Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Oakland Roots: match statistics
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Oakland Roots: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Tampa Bay Rowdies played against Oakland Roots in USL Championship (United States). The game was played on April 11, 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Recent form
Tampa Bay Rowdies has 4 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 3.00 points per game. Oakland Roots has 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 1.75 points per game.
Scoring records
Tampa Bay Rowdies scores 2.00 goals per game and allows 0.25. Oakland Roots scores 1.25 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.63 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 25% of Tampa Bay Rowdies's games and 50% of Oakland Roots's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 50%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Tampa Bay Rowdies has the higher season xG average, 1.90 to 1.40 per game. Tampa Bay Rowdies takes 17.5 shots per game, while Oakland Roots takes 12.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Tampa Bay Rowdies leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 1.50 goals per game after halftime. Oakland Roots leads at halftime in 50% and scores 0.50 after halftime.
When the teams score
Tampa Bay Rowdies's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). For Oakland Roots, it is minutes 31-45+ (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
USL Championship games average 2.63 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Tampa Bay Rowdies decisively dominate at home: they have a 100% win rate at their stadium (4 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses), score an average of 3.0 goals per home match and have scored 9 goals in their last 5 games. Their attacking strength is supported by a home xG of 2.07 and a high shot volume: on average 19 attempts and 8.5 shots on target per match, with a conversion rate of 16%. Oakland Roots score on the road an average of 1.5 goals per match with xG 1.45, average 12.5 shots and 4 on target, and a conversion rate of 12%. Defensively Tampa concedes only 0.5 goals per home match with xG against 0.43 and keep 50% clean sheets, while Oakland concedes an average of 1.0 goal away with xG against 1.35, giving the hosts an advantage on both ends of the pitch. Considering 3.0 vs 1.5 goals per match, the xG edge (2.07 vs 1.45), more shots and higher home conversion %, plus better form (last 5 matches Tampa: dwwww and 2.6 points per game vs Oakland: wwwdl and 2.0 points per game), I predict a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I select BTTS - Yes as the more likely outcome because in the last 5 matches Tampa Bay scored 9 goals (avg 1.8) and Oakland 8 goals (avg 1.6), indicating both teams are capable of scoring. xG supports this: recent xG for Tampa is 1.73 versus 1.38 for Oakland, while Oakland’s xG against is 1.4, so the visitors have recently been conceding more chances. Seasonal indicators are mixed – both teams have season BTTS of 50% and the league average BTTS is 52%, suggesting an even outcome but not decisive. The key conflict is clean sheet percentage: Oakland has a 50% clean sheet rate this season while Tampa at home has 0%; however, in the last 5 matches Tampa conceded only 0.4 goals on average and Oakland conceded 4 goals, so recent trends favor both teams scoring. Considering the offensive edge over the last 5 matches and Oakland’s xG vulnerability, I assess BTTS at 60% vs 40% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Combined season data and form from the last 5 matches yield expected xG of approximately 1.48 for Tampa Bay and 1.20 for Oakland, totaling 2.68 goals (seasonal xG: 1.32 vs 1.45; xG against: 1.37 vs 1.35; last 5 home matches xG for 1.73, visitors 1.38, recent xG against 0.78 vs 1.40). A Poisson model with a mean of 2.68 indicates P(Over 1.5) ≈75% (P≥2≈0.75), P(Over 2.5) ≈50% (P≥3≈0.50) and P(Over 3.5) ≈28% (P≥4≈0.28). Both teams have scored in 100% of their matches this season, and in the last 5 fixtures they averaged 1.8 (Tampa Bay) and 1.6 (Oakland) goals, which supports Over 1.5 goals. Tampa Bay averages 5 shots on target per match versus 4 for Oakland, with conversion rates of 9% vs 12%, so chances are created by both sides and the visitors’ higher efficiency offsets the differences. As a result, the strongest and most reliable signal from the data is Over 1.5 (≈75%), while Over 2.5 is borderline (≈50%) and Over 3.5 has a low probability (≈28%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back 2/1 (away leading at the break, home wins) because Oakland has clearer goal production before halftime: on average 1.0 goals before the break versus 0.5 for Tampa Bay, and 2 goals in the 31–45 min window, indicating frequent strikes just before the end of the first half. Tampa Bay, however, is stronger after the break — in the last 5 matches the home side scores an average of 1.4 goals post-break versus 0.8 for Oakland and has won second halves in 80% of cases, increasing the chance of a turnaround. Seasonally Oakland has more points per game (2.0 vs 1.5), slightly higher xG (1.45 vs 1.32) and better shot conversion (12% vs 9%), so they more often hold the lead at halftime, but that advantage is not overwhelming. Therefore the strongest signal is the away team leading at the break with the home team coming back to win — 28% for 2/1; I assign 18% to 2/2 and 14% to X/1 as realistic alternatives. Other scenarios have smaller numerical support (e.g. X/X 12% or X/1 14%) and complete the distribution to 100%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Tampa Bay Rowdies | Oakland Roots | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Tampa Bay Rowdies is 71% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / game - Tampa Bay Rowdies · 1.75 pts / game - Oakland Roots
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tampa Bay Rowdies is 60% better for: goals scored per game.
2 goals / game - Tampa Bay Rowdies · 1.25 goals / game - Oakland Roots
Tampa Bay Rowdies is 300% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.25 goals / game - Tampa Bay Rowdies · 1 goals / game - Oakland Roots
Tampa Bay Rowdies scores in 100% of games (4 of 4 meczów), while Oakland Roots keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 meczów).
Oakland Roots scores in 75% of games (3 of 4 meczów), while Tampa Bay Rowdies keeps a clean sheet in 75% (3 of 4 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tampa Bay Rowdies
Over / Under - Oakland Roots
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tampa Bay Rowdies - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 100%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Oakland Roots - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 1.0 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| Average goals per game | 0.5 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 75% |
| No goal | 50% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.5 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 25% |
| No goal | 50% | 50% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Oakland Roots
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Tampa Bay Rowdies | Liga | Oakland Roots | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.25 | 2.63 | ▼ 2.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 75% | 30% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 64% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 81% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Tampa Bay Rowdies's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Oakland Roots. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Oakland Roots?
The USL Championship match finished Tampa Bay Rowdies 2:2 Oakland Roots. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Oakland Roots?
Tampa Bay Rowdies score 2.00 goals per game on average and Oakland Roots 1.25. The USL Championship average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Tampa Bay Rowdies's matches and 50% of Oakland Roots's.
What form are Tampa Bay Rowdies and Oakland Roots in?
Over the last 5 games Tampa Bay Rowdies have a 4-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Oakland Roots 2-1-1 (1.75 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Oakland Roots?
The statistical background for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Oakland Roots — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.