Toluca vs Monterrey: match statistics
Toluca vs Monterrey: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Toluca played against Monterrey in Liga MX (Mexico). The game was played on December 7, 2025. Final score: 3:2.
Recent form
Toluca has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Monterrey has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Toluca scores 2.25 goals per game and allows 1.00. Monterrey scores 1.85 and allows 1.55. Games in this league average 3.07 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 55% of Toluca's games and 60% of Monterrey's. The Over 2.5 rates are 60% and 60%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Toluca has the higher season xG average, 1.80 to 1.50 per game. Toluca takes 17.5 shots per game, while Monterrey takes 13.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Toluca leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 1.15 goals per game after halftime. Monterrey leads at halftime in 60% and scores 0.65 after halftime.
When the teams score
Toluca's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (10 goals). For Monterrey, it is minutes 31-45+ (15 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga MX games average 3.07 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Stats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Toluca | Monterrey | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Toluca is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Toluca · 1.4 pts / game - Monterrey
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Toluca is 22% better for: goals scored per game.
2.25 goals / game - Toluca · 1.85 goals / game - Monterrey
Toluca is 55% better for: goals allowed per game.
1 goals / game - Toluca · 1.55 goals / game - Monterrey
Toluca scores in 75% of games (15 of 20 meczów), while Monterrey keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 meczów).
Monterrey scores in 90% of games (18 of 20 meczów), while Toluca keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Toluca
Over / Under - Monterrey
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Monterrey is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.75 pts / game - Toluca · 2 pts / game - Monterrey
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Toluca - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 60%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Monterrey - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 60% of games and wins 55%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (15 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Toluca
Monterrey
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Toluca | Liga | Monterrey | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.25 | 3.07 | ▲ 3.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 55% | 58% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 56% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 23% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 73% | ▲ 95% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 80% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Toluca's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Monterrey. Games average 4.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Toluca vs Monterrey?
The Liga MX match finished Toluca 3:2 Monterrey. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Toluca and Monterrey?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Toluca won 1, Monterrey won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Toluca vs Monterrey?
Toluca score 2.25 goals per game on average and Monterrey 1.85. The Liga MX average is 3.07 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Toluca's matches and 60% of Monterrey's.
What form are Toluca and Monterrey in?
Over the last 5 games Toluca have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Monterrey 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Toluca vs Monterrey?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Toluca vs Monterrey: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.