 27 games), while Tampa Bay Rowdies keeps a clean sheet in 54% (14 of 26 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tampa Bay Rowdies
Over / Under - Miami FC II
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tampa Bay Rowdies is 52% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.81 pts / game - Tampa Bay Rowdies · 1.19 pts / game - Miami FC II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tampa Bay Rowdies - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 58%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Miami FC II - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Miami FC II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Tampa Bay Rowdies | Liga | Miami FC II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.62 | 2.73 | ▲ 2.96 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 54% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 50% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 54% | 28% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 69% | 66% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 78% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Tampa Bay Rowdies's perspective: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Miami FC II. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 80% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami FC II?
The USL Championship match finished Tampa Bay Rowdies 1:2 Miami FC II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tampa Bay Rowdies and Miami FC II?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Tampa Bay Rowdies won 5, Miami FC II won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami FC II?
Tampa Bay Rowdies score 1.73 goals per game on average and Miami FC II 1.33. The USL Championship average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Tampa Bay Rowdies's matches and 56% of Miami FC II's.
What form are Tampa Bay Rowdies and Miami FC II in?
Over the last 5 games Tampa Bay Rowdies have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Miami FC II 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Miami FC II?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.