Mexico - Ascenso MXData current as of 06 August 2026

Tepatitlán de Morelos vs CA La Paz: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Tepatitlán de Morelos vs CA La Paz: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Tepatitlán de Morelos play CA La Paz in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match date is 8 August 2026.

Current form

Tepatitlán de Morelos: 0-0-2, 0.00 points/match. CA La Paz: 0-0-2, 0.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Tepatitlán de Morelos scores 0.50 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. CA La Paz scores 1.00 and concedes 2.50. League average: 2.60 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Tepatitlán de Morelos 50%, CA La Paz 50%. Over 2.5: Tepatitlán de Morelos 50%, CA La Paz 50%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 40%.

xG, shots and style

Tepatitlán de Morelos has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.30. Tepatitlán de Morelos: 12.5 shots per match, CA La Paz: 12.5.

Match halves

Tepatitlán de Morelos: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.00. CA La Paz: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.00.

Goals by minute

Tepatitlán de Morelos: 31-45+ (1 goals). CA La Paz: 31-45+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ascenso MX: 2.60 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 40%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.65)
(3.65)
(4.55)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Tepatitlán de MorelosCA La Paz
0.5Goals scored / match1
Tepatitlán de MorelosCA La Paz
2Goals conceded / match2.5
Tepatitlán de MorelosCA La Paz
49%Average possession44%
Tepatitlán de MorelosCA La Paz
5Shots on target / match3.5
Tepatitlán de MorelosCA La Paz

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.5Shots per match12.5
Tepatitlán de MorelosCA La Paz
5Shots on target3.5
Tepatitlán de MorelosCA La Paz
4%Shot conversion8%
Tepatitlán de MorelosCA La Paz
49%Possession44%
Tepatitlán de MorelosCA La Paz
1.56xG for1.3
Tepatitlán de MorelosCA La Paz
1.72xG against1.42
Tepatitlán de MorelosCA La Paz

Shooting quality

Tepatitlán de Morelos: BalancedCA La Paz: Balanced
Tepatitlán de MorelosCA La Paz
Accuracy (shots on target)40%28%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.100.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Tepatitlán de Morelos
LL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W0% R100% P
Season (W-D-L)
0-0-2
0.00 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-2
0.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Last 5 at home
0-0-1
L
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.5Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.56Opponent xG: 1.72BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 50%
CA La Paz
LL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W0% R100% P
Season (W-D-L)
0-0-2
0.00 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-2
0.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Last 5 away
0-0-1
L
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.5xG: 1.30Opponent xG: 1.42BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 50%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

CA La Paz is 100% better for: goals scored per match.

0.5 goals / match - Tepatitlán de Morelos · 1 goals / match - CA La Paz

Tepatitlán de Morelos is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.

2 goals / match - Tepatitlán de Morelos · 2.5 goals / match - CA La Paz

Tepatitlán de Morelos scoring profile: very strong

Tepatitlán de Morelos scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while CA La Paz keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).

CA La Paz scoring profile: very strong

CA La Paz scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while Tepatitlán de Morelos keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).

1Goals scored (season)2
Tepatitlán de MorelosCA La Paz
4Goals conceded (season)5
Tepatitlán de MorelosCA La Paz
2.5Average goals in match3.5
Tepatitlán de MorelosCA La Paz
1Goals scored (last 5)2
Tepatitlán de MorelosCA La Paz
4Goals conceded (last 5)5
Tepatitlán de MorelosCA La Paz

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal50%
Tepatitlán de MorelosCA La Paz
0%2 goals50%
Tepatitlán de MorelosCA La Paz
0%3 goals0%
Tepatitlán de MorelosCA La Paz
0%4 goals0%
Tepatitlán de MorelosCA La Paz

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal100%
Tepatitlán de MorelosCA La Paz
50%2 goals50%
Tepatitlán de MorelosCA La Paz
50%3 goals50%
Tepatitlán de MorelosCA La Paz
0%4 goals50%
Tepatitlán de MorelosCA La Paz

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

50%
Tepatitlán de Morelos - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.1 of 2 matches
40%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
Tepatitlán de MorelosCA La Paz
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Tepatitlán de MorelosCA La Paz
0%Scored in both halves0%
Tepatitlán de MorelosCA La Paz

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Tepatitlán de MorelosCA La Paz
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Tepatitlán de MorelosCA La Paz
50%BTTS - last 550%
Tepatitlán de MorelosCA La Paz

