Mexico - Ascenso MXData current as of September 18, 2026

Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Mineros de Zacatecas: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Mineros de Zacatecas: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Tepatitlán de Morelos plays Mineros de Zacatecas in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game is scheduled for September 19, 2026.

Recent form

Tepatitlán de Morelos has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Mineros de Zacatecas has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Tepatitlán de Morelos scores 0.63 goals per game and allows 3.38. Mineros de Zacatecas scores 2.13 and allows 1.88. Games in this league average 3.28 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 38% of Tepatitlán de Morelos's games and 63% of Mineros de Zacatecas's. The Over 2.5 rates are 75% and 75%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 60% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Mineros de Zacatecas has the higher season xG average, 1.28 to 1.20 per game. Tepatitlán de Morelos takes 9.9 shots per game, while Mineros de Zacatecas takes 11.5.

First-half and second-half trends

Tepatitlán de Morelos leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.25 goals per game after halftime. Mineros de Zacatecas leads at halftime in 38% and scores 1.50 after halftime.

When the teams score

Tepatitlán de Morelos's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (2 goals). For Mineros de Zacatecas, it is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Ascenso MX games average 3.28 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 60% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 3 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.85)
(3.80)
(2.16)

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
0.63Goals scored / game2.13
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
3.38Goals allowed / game1.88
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
38%Average possession53%
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
3Shots on target / game4.75
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

9.88Shots per game11.5
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
3Shots on target4.75
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
6.3%Shot conversion18.5%
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
38%Possession53%
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
1.2xG for1.28
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
1.95xG against1.63
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas

Shooting quality

Tepatitlán de Morelos: BalancedMineros de Zacatecas: Efficient finishing
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
Accuracy (shots on target)30%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.210.45

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Mineros de Zacatecas is 100% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / game - Tepatitlán de Morelos · 1.2 pts / game - Mineros de Zacatecas

Tepatitlán de Morelos
LWLLL
Season result split
13% W0% D88% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-0-7
0.38 pts / game · goal difference -22
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-3
Last 5 at home
1-0-3
LLWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 3.6xG: 1.08Opponent xG: 1.98BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%
Mineros de Zacatecas
WLWLL
Season result split
38% W25% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-3
1.38 pts / game · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-2
Last 5 away
0-1-2
DLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.32Opponent xG: 1.45BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Mineros de Zacatecas is 238% better for: goals scored per game.

0.63 goals / game - Tepatitlán de Morelos · 2.13 goals / game - Mineros de Zacatecas

Mineros de Zacatecas is 80% better for: goals allowed per game.

3.38 goals / game - Tepatitlán de Morelos · 1.88 goals / game - Mineros de Zacatecas

Tepatitlán de Morelos scoring profile: strong

Tepatitlán de Morelos scores in 38% of games (3 of 8 games), while Mineros de Zacatecas keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 games).

Mineros de Zacatecas scoring profile: very strong

Mineros de Zacatecas scores in 75% of games (6 of 8 games), while Tepatitlán de Morelos keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 8 games).

5Goals scored (season)17
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
27Goals conceded (season)15
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
4Average goals per game4
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
4Goals scored (last 5)9
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
18Goals conceded (last 5)9
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas

How often they score at least...

38%1 goal75%
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
13%2 goals75%
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
13%3 goals38%
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
0%4 goals13%
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal88%
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
75%2 goals50%
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
63%3 goals38%
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
50%4 goals13%
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

38%
Tepatitlán de Morelos - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.3 of 8 games
63%
Mineros de Zacatecas - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.5 of 8 games
57%
League average

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time25%
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
0%BTTS in both halves13%
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
13%Scored in both halves50%
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS63%
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
38%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
40%BTTS - last 540%
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time75%
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
63%Min. 2 goals after half-time88%
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
63%Min. 3 goals after half-time63%
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Mineros de Zacatecas is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / game - Tepatitlán de Morelos · 1.5 pts / game - Mineros de Zacatecas

Tepatitlán de Morelos - half-time state
25% leading25% draw50% trailing
Mineros de Zacatecas - half-time state
38% leading38% draw25% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per game (1st half)1.5
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
0.38Goals scored (1st half)0.63
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
1Goals conceded (1st half)0.63
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
1.38Average goals (1st half)1.25
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
50%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
63%No goal before half-time50%
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas

After half-time (2nd half)

0.13Points per game (2nd half)1.38
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
0.25Goals scored (2nd half)1.5
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
2.38Goals conceded (2nd half)1.25
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
2.63Average goals (2nd half)2.75
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
0%Clean sheet after half-time25%
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas
88%No goal after half-time25%
Tepatitlán de MorelosMineros de Zacatecas

Tepatitlán de Morelos - second-half results

0% W13% D88% L
8
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
1
Second-half points
-17
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding52%

Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 13%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+1.4

Allows 1.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Mineros de Zacatecas - second-half results

38% W25% D38% L
12
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.6

Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Tepatitlán de Morelos - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.800.20
Goals scored / game0.40.4
Goals allowed / game1.22.4
Average goals per game1.62.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-4-10
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Mineros de Zacatecas - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.40
Goals scored / game0.41.4
Goals allowed / game0.81.0
Average goals per game1.22.4
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-2+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Tepatitlán de Morelos
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
1
2
16-30
2
5
31-45
1
6
46-60
1
2
61-75
0
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -11 - late phases are a weakness.

Mineros de Zacatecas
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
3
3
16-30
2
0
31-45
1
1
46-60
4
3
61-75
7
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

4.01
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.3 : 2.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
122%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
51%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-12%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
29%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
16%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
4+
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Tepatitlán de Morelos

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.75
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-2.00
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.57
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-1.43
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
32%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
256%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.22
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Mineros de Zacatecas

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.35
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.60
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.85
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.25
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
161%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
96%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.18
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.9
Late goals
41% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
41%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).

Teams vs league

Tepatitlán de MorelosLigaMineros de Zacatecas
Average goals per game 4.003.28 4.00
Both teams scored 38%57% 63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 75%60% 75%
Clean sheets 0%24% 13%
Goal before half-time 75%78% 75%
Goal after half-time 100%77% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.28
Average goals per game
57%
Both teams scored
60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.95
Home goals / game
1.32
Away goals / game
+48%
Home attack advantage
+32%
Home defensive advantage
+19%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
57%
2 goals
37%
3 goals
17%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Tepatitlán de Morelos's perspective: 1 win, 3 draws and 0 losses against Mineros de Zacatecas. Games average 3.50 goals, and both teams scored in 75% of them.

FAQ

When do Tepatitlán de Morelos and Mineros de Zacatecas play?

Tepatitlán de Morelos face Mineros de Zacatecas on September 19, 2026 in Ascenso MX. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Tepatitlán de Morelos and Mineros de Zacatecas?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Tepatitlán de Morelos won 1, Mineros de Zacatecas won 0 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

Tepatitlán de Morelos score 0.63 goals per game on average and Mineros de Zacatecas 2.13. The Ascenso MX average is 3.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Tepatitlán de Morelos's matches and 63% of Mineros de Zacatecas's.

What form are Tepatitlán de Morelos and Mineros de Zacatecas in?

Over the last 5 games Tepatitlán de Morelos have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Mineros de Zacatecas 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Mineros de Zacatecas?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.