Thun vs Lugano: match statistics
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Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Thun vs Lugano: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Thun plays Lugano in Super League (Switzerland). The game is scheduled for October 25, 2026. Venue: Stockhorn Arena.
Recent form
Thun has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Lugano has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Thun scores 1.70 goals per game and allows 2.70. Lugano scores 3.10 and allows 0.70. Games in this league average 3.80 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 70% of Thun's games and 60% of Lugano's. The Over 2.5 rates are 80% and 90%, compared with league averages of 68% for BTTS and 77% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Lugano has the higher season xG average, 1.85 to 1.62 per game. Thun takes 15.3 shots per game, while Lugano takes 17.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Thun leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 1.10 goals per game after halftime. Lugano leads at halftime in 60% and scores 1.90 after halftime.
When the teams score
Thun's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (6 goals). For Lugano, it is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Super League games average 3.80 goals. Both teams score in 68% of games, and 77% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 3 away wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Thun | Lugano | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 25% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.44 | 0.51 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Lugano is 333% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / game - Thun · 2.6 pts / game - Lugano
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lugano is 82% better for: goals scored per game.
1.7 goals / game - Thun · 3.1 goals / game - Lugano
Lugano is 286% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.7 goals / game - Thun · 0.7 goals / game - Lugano
Thun scores in 70% of games (7 of 10 games), while Lugano keeps a clean sheet in 40% (4 of 10 games).
Lugano scores in 100% of games (10 of 10 games), while Thun keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Thun
Over / Under - Lugano
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lugano is 122% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.9 pts / game - Thun · 2 pts / game - Lugano
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Thun - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Lugano - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 60% of games and wins 90%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +8 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Thun
Lugano
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League).
Teams vs league
| Thun | Liga | Lugano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 4.40 | 3.80 | • 3.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 68% | ▼ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 80% | 77% | ▲ 90% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 10% | 17% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 90% | 82% | ▼ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 80% | 90% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Thun's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 3 losses against Lugano. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 25% of them.
FAQ
When do Thun and Lugano play?
Thun face Lugano on October 25, 2026 in Super League at Stockhorn Arena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Thun and Lugano?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Thun won 1, Lugano won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Thun vs Lugano?
Thun score 1.70 goals per game on average and Lugano 3.10. The Super League average is 3.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 77% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Thun's matches and 60% of Lugano's.
What form are Thun and Lugano in?
Over the last 5 games Thun have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Lugano 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Thun vs Lugano?
The statistical background for Thun vs Lugano — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


