Tapatío vs Morelia: match statistics
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Tapatío vs Morelia: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Tapatío plays Morelia in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game is scheduled for October 24, 2026. Venue: Estadio AKRON.
Recent form
Tapatío has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Morelia has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Tapatío scores 1.77 goals per game and allows 1.92. Morelia scores 1.77 and allows 1.15. Games in this league average 3.26 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 62% of Tapatío's games and 69% of Morelia's. The Over 2.5 rates are 69% and 54%, compared with league averages of 61% for BTTS and 63% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Morelia has the higher season xG average, 1.87 to 1.41 per game. Tapatío takes 12.3 shots per game, while Morelia takes 15.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Tapatío leads at halftime in 31% of its games and scores 0.92 goals per game after halftime. Morelia leads at halftime in 46% and scores 1.15 after halftime.
When the teams score
Tapatío's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (6 goals). For Morelia, it is minutes 46-60 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ascenso MX games average 3.26 goals. Both teams score in 61% of games, and 63% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Tapatío | Morelia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Tapatío is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Tapatío · 1 pts / game - Morelia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Morelia is 67% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.92 goals / game - Tapatío · 1.15 goals / game - Morelia
Tapatío scores in 77% of games (10 of 13 games), while Morelia keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 games).
Morelia scores in 92% of games (12 of 13 games), while Tapatío keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tapatío
Over / Under - Morelia
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Morelia is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.31 pts / game - Tapatío · 1.62 pts / game - Morelia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tapatío - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Morelia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 46% of games and wins 54%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Tapatío
Morelia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Tapatío | Liga | Morelia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.69 | 3.26 | ▼ 2.92 |
| Both teams scored | • 62% | 61% | ▲ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 69% | 63% | ▼ 54% |
| Clean sheets | • 23% | 22% | • 23% |
| Goal before half-time | • 77% | 76% | ▲ 85% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 82% | ▲ 92% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Tapatío's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Morelia. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
When do Tapatío and Morelia play?
Tapatío face Morelia on October 24, 2026 in Ascenso MX at Estadio AKRON. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tapatío and Morelia?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Tapatío won 1, Morelia won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tapatío vs Morelia?
Tapatío score 1.77 goals per game on average and Morelia 1.77. The Ascenso MX average is 3.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Tapatío's matches and 69% of Morelia's.
What form are Tapatío and Morelia in?
Over the last 5 games Tapatío have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Morelia 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tapatío vs Morelia?
The statistical background for Tapatío vs Morelia — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.