Toluca vs Atlas: match statistics
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Toluca vs Atlas: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Toluca plays Atlas in Liga MX (Mexico). The game is scheduled for September 12, 2026. Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez.
Recent form
Toluca has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Atlas has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Toluca scores 2.00 goals per game and allows 0.67. Atlas scores 1.43 and allows 1.29. Games in this league average 2.80 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Toluca's games and 57% of Atlas's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 43%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Toluca has the higher season xG average, 1.97 to 1.27 per game. Toluca takes 18.7 shots per game, while Atlas takes 11.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Toluca leads at halftime in 67% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Atlas leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.57 after halftime.
When the teams score
Toluca's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). For Atlas, it is minutes 0-15 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga MX games average 2.80 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 2 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Toluca | Atlas | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Toluca is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Toluca · 1.4 pts / game - Atlas
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Toluca is 40% better for: goals scored per game.
2 goals / game - Toluca · 1.43 goals / game - Atlas
Toluca is 93% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.67 goals / game - Toluca · 1.29 goals / game - Atlas
Toluca scores in 83% of games (5 of 6 meczów), while Atlas keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 meczów).
Atlas scores in 86% of games (6 of 7 meczów), while Toluca keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Toluca
Over / Under - Atlas
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Toluca is 63% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.33 pts / game - Toluca · 1.43 pts / game - Atlas
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Toluca - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 67% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Atlas - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 57%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Toluca
Atlas
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Toluca | Liga | Atlas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.67 | 2.80 | • 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 58% | • 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 53% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 25% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | • 67% | 66% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 83% | 86% | • 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Toluca's perspective: 0 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses against Atlas. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
When do Toluca and Atlas play?
Toluca face Atlas on September 12, 2026 in Liga MX at Estadio Nemesio Díez. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Toluca and Atlas?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Toluca won 0, Atlas won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Toluca vs Atlas?
Toluca score 2.00 goals per game on average and Atlas 1.43. The Liga MX average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Toluca's matches and 57% of Atlas's.
What form are Toluca and Atlas in?
Over the last 5 games Toluca have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Atlas 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Toluca vs Atlas?
The statistical background for Toluca vs Atlas — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.