Tlaxcala vs Cancún: match statistics
Tlaxcala vs Cancún: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Tlaxcala played against Cancún in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game was played on September 26, 2026. Final score: 4:1.
Recent form
Tlaxcala has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Cancún has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Tlaxcala scores 1.56 goals per game and allows 2.33. Cancún scores 1.89 and allows 1.22. Games in this league average 3.20 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 78% of Tlaxcala's games and 44% of Cancún's. The Over 2.5 rates are 78% and 56%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 61% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Cancún has the higher season xG average, 1.65 to 1.33 per game. Tlaxcala takes 10.2 shots per game, while Cancún takes 13.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Tlaxcala leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Cancún leads at halftime in 33% and scores 1.11 after halftime.
When the teams score
Tlaxcala's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). For Cancún, it is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ascenso MX games average 3.20 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 61% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Tlaxcala score an average of 2.00 goals per match at home, while Cancún concede 1.75 goals away and allow opponents an average of 1.99 xG. The hosts create chances worth 1.49 xG on their own ground, higher than Cancún’s away attacking figure of 1.16, giving them a slight edge in chance quality. However, Cancún have performed more solidly over the season, recording 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats while conceding just 11 goals, whereas Tlaxcala have lost 5 of 9 matches and conceded 21 goals. The last five matches also slightly favor the visitors in terms of stability, as they have scored 13 goals and suffered only one defeat, although their away scoring rate stands at just 1.25 goals per game. Since Cancún have won only 25% of their away matches, while Tlaxcala have won half of their home fixtures, a narrow home victory appears to be the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The BTTS scenario is primarily favored by current form: over their last 5 matches, both teams recorded it in 80% and 60% of games, respectively. Tlaxcala scored an average of 1.8 goals during this period but conceded as many as 2.0, while Cancún scored 2.6 goals per match and conceded only 1.0. At home, the hosts generate a high average xG of 2.04 and register 7.0 shots on target per match, while Cancún’s weak defense allows opponents 1.99 xG and concedes an average of 1.75 goals. The visitors have a lower season xG of 1.16, but recently generated 1.99 xG, significantly boosting their chances of exploiting Tlaxcala’s defense, which has conceded 10 goals in its last five appearances. Tlaxcala’s low season BTTS rate of 20% and 60% clean-sheet rate provide a counterargument, but the current form of both teams more strongly supports a goal for each side.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal is Over 1.5 goals, as Tlaxcala have surpassed this line in 100% of their matches, while Cancún have done so in 75%. The hosts average 2.04 xG and 7.0 shots on target per match, while Cancún’s defense allows opponents 1.99 xG and concedes an average of 1.75 goals. Both teams are also in strong attacking form: over their last five matches, Tlaxcala have scored 1.8 goals per game and Cancún as many as 2.6, with 80% of matches going Over 2.5 goals for both sides. However, Cancún average only 1.16 xG across the season, while Tlaxcala have kept a clean sheet in 60% of their matches, meaning the projected total of 3.10 goals does not provide an equally strong edge on Over 2.5 or Over 3.5. The 1.5 line remains the safest option, as the data from both teams clearly points to at least two goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Tlaxcala has a clearly stronger home profile: they score an average of 2.4 goals, concede just 0.8, and win 60% of their matches, while Cancún concede an average of 1.75 goals away from home. The hosts’ advantage is also evident in the quality of chances created, with an average xG of 2.04 compared with the visitors’ 1.16, while shots on target stand at 7.0 versus 3.75. At half-time, Tlaxcala held the lead in 40% of matches, while Cancún were level after 45 minutes in 50%, which primarily supports a narrow home lead or a draw in the first half. After the break, the hosts score an average of 1.6 goals and concede none, whereas Cancún score just 0.5 and concede 1.0 goal. The visitors’ recent form, with 2.6 goals scored per match across their last five appearances, reduces confidence in the forecast; nevertheless, the scenario of Tlaxcala leading at the break and securing the final victory remains the strongest HT/FT option, 1/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Tlaxcala | Cancún | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Cancún is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Tlaxcala · 1.6 pts / game - Cancún
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cancún is 21% better for: goals scored per game.
1.56 goals / game - Tlaxcala · 1.89 goals / game - Cancún
Cancún is 91% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.33 goals / game - Tlaxcala · 1.22 goals / game - Cancún
Tlaxcala scores in 78% of games (7 of 9 games), while Cancún keeps a clean sheet in 44% (4 of 9 games).
Cancún scores in 89% of games (8 of 9 games), while Tlaxcala keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 9 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tlaxcala
Over / Under - Cancún
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cancún is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.22 pts / game - Tlaxcala · 1.33 pts / game - Cancún
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tlaxcala - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 22%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 1.0 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Cancún - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +9 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Tlaxcala
Cancún
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Tlaxcala | Liga | Cancún | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.89 | 3.20 | • 3.11 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 78% | 55% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 78% | 61% | ▼ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 24% | ▲ 44% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 89% | 76% | ▲ 89% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 80% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Tlaxcala's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Cancún. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Tlaxcala vs Cancún?
The Ascenso MX match finished Tlaxcala 4:1 Cancún. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tlaxcala and Cancún?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Tlaxcala won 1, Cancún won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tlaxcala vs Cancún?
Tlaxcala score 1.56 goals per game on average and Cancún 1.89. The Ascenso MX average is 3.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 78% of Tlaxcala's matches and 44% of Cancún's.
What form are Tlaxcala and Cancún in?
Over the last 5 games Tlaxcala have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Cancún 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tlaxcala vs Cancún?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Tlaxcala vs Cancún: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.