Switzerland - Super LeagueStockhorn ArenaData current as of October 21, 2026

Thun vs Lugano: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Thun vs Lugano: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Thun plays Lugano in Super League (Switzerland). The game is scheduled for October 25, 2026. Venue: Stockhorn Arena.

Recent form

Thun has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Lugano has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Thun scores 1.70 goals per game and allows 2.70. Lugano scores 3.10 and allows 0.70. Games in this league average 3.80 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 70% of Thun's games and 60% of Lugano's. The Over 2.5 rates are 80% and 90%, compared with league averages of 68% for BTTS and 77% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Lugano has the higher season xG average, 1.85 to 1.62 per game. Thun takes 15.3 shots per game, while Lugano takes 17.1.

First-half and second-half trends

Thun leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 1.10 goals per game after halftime. Lugano leads at halftime in 60% and scores 1.90 after halftime.

When the teams score

Thun's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (6 goals). For Lugano, it is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Super League games average 3.80 goals. Both teams score in 68% of games, and 77% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 3 away wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(4.29)
(4.40)
(1.64)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.7Goals scored / game3.1
ThunLugano
2.7Goals allowed / game0.7
ThunLugano
47%Average possession57%
ThunLugano
3.9Shots on target / game6.1
ThunLugano

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

15.3Shots per game17.1
ThunLugano
3.9Shots on target6.1
ThunLugano
11.1%Shot conversion18.1%
ThunLugano
47%Possession57%
ThunLugano
1.62xG for1.85
ThunLugano
1.81xG against1.34
ThunLugano

Shooting quality

Thun: AttackingLugano: Dominant
ThunLugano
Accuracy (shots on target)25%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.440.51

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Lugano is 333% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / game - Thun · 2.6 pts / game - Lugano

Thun
LLLWL
Season result split
30% W10% D60% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-6
1.00 pts / game · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-3
Last 5 at home
0-1-3
LDLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 1.68Opponent xG: 1.67BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Lugano
WDWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
90% W10% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-1-0
2.80 pts / game · goal difference +24
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
4-0-0
Last 5 away
4-0-0
WWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 3.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.90Opponent xG: 1.38BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 100%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Lugano is 82% better for: goals scored per game.

1.7 goals / game - Thun · 3.1 goals / game - Lugano

Lugano is 286% better for: goals allowed per game.

2.7 goals / game - Thun · 0.7 goals / game - Lugano

Thun scoring profile: strong

Thun scores in 70% of games (7 of 10 games), while Lugano keeps a clean sheet in 40% (4 of 10 games).

Lugano scoring profile: very strong

Lugano scores in 100% of games (10 of 10 games), while Thun keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 games).

17Goals scored (season)31
ThunLugano
27Goals conceded (season)7
ThunLugano
4.4Average goals per game3.8
ThunLugano
8Goals scored (last 5)17
ThunLugano
13Goals conceded (last 5)4
ThunLugano

How often they score at least...

70%1 goal100%
ThunLugano
70%2 goals90%
ThunLugano
20%3 goals60%
ThunLugano
10%4 goals50%
ThunLugano

How often they concede at least...

90%1 goal60%
ThunLugano
60%2 goals10%
ThunLugano
60%3 goals0%
ThunLugano
40%4 goals0%
ThunLugano

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

40%BTTS at half-time10%
ThunLugano
30%BTTS in both halves0%
ThunLugano
60%Scored in both halves50%
ThunLugano

BTTS and goal count

70%Min. 3 goals and BTTS60%
ThunLugano
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS30%
ThunLugano
80%BTTS - last 560%
ThunLugano

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

90%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
ThunLugano
60%Min. 2 goals before half-time40%
ThunLugano
30%Min. 3 goals before half-time20%
ThunLugano

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
ThunLugano
80%Min. 2 goals after half-time60%
ThunLugano
60%Min. 3 goals after half-time50%
ThunLugano

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Lugano is 122% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.9 pts / game - Thun · 2 pts / game - Lugano

Thun - half-time state
20% leading30% draw50% trailing
Lugano - half-time state
60% leading20% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.9Points per game (1st half)2
ThunLugano
0.6Goals scored (1st half)1.2
ThunLugano
1.2Goals conceded (1st half)0.3
ThunLugano
1.8Average goals (1st half)1.5
ThunLugano
30%Clean sheet before half-time80%
ThunLugano
40%No goal before half-time30%
ThunLugano

After half-time (2nd half)

0.8Points per game (2nd half)2.2
ThunLugano
1.1Goals scored (2nd half)1.9
ThunLugano
1.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0.4
ThunLugano
2.6Average goals (2nd half)2.3
ThunLugano
30%Clean sheet after half-time60%
ThunLugano
30%No goal after half-time20%
ThunLugano

Thun - second-half results

10% W50% D40% L
9
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.90
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Lugano - second-half results

70% W10% D20% L
20
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+9
Goal difference (1st half)
22
Second-half points
+15
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at halftime in 60% of games and wins 90%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Thun - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.800.40
Goals scored / game0.80.8
Goals allowed / game1.21.4
Average goals per game2.02.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals40%60%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference-2-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 4
Lugano - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.002.40
Goals scored / game1.42.0
Goals allowed / game0.40.4
Average goals per game1.82.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals40%60%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+5+8
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 7

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Thun
ScoredConceded
3
4
0-15
1
5
16-30
2
3
31-45
6
4
46-60
2
6
61-75
3
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Lugano
ScoredConceded
5
0
0-15
3
2
16-30
4
1
31-45
5
2
46-60
4
2
61-75
10
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

4.10
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.2 : 2.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
108%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
65%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-63%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
70%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
4+
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Thun

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.81
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.89
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
87%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
146%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Lugano

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.51
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.89
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+1.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.64
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
168%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
36%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League).

Teams vs league

ThunLigaLugano
Average goals per game▲ 4.403.80• 3.80
Both teams scored▲ 70%68%▼ 60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 80%77%▲ 90%
Clean sheets▼ 10%17%▲ 40%
Goal before half-time▲ 90%82%▼ 80%
Goal after half-time▼ 80%90%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.80
Average goals per game
68%
Both teams scored
77%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
17%
Clean sheets
1.95
Home goals / game
1.85
Away goals / game
+5%
Home attack advantage
+5%
Home defensive advantage
+3%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
90%
1 goal
65%
2 goals
42%
3 goals
17%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Thun's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 3 losses against Lugano. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 25% of them.

FC Thun
0 : 1
FC Lugano
FC Lugano
1 : 0
FC Thun
FC Thun
0 : 1
FC Lugano
FC Lugano
1 : 2
FC Thun

FAQ

When do Thun and Lugano play?

Thun face Lugano on October 25, 2026 in Super League at Stockhorn Arena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Thun and Lugano?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Thun won 1, Lugano won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Thun vs Lugano?

Thun score 1.70 goals per game on average and Lugano 3.10. The Super League average is 3.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 77% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Thun's matches and 60% of Lugano's.

What form are Thun and Lugano in?

Over the last 5 games Thun have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Lugano 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Thun vs Lugano?

The statistical background for Thun vs Lugano — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.