Termez Surkhon vs Mash'al: match statistics
Termez Surkhon vs Mash'al: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Termez Surkhon play Mash'al in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The match date is 22 April 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Termez Surkhon: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Mash'al: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Termez Surkhon scores 1.08 and concedes 1.58 goals per match. Mash'al scores 0.42 and concedes 1.75. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Termez Surkhon 58%, Mash'al 33%. Over 2.5: Termez Surkhon 50%, Mash'al 42%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Termez Surkhon has higher xG: 1.22 vs 1.00. Termez Surkhon: 11.4 shots per match, Mash'al: 8.0.
Match halves
Termez Surkhon: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.75. Mash'al: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.33.
Goals by minute
Termez Surkhon: 76-90+ (6 goals). Mash'al: 61-75 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uzbekistan Super League: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 0-2-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Termez Surkhon (12th) has 2 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses this season, and in the last 5 matches records a 2-1-2 run with an average of 1.4 points per game. Mash'al (16th) has lost all 8 matches this season and all of their last 5 matches, collecting 0 points in that span. In attack the hosts have scored 6 goals this season (5 in the last 5) and average 0.75 goals per home game, while Mash'al have 2 goals this season (2 in the last 5) and average 0.5 goals away. Hosts display an average home xG of 1.29 versus the visitors' away xG of 0.86, and defensively Termez concedes 1.25 goals per home game (xG against 1.49) compared to Mash'al's 2.25 goals conceded away (xG against 2.05). Additionally Termez average 12.75 shots (2.25 on target) and 56% possession at home versus the visitors' 7 shots (2 on target) and 35% possession, so given the form advantage and superior defensive metrics I predict a home win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Termez Surkhon | Mash'al | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 24% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.16 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Termez Surkhon is 133% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Termez Surkhon · 0.6 pts / match - Mash'al
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Termez Surkhon is 157% better for: goals scored per match.
1.08 goals / match - Termez Surkhon · 0.42 goals / match - Mash'al
Termez Surkhon is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.58 goals / match - Termez Surkhon · 1.75 goals / match - Mash'al
Termez Surkhon scores in 67% of matches (8 of 12 matches), while Mash'al keeps a clean sheet in 8% (1 of 12 matches).
Mash'al scores in 42% of matches (5 of 12 matches), while Termez Surkhon keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Termez Surkhon
Over / Under — Mash'al
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Termez Surkhon is 119% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.92 pts / match - Termez Surkhon · 0.42 pts / match - Mash'al
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Termez Surkhon - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mash'al - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Termez Surkhon
Mash'al
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).
Teams vs league
| Termez Surkhon | Liga | Mash'al | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.67 | 2.59 | ▼ 2.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 55% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 53% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 26% | ▼ 8% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 69% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 79% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Termez Surkhon 0 - 2 - 0 Mash'al. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Termez Surkhon vs Mash'al?
The Uzbekistan Super League match finished Termez Surkhon 2:1 Mash'al. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Termez Surkhon and Mash'al?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Termez Surkhon won 0, Mash'al won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Termez Surkhon vs Mash'al?
Termez Surkhon score 1.08 goals per game on average and Mash'al 0.42. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Termez Surkhon's matches and 33% of Mash'al's.
What form are Termez Surkhon and Mash'al in?
Over the last 5 games Termez Surkhon have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Mash'al 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Termez Surkhon vs Mash'al?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.