Tapatío vs Tlaxcala: match statistics
Tapatío vs Tlaxcala: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Tapatío played against Tlaxcala in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game was played on September 20, 2026. Venue: Estadio AKRON. Final score: 4:0.
Recent form
Tapatío has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Tlaxcala has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Tapatío scores 1.63 goals per game and allows 1.75. Tlaxcala scores 1.75 and allows 2.13. Games in this league average 3.21 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 75% of Tapatío's games and 88% of Tlaxcala's. The Over 2.5 rates are 63% and 75%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 59% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Tapatío has the higher season xG average, 1.38 to 1.28 per game. Tapatío takes 12.1 shots per game, while Tlaxcala takes 9.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Tapatío leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Tlaxcala leads at halftime in 38% and scores 1.13 after halftime.
When the teams score
Tapatío's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). For Tlaxcala, it is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ascenso MX games average 3.21 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 59% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Tapatío have the clear home advantage: they have won 50% of their home matches, while Tlaxcala are still without an away victory, drawing 50% and losing 50% of their matches on the road. Both teams average 1.5 goals scored at home and away, respectively, but the visitors concede as many as 2.25 goals per match away from home and have kept no clean sheets there. Tapatío have scored 10 goals in their last five matches, but their defense has conceded 11, meaning Tlaxcala, who have found the net 11 times during this period, should have their chances. However, the hosts create slightly higher-quality opportunities, with an average xG of 1.38 compared to the visitors’ 1.07, while also registering more shots per match, 12.75 to 8.25. Tapatío’s greater home stability and Tlaxcala’s poor away defense point towards a narrow home win, although a draw remains a realistic scenario.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The signal for both teams to score is very strong: Tapatío has recorded BTTS in 75% of its matches this season, while Tlaxcala has done so in as many as 100%. In their last five matches, both teams recorded BTTS in all 5 of 5 fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 2.2 conceded for the hosts, and 2.2 scored and 1.6 conceded for the visitors. Neither team has kept a clean sheet yet, while Tlaxcala has not played a single match this season without scoring. Their attacking potential is confirmed by the latest xG figures: 1.43 for Tapatío and 1.41 for Tlaxcala, while both defenses allowed 1.71 and 1.45 xG respectively. BTTS - Yes is clearly more likely than the league average of 57%, especially as 75% of each side’s matches featured at least three goals with both teams scoring.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have a very clear goals profile: 100% of their matches this season have ended with at least two goals. Tapatío average 2.0 goals scored, while Tlaxcala concede 2.25; meanwhile, the visitors score 1.5 goals per game, compared with 2.0 goals conceded by the hosts. Across their last five matches, both teams averaged 4.2 and 3.8 total goals respectively, with both teams scoring in 100% of those games. The xG model projects 1.55 goals for Tapatío and 1.34 for Tlaxcala, for a combined total of 2.89, supporting a minimum of two goals. The strongest option is Over 1.5 goals, as it combines both teams’ perfect record for this line with their consistent tendency to concede goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time followed by a Tapatío win is the most likely outcome, as the hosts were level after 45 minutes in 2 of their 4 home matches, while both teams average 1.25 goals in the first half. Tlaxcala can start strongly, leading at the break in 50% of their away matches, but they have not won any of those games at full time. After the break, Tapatío score an average of 1.5 goals at home and win the second half in 50% of their matches, whereas Tlaxcala concede as many as 1.75 goals during that period and have not recorded a single victory. The hosts' post-half-time advantage is also supported by the quality of chances: their average xG is 1.49 compared with 1.07 for the visitors, while Tlaxcala's defense allows an xG of 1.48. Both teams play open matches, averaging 4.0 total goals in Tapatío games and 3.75 in Tlaxcala games, which is why a later outcome in favor of the hosts has the strongest basis.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Tapatío | Tlaxcala | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.48 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Tlaxcala is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Tapatío · 1.6 pts / game - Tlaxcala
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tlaxcala is 7% better for: goals scored per game.
1.63 goals / game - Tapatío · 1.75 goals / game - Tlaxcala
Tapatío is 22% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.75 goals / game - Tapatío · 2.13 goals / game - Tlaxcala
Tapatío scores in 88% of games (7 of 8 games), while Tlaxcala keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 8 games).
Tlaxcala scores in 88% of games (7 of 8 games), while Tapatío keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tapatío
Over / Under - Tlaxcala
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tlaxcala is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / game - Tapatío · 1.38 pts / game - Tlaxcala
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tapatío - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Tlaxcala - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 25%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.9 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Tapatío
Tlaxcala
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Tapatío | Liga | Tlaxcala | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.38 | 3.21 | ▲ 3.88 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 56% | ▲ 88% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 59% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 24% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 76% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 79% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Tapatío's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Tlaxcala. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Tapatío vs Tlaxcala?
The Ascenso MX match finished Tapatío 4:0 Tlaxcala. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tapatío and Tlaxcala?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Tapatío won 1, Tlaxcala won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tapatío vs Tlaxcala?
Tapatío score 1.63 goals per game on average and Tlaxcala 1.75. The Ascenso MX average is 3.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Tapatío's matches and 88% of Tlaxcala's.
What form are Tapatío and Tlaxcala in?
Over the last 5 games Tapatío have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Tlaxcala 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tapatío vs Tlaxcala?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Tapatío vs Tlaxcala: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.