Tepatitlán de Morelos vs CDS Tampico Madero: match statistics
Tepatitlán de Morelos vs CDS Tampico Madero: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Tepatitlán de Morelos played against CDS Tampico Madero in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game was played on October 3, 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
Tepatitlán de Morelos has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. CDS Tampico Madero has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Tepatitlán de Morelos scores 0.56 goals per game and allows 3.11. CDS Tampico Madero scores 1.10 and allows 1.60. Games in this league average 3.19 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 33% of Tepatitlán de Morelos's games and 40% of CDS Tampico Madero's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 50%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 61% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
CDS Tampico Madero has the higher season xG average, 1.25 to 1.19 per game. Tepatitlán de Morelos takes 9.9 shots per game, while CDS Tampico Madero takes 10.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Tepatitlán de Morelos leads at halftime in 22% of its games and scores 0.22 goals per game after halftime. CDS Tampico Madero leads at halftime in 30% and scores 0.40 after halftime.
When the teams score
Tepatitlán de Morelos's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (2 goals). For CDS Tampico Madero, it is minutes 0-15 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ascenso MX games average 3.19 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 61% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 8 previous meetings were available. The record was 3 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. Those games averaged 1.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Tepatitlán de Morelos are slight favorites, primarily because CDS Tampico Madero have lost all of their last 5 away matches. The visitors average just 0.2 goals on the road and have failed to score in 80% of those games, despite averaging 1.11 xG. At home, the hosts score an average of 0.8 goals with an xG of 1.25, giving them an edge in finishing, but not suggesting an easy win. Their defense remains a serious concern: they concede an average of 2.6 goals at home and have shipped 18 goals in their last 5 matches. Both teams have won only 1 of their last 5 games, so home advantage and the visitors’ poor away scoring record point to the hosts, although a draw or a Tampico Madero win remains a realistic possibility.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest case for BTTS - No is the visitors’ poor away scoring record: they average 0.2 goals and have failed to score in 80% of those matches. The hosts average 2.0 goals at home, while Tampico Madero concede 2.2 away from home, making a Tepatitlán goal more likely than both teams scoring. However, the visitors’ recent form calls for caution: they averaged 1.2 goals across their last five matches, while the hosts conceded as many as 3.6 goals per game over that period. Despite this warning sign, BTTS has occurred in just 20% of Tampico Madero’s away matches, compared with 60% of Tepatitlán’s home games, so there is a slight edge to the outcome in which at least one team fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Tepatitlán average 2.0 goals at home, while Tampico Madero concede 2.2 on the road, giving the hosts a strong basis for scoring more than once. The visitors score just 0.2 goals per away match and have failed to score in 80% of those games, although their average of 1.2 goals across their last five matches suggests their chances of finding the net cannot be ruled out entirely. In addition, Tepatitlán have conceded 18 goals in their last five matches, increasing the likelihood of an away goal despite Tampico Madero’s poor results on the road. At least two goals were scored in 80% of Tepatitlán’s home matches and 60% of Tampico Madero’s away matches. Therefore, Over 1.5 goals is the strongest pick: an expected total of 2.85 goals gives this line a clearer edge than the more demanding Over 2.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Tepatitlán led at the break in 3 of their 5 home matches and did not concede a single first-half goal in any of them, while Tampico Madero have yet to lead at half-time in an away match. The hosts average 1.2 goals scored before half-time at home, while the visitors concede an average of 1.0 on the road, supporting the case for an early Tepatitlán lead. The advantage is also clear over the full 90 minutes: the hosts average 2.0 goals at home and have won 3 of their 5 matches, whereas the visitors score just 0.2 goals per away match and have lost all 5. Although Tepatitlán have lost 4 of their last 5 matches overall, their home record and their opponents’ away results make a Tepatitlán lead at the break followed by a full-time win the most likely scenario in the HT/FT market.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Tepatitlán de Morelos | CDS Tampico Madero | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.19 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
CDS Tampico Madero is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / game - Tepatitlán de Morelos · 0.8 pts / game - CDS Tampico Madero
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CDS Tampico Madero is 96% better for: goals scored per game.
0.56 goals / game - Tepatitlán de Morelos · 1.1 goals / game - CDS Tampico Madero
CDS Tampico Madero is 94% better for: goals allowed per game.
3.11 goals / game - Tepatitlán de Morelos · 1.6 goals / game - CDS Tampico Madero
Tepatitlán de Morelos scores in 33% of games (3 of 9 games), while CDS Tampico Madero keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 games).
CDS Tampico Madero scores in 50% of games (5 of 10 games), while Tepatitlán de Morelos keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 9 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tepatitlán de Morelos
Over / Under - CDS Tampico Madero
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
CDS Tampico Madero is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / game - Tepatitlán de Morelos · 1.4 pts / game - CDS Tampico Madero
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tepatitlán de Morelos - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 11%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 1.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
CDS Tampico Madero - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -10 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -7 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -11 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Tepatitlán de Morelos
CDS Tampico Madero
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Tepatitlán de Morelos | Liga | CDS Tampico Madero | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.67 | 3.19 | ▼ 2.70 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 56% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 61% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 24% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 76% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 81% | • 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Other recorded players
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Tepatitlán de MorelosSubstitutionOn: Alfonso Arístides Tamay SánchezOff: Fernando Benjamín Osorio Sanguinetti
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Tepatitlán de Morelos's perspective: 3 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses against CDS Tampico Madero. Games average 1.75 goals, and both teams scored in 25% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Tepatitlán de Morelos vs CDS Tampico Madero?
The Ascenso MX match finished Tepatitlán de Morelos 3:1 CDS Tampico Madero. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tepatitlán de Morelos and CDS Tampico Madero?
In the last 8 head-to-head matches Tepatitlán de Morelos won 3, CDS Tampico Madero won 3 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tepatitlán de Morelos vs CDS Tampico Madero?
Tepatitlán de Morelos score 0.56 goals per game on average and CDS Tampico Madero 1.10. The Ascenso MX average is 3.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Tepatitlán de Morelos's matches and 40% of CDS Tampico Madero's.
What form are Tepatitlán de Morelos and CDS Tampico Madero in?
Over the last 5 games Tepatitlán de Morelos have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and CDS Tampico Madero 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs CDS Tampico Madero?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs CDS Tampico Madero: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.