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
Tepatitlán de MorelosCA La Paz
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
Tepatitlán de MorelosCA La Paz
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Tepatitlán de MorelosCA La Paz

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Tepatitlán de MorelosCA La Paz
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Tepatitlán de MorelosCA La Paz
50%Min. 3 goals after half-time50%
Tepatitlán de MorelosCA La Paz

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Tepatitlán de Morelos - half-time state
50% leading50% draw0% trailing
CA La Paz - half-time state
50% leading50% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2Points per match (1st half)2
Tepatitlán de MorelosCA La Paz
0.5Goals scored (1st half)1
Tepatitlán de MorelosCA La Paz
0Goals conceded (1st half)0
Tepatitlán de MorelosCA La Paz
0.5Average goals (1st half)1
Tepatitlán de MorelosCA La Paz
100%Clean sheet before half-time100%
Tepatitlán de MorelosCA La Paz
50%No goal before half-time50%
Tepatitlán de MorelosCA La Paz

After half-time (2nd half)

0Points per match (2nd half)0
Tepatitlán de MorelosCA La Paz
0Goals scored (2nd half)0
Tepatitlán de MorelosCA La Paz
2Goals conceded (2nd half)2.5
Tepatitlán de MorelosCA La Paz
2Average goals (2nd half)2.5
Tepatitlán de MorelosCA La Paz
0%Clean sheet after half-time0%
Tepatitlán de MorelosCA La Paz
100%No goal after half-time100%
Tepatitlán de MorelosCA La Paz

Tepatitlán de Morelos - second-half results

0% W0% R100% P
4
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
0
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding0%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+2.0

Concedes 2.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

CA La Paz - second-half results

0% W0% R100% P
4
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
0
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding0%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+2.5

Concedes 2.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Tepatitlán de Morelos - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.000.00
Goals scored / match0.50.0
Goals conceded / match0.02.0
Average goals in match0.52.0
1 goal50%100%
2 goals0%50%
3 goals0%50%
Clean sheet100%0%
No goal50%100%
Goal difference+1-4
Half-time: 50% leading - 50% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 0% draw - 100% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
CA La Paz - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.000.00
Goals scored / match1.00.0
Goals conceded / match0.02.5
Average goals in match1.02.5
1 goal50%100%
2 goals50%50%
3 goals0%50%
Clean sheet100%0%
No goal50%100%
Goal difference+2-5
Half-time: 50% leading - 50% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 0% draw - 100% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Tepatitlán de Morelos
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
1
0
31-45
0
1
46-60
0
0
61-75
0
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

CA La Paz
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
2
0
31-45
0
2
46-60
0
2
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.00
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
115%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-50%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
25%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
25%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 4 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Tepatitlán de Morelos

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.16
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.34
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-1.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
36%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
167%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.5
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

CA La Paz

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.12
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.38
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.30
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-1.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
83%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
179%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-1.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).

Teams vs league

Tepatitlán de MorelosLigaCA La Paz
Average goals in match 2.502.60 3.50
Both teams scored 50%40% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%40% 50%
Clean sheets 0%37% 0%
Goal before half-time 50%60% 50%
Goal after half-time 100%60% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.60
Average goals per match
40%
Both teams scored
40%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
37%
Clean sheets
1.40
Home goals / match
1.20
Away goals / match
+17%
Home attack advantage
+14%
Home defence advantage
+7%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
60%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
0%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
60%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
40%
3 goals
20%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Tepatitlán de Morelos 0 - 1 - 1 CA La Paz. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Club Atlético La Paz
1 : 1
Tepatitlán de Morelos
Tepatitlán de Morelos
0 : 1
Club Atlético La Paz

FAQ

When do Tepatitlán de Morelos and CA La Paz play?

Tepatitlán de Morelos face CA La Paz on 8 August 2026 in Ascenso MX. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Tepatitlán de Morelos and CA La Paz?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Tepatitlán de Morelos won 0, CA La Paz won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Tepatitlán de Morelos vs CA La Paz?

Tepatitlán de Morelos score 0.50 goals per game on average and CA La Paz 1.00. The Ascenso MX average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Tepatitlán de Morelos's matches and 50% of CA La Paz's.

What form are Tepatitlán de Morelos and CA La Paz in?

Over the last 5 games Tepatitlán de Morelos have a 0-0-2 record (0.00 points per game) and CA La Paz 0-0-2 (0.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs CA La Paz?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs CA La Paz: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.