Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Atlante: match statistics
Atlante presents significantly better form and statistics this season. The visitors have won 9 of 16 matches, scoring 36 goals while conceding just 12, resulting in an impressive goal difference of +24. In away matches, Atlante wins half their games (50% Win%), keeping a clean sheet in half of those instances and averaging 2.13 goals per match. Tepatitlán de Morelos is in poor form, especially in the last five matches (PPG: 0.8), losing three of them. The hosts win only 33% of home games and are on a negative run. Atlante's advantage in possession (61% vs 52%), higher shot conversion (18% vs 7%), and superior xG statistics further confirm their dominance. All these factors point to a clear advantage for the visitors and a probable victory for Atlante in this clash.
Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Atlante: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Tepatitlán de Morelos played against Atlante in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game was played on January 11, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Tepatitlán de Morelos has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Atlante has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Tepatitlán de Morelos scores 1.28 goals per game and allows 1.06. Atlante scores 2.25 and allows 0.75. Games in this league average 2.95 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 56% of Tepatitlán de Morelos's games and 38% of Atlante's. The Over 2.5 rates are 39% and 56%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Atlante has the higher season xG average, 1.83 to 1.67 per game. Tepatitlán de Morelos takes 14.7 shots per game, while Atlante takes 15.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Tepatitlán de Morelos leads at halftime in 28% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Atlante leads at halftime in 44% and scores 1.25 after halftime.
When the teams score
Tepatitlán de Morelos's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). For Atlante, it is minutes 31-45+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ascenso MX games average 2.95 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 2 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atlante presents significantly better form and statistics this season. The visitors have won 9 of 16 matches, scoring 36 goals while conceding just 12, resulting in an impressive goal difference of +24. In away matches, Atlante wins half their games (50% Win%), keeping a clean sheet in half of those instances and averaging 2.13 goals per match. Tepatitlán de Morelos is in poor form, especially in the last five matches (PPG: 0.8), losing three of them. The hosts win only 33% of home games and are on a negative run. Atlante's advantage in possession (61% vs 52%), higher shot conversion (18% vs 7%), and superior xG statistics further confirm their dominance. All these factors point to a clear advantage for the visitors and a probable victory for Atlante in this clash.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Tepatitlán de Morelos | Atlante | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Atlante is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Tepatitlán de Morelos · 1.6 pts / game - Atlante
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlante is 76% better for: goals scored per game.
1.28 goals / game - Tepatitlán de Morelos · 2.25 goals / game - Atlante
Atlante is 41% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.06 goals / game - Tepatitlán de Morelos · 0.75 goals / game - Atlante
Tepatitlán de Morelos scores in 67% of games (12 of 18 meczów), while Atlante keeps a clean sheet in 50% (8 of 16 meczów).
Atlante scores in 81% of games (13 of 16 meczów), while Tepatitlán de Morelos keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tepatitlán de Morelos
Over / Under - Atlante
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlante is 39% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / game - Tepatitlán de Morelos · 1.63 pts / game - Atlante
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tepatitlán de Morelos - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 28% of games and wins 28%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Atlante - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 44% of games and wins 56%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Tepatitlán de Morelos
Atlante
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Tepatitlán de Morelos | Liga | Atlante | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.33 | 2.95 | • 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | • 56% | 57% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 54% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 25% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | • 78% | 77% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 80% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Tepatitlán de MorelosYellow cardJesús Allan Moreno Villegas
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Tepatitlán de Morelos's perspective: 1 win, 2 draws and 0 losses against Atlante. Games average 1.67 goals, and both teams scored in 67% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Atlante?
The Ascenso MX match finished Tepatitlán de Morelos 1:1 Atlante. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tepatitlán de Morelos and Atlante?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Tepatitlán de Morelos won 1, Atlante won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Atlante?
Tepatitlán de Morelos score 1.28 goals per game on average and Atlante 2.25. The Ascenso MX average is 2.95 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Tepatitlán de Morelos's matches and 38% of Atlante's.
What form are Tepatitlán de Morelos and Atlante in?
Over the last 5 games Tepatitlán de Morelos have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Atlante 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Atlante?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.